Wizards @ Bobcats
Wizards with no offensive fire power are already prone to unders. The under is 21-5 in the Wizards last 26. On the road for the season Washington is 26-9 to the under. Thats what happens when you throw out a starting five of Al Thornton, Andray Blatche, JaVale McGee, Mike Miller, and Shaun Livngston. I know 181 will scare some away but that just makes me feel better. When faced with an o/u in the 180's the under is 3-0, when Charlotte is faced with an o/u in the 180's the under is 11-5 in the last 16 games. The last meeting between the two o/u was set at 182. The game went into overtime and still stayed under. I like the Bobcats to play a little defense and keep Washington in the low 80's.
Bobcats/Wizards u181 (-110) (2x)
Jazz @ Pacers
Boys I am done fading this Jazz team on the road. They are hot right now and are far too much for any of these bad Eastern Conference teams to handle. They are 11-5 in their last 16 road games. Some may be concerned this is a "trap" but the line is set right. Just because public will jump on it doesn't mean its going to lose. Look at Raptors +3.5 at home vs Jazz the other night. Jazz got it done. Last time Utah played in Indiana this year the line was Jazz -3.5. You don't think everyone was on that? Jazz won by 12. Sometimes you have to be a square.
Jazz -5 (-110)(1x)
Pistons @ Nets
I just can't justify the Nets as a favorite. This is one of the worst teams in the history of the league and your going to make them a favorite? Detroit owns the Nets, I don't care how bad they have been on the road this year. Detroit already beat them twice this year.
Pistons +1 (-105) (1x)
Wild @ Red Wings
This over/under should have been 5. The Red Wings love to play defense at home. The under is 22-13 for the Wings at home this year. The Wild won't exactly try to push the tempo either. The Wild are scoring 2.1 goals per game on the road. Not to mention they played last night on the road and when playing the second leg of a back to back the under is 8-4 for the Wild. The only way this one goes over is if the Wings put up 5 goals.
Red Wings/Wild u5.5 (-115) (2x)
Northern Iowa vs. Michigan State
How can you not back UNI here? I see lots of people thinking MSU will out muscle them but I don't see it. This team plays good ball. I liked them even before Kalin Lucas went down. Lucas missed one game earlier in the year which MSU lost. It's tough to lose your point guard and the guy who leads your team in almost every major offensive statistic especially against a team as capable as UNI. When can we give UNI some credit? They beat Kansas, UNLV, Siena, Iowa, Iowa State, and Boston College. I know those teams (except Kansas) aren't elite programs but they are all tough programs.
Northern Iowa +1 (-110) (2x)
St. Marys vs Baylor
Go ahead boys keep doubting this Baylor team. They play very well together and finally came together on the defensive end this year and it has shown. St. Mary's just isn't as good as they have shown this tournament. They got two games against over rated teams with no big man to match up with Omar Samhan who put up two monster games. Baylor is extremley athletic and long which should match up well with Omar. They got the inside presence of Udoh who is averaging almost 4 blocks per night. Sure St. Marys and their style of ball is fun to root for but Baylor is the better team by a lot more then 4.5.
Baylor -4.5 (3x)
Purdue vs Duke
I have two plays in this game. Purdue was going to be one of my picks to make the National Championship until Robbie Hummel went down. But, you have to give them credit. They have made up for the production lost with great defense. Since he went out they haven't allowed many points and because of that the under is 6-2 since he got hurt. Duke is fine with a methodical defensive game and you have to think this will be a slow paced game no matter who winning. I think we see a very tight defensive game here with maybe a little of the annual Duke choke job.
Purdue/Duke u127 (-110) (3x)
Purdue +8.5 (-110) (2x)
Wizards with no offensive fire power are already prone to unders. The under is 21-5 in the Wizards last 26. On the road for the season Washington is 26-9 to the under. Thats what happens when you throw out a starting five of Al Thornton, Andray Blatche, JaVale McGee, Mike Miller, and Shaun Livngston. I know 181 will scare some away but that just makes me feel better. When faced with an o/u in the 180's the under is 3-0, when Charlotte is faced with an o/u in the 180's the under is 11-5 in the last 16 games. The last meeting between the two o/u was set at 182. The game went into overtime and still stayed under. I like the Bobcats to play a little defense and keep Washington in the low 80's.
Bobcats/Wizards u181 (-110) (2x)
Jazz @ Pacers
Boys I am done fading this Jazz team on the road. They are hot right now and are far too much for any of these bad Eastern Conference teams to handle. They are 11-5 in their last 16 road games. Some may be concerned this is a "trap" but the line is set right. Just because public will jump on it doesn't mean its going to lose. Look at Raptors +3.5 at home vs Jazz the other night. Jazz got it done. Last time Utah played in Indiana this year the line was Jazz -3.5. You don't think everyone was on that? Jazz won by 12. Sometimes you have to be a square.
Jazz -5 (-110)(1x)
Pistons @ Nets
I just can't justify the Nets as a favorite. This is one of the worst teams in the history of the league and your going to make them a favorite? Detroit owns the Nets, I don't care how bad they have been on the road this year. Detroit already beat them twice this year.
Pistons +1 (-105) (1x)
Wild @ Red Wings
This over/under should have been 5. The Red Wings love to play defense at home. The under is 22-13 for the Wings at home this year. The Wild won't exactly try to push the tempo either. The Wild are scoring 2.1 goals per game on the road. Not to mention they played last night on the road and when playing the second leg of a back to back the under is 8-4 for the Wild. The only way this one goes over is if the Wings put up 5 goals.
Red Wings/Wild u5.5 (-115) (2x)
Northern Iowa vs. Michigan State
How can you not back UNI here? I see lots of people thinking MSU will out muscle them but I don't see it. This team plays good ball. I liked them even before Kalin Lucas went down. Lucas missed one game earlier in the year which MSU lost. It's tough to lose your point guard and the guy who leads your team in almost every major offensive statistic especially against a team as capable as UNI. When can we give UNI some credit? They beat Kansas, UNLV, Siena, Iowa, Iowa State, and Boston College. I know those teams (except Kansas) aren't elite programs but they are all tough programs.
Northern Iowa +1 (-110) (2x)
St. Marys vs Baylor
Go ahead boys keep doubting this Baylor team. They play very well together and finally came together on the defensive end this year and it has shown. St. Mary's just isn't as good as they have shown this tournament. They got two games against over rated teams with no big man to match up with Omar Samhan who put up two monster games. Baylor is extremley athletic and long which should match up well with Omar. They got the inside presence of Udoh who is averaging almost 4 blocks per night. Sure St. Marys and their style of ball is fun to root for but Baylor is the better team by a lot more then 4.5.
Baylor -4.5 (3x)
Purdue vs Duke
I have two plays in this game. Purdue was going to be one of my picks to make the National Championship until Robbie Hummel went down. But, you have to give them credit. They have made up for the production lost with great defense. Since he went out they haven't allowed many points and because of that the under is 6-2 since he got hurt. Duke is fine with a methodical defensive game and you have to think this will be a slow paced game no matter who winning. I think we see a very tight defensive game here with maybe a little of the annual Duke choke job.
Purdue/Duke u127 (-110) (3x)
Purdue +8.5 (-110) (2x)
What really made it bad was all the write ups! If you look at the results just about the opposite happened on every play except Baylor... Funny how some people out of the blue just think they have become experts...