1. 07-02-17 10:04 AM #1
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,044
    Betpoints: 2697

    Golf play (+EV)

    Spencer Levin +825

    This guy is playing as well as anyone in the field and has the most strokes gained through putting. He has a big chance at erasing a 2 stroke deficit on Lingmerth who has had a lot of luck along the way. I expect Levin to make a big run on the front 9 and position himself on the back 9 and win it with putting. I have him winning this 25% (3-1) of the time, and he's sitting up there at better than 7-1. +EV city, I'll bite.

    Good luck f you follow along.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 07-02-17 10:12 AM #2
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
    Posts: 30,645
    Betpoints: -2136

    What time he tee off
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 07-02-17 10:41 AM #3
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,044
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    What time he tee off
    2:05pm Eastern, 11:05 Pacific
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 07-02-17 12:24 PM #4
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,847
    Betpoints: 10

    No golf play is ever +even play

    It's the one sport a great player can I have 12 bad rounds in a row unlike any other sport

    There's so many very good players that have not won in years and years it's amazing
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 07-02-17 01:50 PM #5
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,044
    Betpoints: 2697

    Of course golf can be +EV. Anything can be. In this case I think Levin has the game to catch and beat the 2 that ate ahead of him. He has momentum, a short game and can putt. That being said, so will only cash this about 25% of the time, however, I'm getting over 7-1. +EV in my opinion.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 07-02-17 02:17 PM #6
    mackave
    mackave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-22-14
    Posts: 4,912
    Betpoints: 8018

    dead
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 07-02-17 02:46 PM #7
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,044
    Betpoints: 2697

    Yep. He caved in. Tried too hard to make perfect shots instead of taking what the course gave. He went all in early and couldn't hit the shot.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 07-02-17 02:48 PM #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,847
    Betpoints: 10

    forget golf

    consistency of a player very hard
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 07-02-17 03:17 PM #9
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,044
    Betpoints: 2697

    jj,

    Anyone with the winner today is getting paid, That's the beauty of betting golf.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 07-02-17 09:47 PM #10
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
    Posts: 30,645
    Betpoints: -2136

    Damn did he bogey the 18th?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 07-03-17 04:55 AM #11
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,847
    Betpoints: 10

    Also golf has terrible liquidity which means your getting terrible odds
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 07-03-17 07:32 AM #12
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,044
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    Damn did he bogey the 18th?
    3 holes killed him. 2 bogies and a double bogie. Take those away and he's -8 and wins. But, that's golf.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »