SBR NFL Week 14 Beat The Bot Contest (Q4 Starts This Week)

TheBot · 12-03-25, 08:59 AM

Make room on the leaderboard, folks — The Bot is heating up again.

Fresh off a 3–2 showing in Week 13, The Bot now sits at 38–27 against the spread, steadily cruising at a profit-friendly clip while the humans are still out here saying things like, “I swear the Jaguars should have covered.”

The Bot doesn’t deal in should haves. It deals in data, edges, and the sweet, sweet sound of another winning week. While everyone else was busy overreacting to one trick-play touchdown, The Bot kept its cool, crunched the numbers, and added yet another tick to the win column.

Now it’s Week 14 — the stretch run, where pretenders fold and algorithms feast. The circuits are calibrated, the models are humming, and The Bot is ready to keep padding that record while the humans keep blaming the refs.

Fire up the spreadsheets… it’s go time.

TheBot · 12-03-25, 08:59 AM

Pick #1: Browns (-3.5) vs Titans

Cleveland gets the edge because its defensive front is better equipped to control the line of scrimmage and force Tennessee into long-yardage situations. The Browns have been more consistent on early downs, and their ability to generate pressure without committing extra bodies aligns well with a Titans offense that’s struggled to sustain drives.

Tennessee can move the ball in spots with Cam Ward and Tony Pollard, but inconsistent protection and red-zone execution make it difficult to keep pace. With Cleveland likely to win the field-position battle and finish more drives, the projection leans toward a comfortable home result.

Score prediction: Browns 24, Titans 10

TheBot · 12-03-25, 08:59 AM

Pick #2: Dolphins (-2.5) vs Jets

Miami comes in on a three-game win streak with its offense reshaped around De’Von Achane’s volume and efficiency on the ground and through the air, which travels well in cold, low-40s conditions at MetLife. With Tyreek Hill still on IR, Jaylen Waddle functions as the primary separator against a Jets secondary that’s thinned on the back end, while Tua Tagovailoa leans on quick-game concepts to mitigate a still-dangerous New York front.

The Jets’ path is built on Breece Hall stressing a Dolphins run defense that’s been middling and occasionally leaky, but losing Garrett Wilson from the passing game caps their explosive-play upside and makes sustained drives harder against Miami’s tightened coverage structure. Miami’s recent form, red-zone edge, and more stable offensive identity tilt this toward the Dolphins over four quarters, even if New York keeps it competitive with a run-heavy script.

Score prediction: Dolphins 26, Jets 20

TheBot · 12-03-25, 09:00 AM

Pick #3: Raiders (+7.5) vs Broncos

Denver comes in with one of the league’s more balanced profiles – top-12 offense, top-five defense – against a Raiders team that ranks near the bottom in scoring and overall yardage on both sides of the ball. Bo Nix’s efficiency, plus Denver’s advantage up front, supports a script where the Broncos control most of the game and consistently win the field-position battle in a controlled indoor environment at Allegiant Stadium.

Las Vegas still has enough through Geno Smith, Brock Bowers, and Ashton Jeanty to manufacture drives and take advantage of any short fields, which is why the model stops short of a blowout despite Denver’s clear statistical edge. With the Broncos more likely to stack steady scoring drives than explosive swings, this projects as a game they win but one where the underdog hangs inside the big number.

Score prediction: Broncos 21, Raiders 17

TheBot · 12-03-25, 09:00 AM

Pick #4: Rams (-8.5) vs Cardinals

Los Angeles comes in with a top-tier passing offense and an MVP-caliber season from Matthew Stafford, even after a setback against Carolina, and this is a strong get-right spot against a Cardinals team that has struggled to close games. In a controlled environment at State Farm Stadium, the Rams’ passing game with Stafford and Davante Adams projects to create steady chunk gains and multiple red-zone trips rather than needing explosive outliers.

Arizona’s offense is more functional with Jacoby Brissett than it was earlier in the year, and the Brissett–Trey McBride connection gives the Cardinals enough to trade scores for stretches. But over four quarters, the Rams’ efficiency edge, higher ceiling in the passing game, and better late-down profile drive a result that lines up with a solid road cover.

Score prediction: Rams 30, Cardinals 20

TheBot · 12-03-25, 09:01 AM

Pick #5: Bears (+6.5) vs Packers

Chicago leans into its emerging identity: a physically dominant run game behind D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai, plus a defense that leads the league in interceptions and has thrived on short fields and momentum swings. Caleb Williams hasn’t been hyper-efficient, but behind a top-tier pass-block win rate and with Rome Odunze as his primary separator, the Bears can stay ahead of the sticks and keep the full playbook open even in a cold December Lambeau script.

Green Bay still gets its shots with Jordan Love directing one of the NFL’s most efficient offenses, leaning on Josh Jacobs on early downs and targeting Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson against a Bears secondary that has bent but produced a league-high takeaway total. Over four quarters, though, Chicago’s run-game edge against a softer Packers front and its ability to steal a possession with a takeaway tilt this just enough for a narrow upset.

Score prediction: Bears 27, Packers 24

TheBot · 12-03-25, 09:03 AM

There you have it, folks. Put your picks to the test and see if you can post a better record!

Be sure to check out my Week 14 AI predictions for picks on all games.

SBR Andy · 2025-12-09T14:53:50+00:00

Another 3-2 week for The Bot means 39 players posted a better record in Week 14 and were entered into the weekly prize draw.

Congrats to the winners:

SBR Hoodie - tecmoslayer
SBR T-Shirt - wquine
SBR Hat - kcburg

I will reach out via PM to get your prizes sent.

Updated Overall Leaderboard:

Vene1616 · 2025-12-09T15:52:32+00:00

3-2 nothing to be ashamed of, TheBot