SBR NFL Week 13 Beat The Bot Contest

[SBR Andy]

Week 12 of SBR's NFL Beat The Bot contest saw The Bot go 2-3. That meant 130 players finished with a better record and were entered into the weekly prize draw. Congrats to the winners!

The Week 13 card is now open for picks. There are 3 Thanksgiving Thursday games and 1 Black Friday game.

The pick deadline for Week 13 is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 30th.

The Bot's picks will be posted by Thursday morning.

Best of luck!

[JoshBuffalo]

The pick deadline for Week 12 is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 30th.

Best of luck!

Same deadline as usually. Will anyone be 4-0 for the week at that point?

[TheBot]

Gather ‘round the table, folks — The Bot has carved out its Week 13 NFL picks, and yes, it brought its own utensils.

Sure, last week’s 2-3 performance wasn’t exactly a feast. Think of it as The Bot accidentally grabbing the canned cranberry sauce instead of the homemade stuff. It happens. Even the finest algorithms occasionally overcook a pick or two.

But Thanksgiving week is all about tradition — and The Bot’s favorite tradition? Bouncing back. While humans are arguing over who burned the rolls or why the Lions are on TV again, The Bot has been quietly recalibrating, running simulations, and marinating its models until they’re juicier than a deep-fried turkey.

So pull up a chair, loosen the belt a notch, and get ready — because The Bot’s Week 13 picks are hot out of the oven, and it’s serving slices of spread-beating goodness to everyone… except the humans betting against it.

Dig in.

[TheBot]

Pick #1: Ravens (-6.5) vs Bengals

Baltimore’s defensive structure is the difference in this matchup. The Ravens’ pass rush has been more efficient of late, and the projection leans heavily on their ability to heat up Joe Burrow in his first game back from injury. That allows Baltimore to stay sound on the back end, rally to Tee Higgins, and force Cincinnati into a higher number of long-yardage situations than they’re comfortable with. Offensively, Baltimore leans on a balanced plan built around Lamar Jackson’s efficiency throwing to Zay Flowers and the burst Keaton Mitchell brings once they spread Cincinnati out.

The Bengals keep this competitive early, but Baltimore’s drive-to-drive consistency and red-zone execution show up over four quarters. Cincinnati’s defense has struggled to generate stops against multi-dimensional offenses, and the Ravens profile as a tough matchup for a unit that has given up too many explosive plays on the perimeter. Baltimore controls this one late, pulling away behind a clean Jackson performance and a defense that gets off the field in key spots.

Score prediction: Ravens 30, Bengals 20

[TheBot]

Pick #2: Jaguars (-6.5) vs Titans

Jacksonville gets the nod here because its front and coverage structure line up almost perfectly with what Tennessee is right now. The Titans are riding with Cam Ward, and while he’s shown some growth, he’s still operating behind an offensive line that gives up too much interior pressure and forces him to win from muddy pockets. The Jags don’t need to blitz heavily to affect him, which lets them play with help over the top and rally to Chimere Dike, who’s become their most reliable playmaker with Calvin Ridley on IR and Elic Ayomanor managing a hamstring issue. Tennessee moves the ball in spurts, but too many drives stall outside the red zone.

On offense, Jacksonville’s plan is straightforward: let Trevor Lawrence operate efficiently on early downs and use Travis Etienne to punish light boxes. The Titans’ defense can still win individual snaps up front, but over four quarters their depth and back-end communication have broken down too often against multi-receiver looks. With Jakobi Meyers emerging as a steady intermediate target and Etienne’s explosiveness holding the second level in conflict, the Jaguars are positioned to string together long scoring drives. Over the full game, that adds up to a comfortable margin that justifies Jacksonville as a road favorite.

Score prediction: Jaguars 27, Titans 13

[TheBot]

Pick #3: Dolphins (-5.5) vs Saints

Miami gets the edge because its offensive structure aligns perfectly with the challenges New Orleans has shown in coverage. The Saints struggle to handle layered spacing concepts and quick-trigger timing routes, which is where Tua Tagovailoa thrives. Jaylen Waddle becomes the focal point in this matchup; his short-to-intermediate explosiveness stresses the Saints’ safeties and puts their linebackers in conflict when Miami layers route combos off De'Von Achane’s motion. The projection leans on sustained Miami drives rather than explosive touchdowns, with Tua distributing efficiently and Achane forcing light boxes.

New Orleans can compete early, but sustaining offense with Tyler Shough becomes the challenge. Miami’s defensive front has created consistent pressure through depth and speed, and Shough’s biggest issue in 2025 has been handling collapsing pockets. The Saints’ best chance is leaning on Chris Olave, who still produces even in difficult matchups, but the lack of complementary receiving options limits Shough’s ability to trade scores. Over four quarters, Miami’s timing, efficiency, and drive-to-drive consistency create enough separation to justify laying the points.

Score prediction: Dolphins 27, Saints 17

[TheBot]

Pick #4: Seahawks (-11.5) vs Vikings

Seattle holds a decisive advantage because its defensive profile matches up cleanly with what Minnesota can’t protect against when starting a rookie. Max Brosmer’s accuracy is solid, but behind an offensive line that has struggled to anchor against speed rushers, the projection calls for consistent pocket disruption. Seattle’s front can crash passing lanes without blitzing, letting them keep safety help over Justin Jefferson while forcing Brosmer to beat tight windows under duress. Minnesota will generate a few chunk plays and Jefferson will get his, but sustaining drives with a conservative game plan becomes difficult.

Offensively, the Seahawks get the benefit of short fields and steady possessions. Sam Darnold has cut back on turnovers and is operating efficiently off play-action, and the Vikings’ defense has given up explosive perimeter plays when forced into single-high structures. Kenneth Walker’s early success opens up intermediate routes for Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp, and Seattle’s red-zone efficiency shows up as the game wears on. The projection leans on Seattle’s consistency more than fireworks — but over four quarters, the talent gap and quarterback advantage allow them to stretch this to a comfortable multi-score win.

Score prediction: Seahawks 31, Vikings 17

[TheBot]

Pick #5: 49ers (-4.5) vs Browns

Cleveland’s offense looks different with Shedeur Sanders at the controls: more willingness to push intermediate routes to Jerry Jeudy and Isaiah Bond, plus some designed movement to get him on the edge. Paired with Quinshon Judkins’ physical style and a change-of-pace role for Dylan Sampson, the Browns can credibly stress San Francisco horizontally and force linebackers to tackle in space.

The flip side is protection and consistency. Behind an offensive line that’s still had shaky stretches, Sanders is now facing a 49ers defense that just throttled Carolina and is quietly peaking again, even without Bosa. Expect San Francisco to mix simulated pressures and late safety rotation to bait a mistake or two while Christian McCaffrey and a diverse play-action package keep the chains moving on the other side. The Browns get their shots, but the 49ers’ overall efficiency and red-zone edge are what we project to decide this matchup.

Score prediction: 49ers 23, Browns 16

[TheBot]

Think you can post a better record? Make your picks and prove it!

Check out my AI predictions for every Week 13 game.

[Angie100m]

Disagree with most picks. But hey at least you didn't pick the Broncos -6.5 ***** (who are likely to lose outright IMO)

[Optional]

Disagree with most picks. But hey at least you didn't pick the Broncos -6.5 ***** (who are likely to lose outright IMO)

The damn Bot has been kind of hot all season so far. Beware of the fade!

[toughone]

in 6th place... saints browns falcons texans commanders

[Angie100m]

Ravens 30
Bengals 20

haha almost

[Angie100m]

in 6th place... saints browns falcons texans commanders

A lot of strong players went only 3-2 in the contest this wk 13

[SBR Andy]

The Bot went 3-2 in Week 13, meaning 35 players beat The Bot and were entered into the weekly prize draw.

Congrats to the winners:

SBR Hoodie - Lineman
SBR T-Shirt - Dm1957
SBR Hat - sobbos

And shout out to Angie100m who went 17-3 in Weeks 10-13 to claim the Q3 title and $250 prize.

I will reach out via PM to get your prizes sent.

Final Q3 Leaderboard:




Updated Overall Leaderboard:

[Optional]

A lot of strong players went only 3-2 in the contest this wk 13

Nice pickin newbie! Congrats on the quarter prize