As Far As Value Goes ....

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  • Fidel_CashFlow
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-03-12
    • 53970

    #1
    As Far As Value Goes ....
    Maybe consider Wizards +480 for the series

    Their whole team is healthy and John Wall is back and dong fine
    being the great facilitator he is

    The Raptors are the better team , they are great at home
    and have home court .

    Thos is a pretty damn good team though to be getting +480

    Spurs +900 isn’t going to happen

    Bron and company own Indy , even when they had someone athletic enough
    to guard and bring it to Lebron , bit now Paul George is gone

    The close series are literally toss ups so hard to find value there

    just something to consider , I might take it small because on the court
    match up wise I think the talent is pretty damn close
  • Fidel_CashFlow
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-03-12
    • 53970

    #2
    Plus , when you are going to play a team that is +500
    there is a reason the line is high
    the Raptors have been great all year
    but in a short series things can get weird
    and especially when you are getting the +500
    main reason I’m going here with this again is because of one player
    well more than one, bit there’s one player that def makes you wonder

    The player is Bradley Beal , a real scoring machine
    who can get hit at any point , and stay hot

    A scoring talent who on the offensive side is Melo with more

    athleticism and drive in his soul
    We’ve seen this before in the first round with the prototype of player Brad Beal is
    Gortat is key too , a smart big guy who doesn’t shoot much ,but when he does
    its at close to 55 percent clip . The Wiz basically go 8 deep with legitimate talent
    and in a playoff scenario that gives you a chance as long as fatigue doesn’t
    completely offset the balance of talent
    I doubt that will be the case win or lose since the Wiz are 2 deep in every position
    except for shooting guard , but that’s fine because that inserts Satoransky
    for more minutes on the floor , very efficient minutes at that

    View the profile of Washington Wizards Shooting Guard Tomas Satoransky on ESPN. Get the latest news, live stats and game highlights.



    Have till Sat afternoon to decide
    Comment
    • The Kraken
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-25-11
      • 28918

      #3
      you think their is value in them winning the East? C's injured, Cavs down this year, 76'ers would be tough but nigh unbeatable
      Comment
      • TheMoneyShot
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-07
        • 28672

        #4
        Cash Flow... I'm trying to save you some coin here...

        No F'ing way Toronto loses the series.

        Just trying to help you out.
        Comment
        • Fidel_CashFlow
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-03-12
          • 53970

          #5
          Unfortunately no

          Sixers are fukking dangerous, and I hope they get a chance to play Lebron

          There is natural god given talent , then there are specialists

          how a team is assembled far outweighs individual talents

          And the Sixers are strategically built in such a fashion that I’ve

          sat at back in awe this whole year .

          I already thought this before the season with the roster as it stood

          which is is why I took over 38.5 season wins , but the freaking pick ups

          they have added couldn’t be more strategically specific to this roster.

          gotta credit the minds of the Sixers brass as well

          Marco Belinelli and Ersan Ilyasova , look how they compliment

          and reinforce the other starters who are on that team . I can’t

          stress it enough how smart this team has been built

          The elephant in the room will be Joel Embiid

          If he’s at close to full strength Philly comes out the East

          Theu spread out all over the court with shooters as well as perimeter defenders

          on the other end , they wear you out by having replicas of their young starters

          come I off the bench . It’s a sight to see
          Comment
          • ans61201
            SBR MVP
            • 10-11-15
            • 3661

            #6
            + money is only value if you see them winning. No shot here. Wizards will always let ya down. Just one of those teams
            Comment
            • ans61201
              SBR MVP
              • 10-11-15
              • 3661

              #7
              Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
              Unfortunately no

              Sixers are fukking dangerous, and I hope they get a chance to play Lebron

              There is natural god given talent , then there are specialists

              how a team is assembled far outweighs individual talents

              And the Sixers are strategically built in such a fashion that I’ve

              sat at back in awe this whole year .

              I already thought this before the season with the roster as it stood

              which is is why I took over 38.5 season wins , but the freaking pick ups

              they have added couldn’t be more strategically specific to this roster.

              gotta credit the minds of the Sixers brass as well

              Marco Belinelli and Ersan Ilyasova , look how they compliment

              and reinforce the other starters who are on that team . I can’t

              stress it enough how smart this team has been built

              The elephant in the room will be Joel Embiid

              If he’s at close to full strength Philly comes out the East

              Theu spread out all over the court with shooters as well as perimeter defenders

              on the other end , they wear you out by having replicas of their young starters

              come I off the bench . It’s a sight to see
              Can see it happening if embid is healthy. He is dominant in the post, and Cleveland has ZERO rim protection. Matchup nightmare.
              Comment
              • Fidel_CashFlow
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-03-12
                • 53970

                #8
                Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                Cash Flow... I'm trying to save you some coin here...

                No F'ing way Toronto loses the series.

                Just trying to help you out.
                lol Money , there’s a reason it’s +480

                Beal and Wall are all stars who have performed solid in the playoffs

                Derozan and Lowry have not in the playoffs

                There is def openings here I’m seeing man

                If Wizz lose but you keep seeing the 4th quarters in 2-4 point games that

                could go either way , then that alone will tell me the opportunity was there

                and it came down to 50/50 execution in the closing 3 minutes

                that’s good to be in at +480
                Comment
                • Fidel_CashFlow
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-03-12
                  • 53970

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ans61201
                  Can see it happening if embid is healthy. He is dominant in the post, and Cleveland has ZERO rim protection. Matchup nightmare.
                  yup

                  honestly they are a match up nightmare for any team

                  it just comes down to if the shots will fall

                  this team shouldn’t even get Lebron next year

                  win or lose stick with the system , you don’t jeed any one person

                  isolating and slowing down the mechanics of their offense the way it is
                  Comment
                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-03-12
                    • 53970

                    #10
                    Robert Covington is the defensive shut down guy no one in the league talks about
                    No player wants to be guarded by him deep down inside
                    what if Fultz also logs in solid minutes too
                    he just became the youngest player in NBA history to
                    record a triple double
                    Comment
                    • TheMoneyShot
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-14-07
                      • 28672

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                      lol Money , there’s a reason it’s +480

                      Beal and Wall are all stars who have performed solid in the playoffs

                      Derozan and Lowry have not in the playoffs

                      There is def openings here I’m seeing man

                      If Wizz lose but you keep seeing the 4th quarters in 2-4 point games that

                      could go either way , then that alone will tell me the opportunity was there

                      and it came down to 50/50 execution in the closing 3 minutes

                      that’s good to be in at +480
                      But you need 4 games out of 7 to go Washington's way.

                      John Wall is a great player... so is Beal.... but they need the entire team GOING TO WORK FOR THEM.

                      I love Lowry this year. Ultra fast and quick. Toronto plays great team defense. I can't trust Washington on defense. And just a joke of a team on the Road at .500

                      Toronto ultra deep too.

                      GL if you select Wash
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #12
                        Wizards stink man. Inconsistent all year. The raptors might win in 4/5. Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • cwnotorious
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-13-13
                          • 950

                          #13
                          Raptors will have an advantage down low, morris/gortat vs ibaka/valen2nutz/siakam/poertle/anunoby
                          Comment
                          • Easy-Rider 66
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-14-12
                            • 36096

                            #14
                            Like the value at +480. If Wall played all year Wash would not be the 8th seed. GL.
                            Comment
                            • Regul8er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-06-07
                              • 10666

                              #15
                              The value just isnt there Fidel........please pass on this play.

                              Wiz had an important seeding game on Wednesday, and couldnt even beat an Orlando team who was trying to lose. Orlando actually shot ahead of 2 teams by winning that game.....and Washington playe their regulars big minutes.

                              Washington is a thin, thin team.....Raptors handle business in 4 or 5.

                              There is value to be found in other series.....but not this one.
                              Comment
                              • Fidel_CashFlow
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-03-12
                                • 53970

                                #16
                                What one you like Regul8er

                                im thinking bout dropping a unit on this one

                                I certainly don’t see the Woz as a thin team
                                Comment
                                • Regul8er
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-06-07
                                  • 10666

                                  #17
                                  The Wizards bench is totally outmatched, and its not even close.......and Wall has missed a ton of time, and wont be able to play monster minutes.

                                  Pelicans at about +200 is intriguing to me. Not sure how Portland matches up with Davis.....he could have a monster series.

                                  Portland has the advantage with the guards, but not totally overmatched. I see this series going deep.

                                  Also, I really like Miami at +400.....
                                  Comment
                                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-03-12
                                    • 53970

                                    #18
                                    Hell no on the Miami play personally

                                    Another tidbit about the Wiz is they have won
                                    in the first round 3 straight seasons in a row
                                    Comment
                                    • bonusguy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-25-17
                                      • 1785

                                      #19
                                      picked up wizards 33-1 to win the east last week. figured they were smart enough to get the 7th seed and play the wounded celtics but they blew it. no way wall comes back to playoff-speed and beats toronto. they are idiots for losing to orlando. if wall had a practice series against the celts they would have really had a chance at making a run too
                                      Comment
                                      • Regul8er
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-06-07
                                        • 10666

                                        #20
                                        Its always hard to predict how guys are going to perform in the playoffs.....and Philly is going to be heavily relying on guys who have zero experience. As good as a run they've been on, the intensity is going to reach a level they've never seen before. Im not saying Miami wins, but I have to take a shot at that price.

                                        Game 1 in the Raptor/Wiz series is probably more important then any other Game 1. If Toronto loses, bad memories will creep in. If they win, especially if they win convincingly, it will be a short series.....4 or 5 at most.

                                        Goodluck on your play.
                                        Comment
                                        • Regul8er
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-06-07
                                          • 10666

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                          Hell no on the Miami play personally

                                          Another tidbit about the Wiz is they have won
                                          in the first round 3 straight seasons in a row
                                          Washington missed the playoffs 2 years ago.
                                          Comment
                                          • Fidel_CashFlow
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-03-12
                                            • 53970

                                            #22
                                            Well the last 3 times they made it

                                            good point in post 20 dude

                                            and thanks ,man I want to wish you good luck if you
                                            take the Miami series bet but then I’d be being fake yo
                                            I really really really want to see Philly advance and beat Bron and company
                                            Comment
                                            • WildCelticsFan
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-19-14
                                              • 5420

                                              #23
                                              2-2 in season series vs raps without wall playing. Raptors never win game 1, series handicap +2.5 (-110) is my play.
                                              Comment
                                              • SharpAngles
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-15-14
                                                • 9467

                                                #24
                                                Hard to make this bet when low IQ Beal and lazy Gortat are your keys. Valanciunas is the real key to this series and I don’t see anyone on the Wiz who will stop him.
                                                Comment
                                                • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-03-12
                                                  • 53970

                                                  #25
                                                  I just think the rosters are more even than most are admitting
                                                  and yes, Raptors bench was good this year but so was Wizards
                                                  guess we will see as I’m gonna lay a single unit on +500
                                                  and hope to see some competitive games
                                                  Beals IQ is a little off tho I know wat you mean there
                                                  Hoping Wall really annoys Lowry

                                                  only reason this play stuck out is because +500
                                                  Think it has better shot then Miami or Spurs, or Indy
                                                  Cheering for some 50/50 toed or 2 point games going into last couple minutes
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lakerboy
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                    • 94379

                                                    #26
                                                    Good luck Fidel. It seems you won't be convinced otherwise.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Regul8er
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-06-07
                                                      • 10666

                                                      #27
                                                      I dont think you can make an argument that Washington's bench was good.

                                                      I see Washington's starters playing 40 minutes a game in the series.......and just dont see them keeping up with the waves of fresh, athletic bodies the Raptors will be throwing at them.

                                                      Then again, you could win......who knows right.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 4TH AND STUPID
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-08-09
                                                        • 2349

                                                        #28
                                                        Fidel,

                                                        don't listen to the majority on this board theyre a bunch of dumbasses, including Lakerboy ive never seen a guy post more losers on this board in my life.


                                                        Toronto fan here - I've been debating this with my friends for 4 years now. Kyle Lowy and Demar Derozan are the 2 most overrated players in the nba and watching this team every year in the playoffs is hilarious because they get exposed over and over and over.

                                                        The Washington wizards ABSOLUTELY CAN win this series and anybody on this board including all the guys who responded to your thread so far are squares so don't worry about their opinions. Sharp guys will know that the bench means nothing in the playoffs and that the new nba is all about the 3 ball. The raptors haven't done much of anything to address their issues there and CJ miles hasn't panned out to be the 3 ball sharpshooter they need. This is a completely overrated team, who's starters actually trailed many teams before the bench feasted on a bunch of bums, typically eastern conference teams and garbage 2nd units.

                                                        We are talking about a very similar starting 5 vs a very similar starting 5 from 3 years ago and really nothing major has changed. In fact I'd argue Washington's starting 5 is better than it was 3 years ago because Otto Porter is lights out.

                                                        Literally 3 years ago these (almost) exact same starting units met and the raptors got SWEPT! I told my hometown buddies that they'd lose that series (for which they were also favourites) and I got laughed at. In fact, I cannot possibly tell you how much hate I get from (uneducated) Toronto fans when I point out (year after year) the exact same flaws in this team - (1) they don't move the ball around late in quarters or when the game is on the line and that hasn't changed at all if you analyze the end of games (2) they suck at the 3 and that hasn't changed (3) lowry still jacks up dumb shots and doesn't pass and gets blocked by people during the playoffs because hes still a midget who cant do anything when the defense tightens up and (4) derozan cant shoot the 3 if his life depended on it, and he struggles with his jumpers when the defense locks down on him.

                                                        whatever people in the media say is completely INCORRECT and the opinions in this forum are a reflection of that. the media will tell u derozan has improved so dramatically. the truth is, he ABSOLUTLEY HAS NOT! check his stats from the last 5 years if you don't believe me. he actually regressed this year!

                                                        the main guy who was the motor of the second unit is fren vanvleet, whos ball IQ and ability to drive and also shoot 3s was beautiful. however, he is dealing with a sore shoulder.

                                                        ANALYZE THE STARTERS 1 BY 1

                                                        wall over lowry , advantage Washington
                                                        beal over derozan, advantage Washington
                                                        porter over OG , advantage Washington
                                                        morris over ibaka (ibaka sucks this year) advantage Washington
                                                        valanciunas over gortat (gortat sucks this year but also missed the passes he used to get from john wall) advantage Toronto

                                                        that's 4 to 1 advantage for Washington. its actually hilarious that they are so widely and highly regarded as massive underdogs. they can easily win this series if they go up at any point. Toronto will have all the pressure as the favourite and #1 seed, and I'm telling you they will collapse, just as I told everybody last year and the year before and the year before and the year before.

                                                        the only advantage they carry is the bench

                                                        so we will take vanvleet, siakam, and cj miles over satoranski, oubre, mahinmi, and ty Lawson. But is the gap between these guys so massive that Washington cant overcome it? I mean oubre was a star at Kansas and satoranski can hit the 3 ball. if you add ty Lawsons experience, Is vanvleet really that amazing that he cant be solved?

                                                        this is a very very close matchup that can go either way. do not let these morons on this board doubt your ball i.q . go with the dog.


                                                        Washington in 6 or 7.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Git Lo
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-20-11
                                                          • 3785

                                                          #29
                                                          The problem with washington is they are trying to incorporate satoransky with wall and beal on the floor and they never got the chance to do that as wall just started to come back recently. I'm not sure if the coach is going to touch on it or not I would lean that he would since sato played very well with wall out and he definitely needs to be in the rotation somewhere.

                                                          Raptors are deceptively good as well, Jonas has finally emerged as a threat this year and fred van fleet has been playing very well off the bench.

                                                          Too tough to call. Wall vs Lowry (cant really tell who will outplay who), Beal vs Derozan (beal a better shooter but pretty even everywhere else), Porter > whoever plays the 3 on raptors, Markieff vs Ibaka (again cant tell), this year Jonas >> Gortat but Gortat plays his role because he has Wall

                                                          Probably comes down to coaching.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            Value the funniest word in sports gambling there is no value in any line come on now and best of luck on the play
                                                            Comment
                                                            • terrenceross
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 04-09-14
                                                              • 306

                                                              #31
                                                              One reason why the Wizards will lose this series: The Raptors' bench.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheMoneyShot
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-14-07
                                                                • 28672

                                                                #32
                                                                Morris brother is a clumsy fool... so is the Polak Gortat.

                                                                That's why you can't trust Washington.

                                                                Beal and Wall can't do everything.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • indy007
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 03-30-18
                                                                  • 184

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Fidel..........BOL with your action.........indy
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bonusguy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-25-17
                                                                    • 1785

                                                                    #34
                                                                    wizards are 50-1 to win the east right now at betonline

                                                                    tells a big story they have no chance
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ThaTopMoron
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 04-30-10
                                                                      • 27020

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Wizards play zero D
                                                                      Comment
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