[jjgold]

We all do it to

Going to try and be more selective on favs and not big juice

[MiDNiTe]

yup kershaw would of lost yesterday the way dodgers batted and jake of the cubs was dealing but if almora didnt catch the hr who knows they might of lost in extra innings, baseball lot harder to bet than other sports like tennis

[jjgold]

Baseball tougher than NFL by far

[Sam Losco]

1-5 to start the year coach, im not happy

[lakerboy]

No ⚾ easy but in the summer most have lives and can't focus on it. Dogs only though

[BPulse]

To say you can't bet favs and make money is insane... you just have to be selective and not bet blindly... in the same vein you can't just bet dogs and make money either... be a better capper... plain and simple...

And my advice... bet first 5 innings... penetrate bullpens... most of your research should come on SP/team/batter situational shit anyways... only bet full game if youre betting against a team you know statistically has one of if not the worst bullpens in the game...

[jjgold]

Pulse strong post man

[BuckyOne]

Not all dogs are created equal!

[MMANick]

On the Royals @ -110 today.

[MJ4thQuarter92]

Faves went 8-1 yesterday...

[squarenfl]

damn dodgers yesterday

[BPulse]

Thanks Doc

[Ro0k]

Run Lines is where it's at.

[Sam Odom]

JJ

STOP complicating the issue

pick winners then pound them - that simple

[konck]

Best MLB season I ever had was when Brock was posting games every day and you were jackin off to him JJ
His it aint juice when your winning theory made me some big $$
There really was no one better to fade

[funnyb25]

Most of the time yes..RL helps with that most.of the time as long as the favorite is on the road. Losing that half inning isn't a road I'll go down again

[Philmill]

futures only dogs.....good luck folks

[Ro0k]

Most of the time yes..RL helps with that most.of the time as long as the favorite is on the road. Losing that half inning isn't a road I'll go down again

I feel like losing that half inning is well worth the risk when you're getting plus odds. You can still profit while hitting under 50%.

[krk1030]

So far its been chalk city.

[jt315]

Playing against the Dodgers at big prices vs. lefties might be something to take a look at this year.
Picking up right where they left off last year.

[RangeFinder]

It's not whether you're betting favs or dogs, but are you getting value. That is the key, not favorite or underdog.

Ask yourselves this question when you are done looking at any one game. If this game were played 100 times, how many times would each team win the game? I don't know how many times I hear people say " I like this team a little" or "I like this team alot". Well, how much is a little, 52%? How much is alot, 60%? You won't know unless you stick a number to it. When you are done sticking a number to it, then check the board and see if you are getting value. It's the only way you are going to beat baseball, or any other sport.

[stackz125]

JJ

STOP complicating the issue

pick winners then pound them - that simple

Sammy I like your approach

[packerd_00]

That's the recipe for failure,but you normally learn as you go,that's not always the case with certain punters though sadly.

[KVB]

Sometimes JJ just spouts nonsense. No need to set arbitrary rules like this.

A bettor should make his own spread or moneyline that is more reflective of reality than the markets, then compare it the offered line. Once the bettor understand why the line opens where it opens and why it moves to where it closes, he will go a long way toward winning long term.

Also, if large moneylines, even when they represent value, are burying a bettor, then it is likely a money management issue.

Risk the same each time on selected plays, don't change the bet size because the price of the bet is more or less. Changing that bet size will change a bettor's breakeven point, usually not for the better.

Managing risk is one of the most important aspects you can employ if a bettor wants to increase winnings or even decrease losses, especially over the long haul of an MLB season.

By laying different prices on favorites to win, say a unit or $100, a bettor is helping the book by keeping the book's risk steady...the unit or $100. Instead, he should try keeping his risk flat and steady, while he let's the book's risk jump all over the place.

[RangeFinder]

Sometimes JJ just spouts nonsense. No need to set arbitrary rules like this.

A bettor should make his own spread or moneyline that is more reflective of reality than the markets, then compare it the offered line. Once the bettor understand why the line opens where it opens and why it moves to where it closes, he will go a long way toward winning long term.

Also, if large moneylines, even when they represent value, are burying a bettor, then it is likely a money management issue.

Risk the same each time on selected plays, don't change the bet size because the price of the bet is more or less. Changing that bet size will change a bettor's breakeven point, usually not for the better.

Managing risk is one of the most important aspects you can employ if a bettor wants to increase winnings or even decrease losses, especially over the long haul of an MLB season.

By laying different prices on favorites to win, say a unit or $100, a bettor is helping the book by keeping the book's risk steady...the unit or $100. Instead, he should try keeping his risk flat and steady, while he let's the book's risk jump all over the place.

Lets all give this post an "AMEN".

Very well written KVB. You get an "A+". I knew I could count on you coming in here, lol.

[Machine Choice]

The only chalk that is lethal are the NY Yankees. They always get more public action than they are worth, just like Notre Dame in NCAAF, Dallas Cowboys in NFL, and Duke in NCAAB

[Sam Odom]

The only chalk that is lethal are the NY Yankees. They always get more public action than they are worth, just like Notre Dame in NCAAF, Dallas Cowboys in NFL, and Duke in NCAAB

LA Lakers when Kobe was in his prime... they laid 16 a lot - win by 10-12

[jjgold]

Bet -180 and above watch out

It does not work

[Machine Choice]

Bet -180 and above watch out

It does not work

Unless it's in a 2-team parlay with another heavy fave and you've capped both games properly to avoid trap plays

[MinnesotaFats]

Unless it's in a 2-team parlay with another heavy fave and you've capped both games properly to avoid trap plays

That's right! ML parlay, limit the juice.

Otherwise look for home dogs, first 5 dogs versus poor hitting clubs, or team totals

[No coincidences]

Favorites have a 16-7 W/L record so far.

[jjgold]

Favorites have a 16-7 W/L record so far.

means nothing

[No coincidences]

means nothing

I never bet favorites personally, but you can't just paint it with a broad brush like this.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Baseball tougher than NFL by far

Seriously? Dime lines are tougher than 20 cent lines?