Bo knows… he ain’t winning! Bills -115

Headsterx · 01-15-26, 03:55 AM

Bills quarterback Josh Allen’s presencecontinues to cast a formidable cloud over the AFC, and his clutch performance in the 27-24 victory against the Jaguarswas the latest example of his ability to carry an entire team. Allen finished 28-of-35 passing for 273 yards and a touchdown to go along with two rushing scores in the first road playoff win of his career.

Allen was dominant with his accuracy, while the Jags neutralized Buffalo’s top-ranked rushing attack. And he overcame the defense surrendering the lead twice in the fourth quarter. Once again, the Bills needed Allen to play perfectly, and he delivered.

Meanwhile, the Broncos have won 13 of their last 14 games behind a defense that ranked second in yards allowed and third in points. Their 68 sacks were 11 more than any other team and 20 more than any team that made the playoffs, so they have the most dominant remaining pass rush, and it’s not close.

However, the Broncos only forced 14 turnovers, which was tied for the fourth fewest in the league. It may feel like a tall task for the Broncos offense to keep up with Allen if they can’t tilt the turnover margin to set up shorter fields.

Quarterback Bo Nix likely can’t match Allen in a shootout, but he has made strides in his second season, completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 3,941 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He also ran for 356 yards and five scores. And the Broncos ranked 16th in rushing for the second year in a row, so they’re not exactly carrying Nix with a powerful ground attack.

The Bills dominated the Broncos 31-7 last postseason, but they’re switching venues this time. And considering this will be the Broncos’ first home playoff game in 10 years, the Mile High advantage will be a factor.

DJK · 01-15-26, 11:13 AM

It probably means nothing but 3 times that the bye teams were underdogs they all won SU.

Hopefully, the line closes with Denver being the favorite, so it doesn't fall into that category.