Why can't another sportsbook feature a "Drop Down Box" Like Pinny has
or had for most of us Americans..
I miss that thing bad..
Any reason why another book can't utilize a drop down box?
Scorpion
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-05
7797
#2
Their bookmakers are not sharp enough
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LVHerbie
SBR Hall of Famer
09-15-05
6344
#3
the drop down menus were sucker bets anyhow... I'm suprised no other bookmaker is smart enough to take advantage of the squares for a few extra points of juice...
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#4
Originally posted by LVHerbie
the drop down menus were sucker bets anyhow... I'm suprised no other bookmaker is smart enough to take advantage of the squares for a few extra points of juice...
100% true
Bets look enticing but only there to make money for book
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oldmanTED
SBR High Roller
08-14-07
243
#5
I loved the dropdown.It helped me tremendously.And the large limits they had.Thats what I missed the most.5 dimes 10 dimes never a blink.
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TheOffshoreGambler
SBR High Roller
07-20-07
105
#6
Yeah those drop down boxes were great. I miss them too..
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Ganchrow
SBR Hall of Famer
08-28-05
5011
#7
You can use my half-point calculator to calculate marginal point values for football and basketball spreads and totals and baseball totals.
All comments, questions, and criticisms welcome:
<script> function OpenCalc() { var winTool = window.open('http://bettingtools.sbrforum.com/newcalc/half-point.html', '_blank', 'width=215, height=275, resizable=yes, status=no'); winTool.focus(); } </script>
<input style="font-size: 11px;" type=button value="Open half-point calculator beta test" onClick="OpenCalc();">
Note that you can use the push probability estimates embedded in the calculator or can enter your own.
Currently supports:
NBA, NFL, NCAA BB, and NCAA FB Sides and Totals
MLB Totals
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aircoryell
SBR Rookie
08-07-07
37
#8
Originally posted by LVHerbie
the drop down menus were sucker bets anyhow... I'm suprised no other bookmaker is smart enough to take advantage of the squares for a few extra points of juice...
true...the sharp bettor used the drop down to sell points
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slash
SBR MVP
08-10-05
1000
#9
I used the drop down box to get an idea of the value of half a point...
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rjp
SBR Rookie
07-17-06
39
#10
Most books don't like the risk and aren't able to price them properly.
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ShamsWoof10
SBR MVP
11-15-06
4827
#11
Originally posted by aircoryell
true...the sharp bettor used the drop down to sell points
This IMO is exactly right... I like to sell points... Sucker bet to buy but not sell... To give you an idea... Royal "HAD" buy and sell but now only have buy... A few books did selling and now only Pinny. does... I wonder why that is...?
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aircoryell
SBR Rookie
08-07-07
37
#12
Originally posted by ShamsWoof10
This IMO is exactly right... I like to sell points... Sucker bet to buy but not sell... To give you an idea... Royal "HAD" buy and sell but now only have buy... A few books did selling and now only Pinny. does... I wonder why that is...?
well we know the games fall right on the number only around 5% of the time.
so, if the line on a total is say 36.5 -105 and you like the under, why not sell it down to 36 +100. that nickel you save in juice really adds up over time.
in the 5% chance that it lands on 36, you get a push instead of a win.
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ShamsWoof10
SBR MVP
11-15-06
4827
#13
Originally posted by aircoryell
well we know the games fall right on the number only around 5% of the time.
so, if the line on a total is say 36.5 -105 and you like the under, why not sell it down to 36 +100. that nickel you save in juice really adds up over time.
in the 5% chance that it lands on 36, you get a push instead of a win.
EXACTLY!!!!!!! Over time if you just go 50% you are even or ahead if you get + anything... Without selling points and getting better odds you must be BETTER then 55% at -105 to win...
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#14
While not a dropdown box por se, 5 Dimes has practically the same thing to a point with all of their alternate lines. Keep an eye on this once NFL regular season starts.
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RickySteve
Restricted User
01-31-06
3415
#15
What a hideous thread.
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Ganchrow
SBR Hall of Famer
08-28-05
5011
#16
Originally posted by aircoryell
well we know the games fall right on the number only around 5% of the time.
so, if the line on a total is say 36.5 -105 and you like the under, why not sell it down to 36 +100. that nickel you save in juice really adds up over time.
in the 5% chance that it lands on 36, you get a push instead of a win.
Originally posted by ShamsWoof10
EXACTLY!!!!!!! Over time if you just go 50% you are even or ahead if you get + anything... Without selling points and getting better odds you must be BETTER then 55% at -105 to win...
Actually if plug this info into my calculator (NFL o36.½ -105 / u36½ -105, 5% probability of game landing on 36), you'll see that the fair (zero-added premium) price of u36 would be +106.08. u36 At +100, you'd be paying 3.242% in premium (i.e., extra vig) on top of the 2.381% vig already being charged. That's total EV for the player of -5.263%, which is the equivalent of about a -111.76 lin set.
So as great as the bet might sound, the half-point calculator takes a fraction of seconds to tell you that (assuming a 5% push probability), the bet is best avoided.
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gridironguy
SBR Wise Guy
04-17-07
575
#17
Originally posted by aircoryell
well we know the games fall right on the number only around 5% of the time.
In basketball sides (NBA or NCAAB), more like 10%.
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Ganchrow
SBR Hall of Famer
08-28-05
5011
#18
Originally posted by gridironguy
In basketball sides (NBA or NCAAB), more like 10%.
Based on covers.com data (the data used to populate the calculator probabilities), 10% is way too high a figure.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#19
RickySteve,
What is so hideous about selling off of non-key numbers in football and just about any number in basketball to get to + odds? That sounds like a sound strategy to me.
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durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#20
Originally posted by LT Profits
RickySteve,
What is so hideous about selling off of non-key numbers in football and just about any number in basketball to get to + odds? That sounds like a sound strategy to me.
I don't understand how?
If you are improving your odds, fine.
But, as Ganchrow's excellent tool will show you, you rarely are. Pinnacle lets you sell pts because they offer worse odds.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#21
Actually in football you often are if selling inside the 4 to 5.5 and 8 to 9.5 ranges. Also if I could sell off of a fraction (6.5) to a flat line (6) at + odds, I could live with the occasional push.