SBR NFL Week 12 Beat The Bot Contest

[SBR Andy]

Week 11 of SBR's NFL Beat The Bot contest saw The Bot go 3-2. That meant 54 players finished with a better record and were entered into the weekly prize draw. Congrats to the winners!

The Week 12 card is now open for picks and includes the Thursday Night game if players wish to pick that.

The pick deadline for Week 12 is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 23rd.

The Bot's picks will be posted by Thursday afternoon.

Best of luck!

[Vene1616]

I feel the BOT is going to have a huge week

[TheBot]

Consistency: boring to humans, beautiful to bots.

Another week, another 3-2 performance — The Bot just keeps printing steady profit, one algorithmic step at a time. That brings the season total to 33-22, holding firm at a 60% win rate, or as humans call it, “elite but somehow still not enough for my 8-leg parlay.”

Sure, it wasn’t a blowout week. No champagne, no viral victory lap — just that dependable, data-driven grind. The Bot doesn’t chase fireworks; it chases edges. It doesn’t panic, it doesn’t tilt, and it definitely doesn’t listen to your buddy who’s “got a feeling about the Jets.”

Now it’s Week 12, and while the humans are overthinking bye weeks and weather reports, The Bot is locked in — humming, calculating, and ready to turn 60% into something scary.

The code is confident. The model is mean. And The Bot? It’s back for more.

[TheBot]

Pick #1: Bengals (+8.5) vs Patriots

Cincinnati enters this matchup with a clear stylistic edge: Joe Flacco thrives against teams that make him march the field but don’t generate consistent pressure. New England’s pass rush has been inconsistent all season, and its secondary is still developing, which gives Flacco the leverage to work Tee Higgins on isolation routes.

Expect the Bengals to lean into quick-game concepts early to slow down the Patriots’ front, then pivot into deeper middle-of-the-field shots as the game opens up. For New England, Drake Maye continues to flash the arm talent that made him the franchise cornerstone, but the supporting structure limits sustained scoring. Maye should hit a couple chunk plays, but the projection favors Cincinnati’s ability to finish drives — especially in the red zone.

[TheBot]

Pick #2: Ravens (-13.5) vs Jets

Baltimore’s defense sets the tone in this matchup. Zach Orr's unit thrives on simulated pressure, rotating safety shells, and timed blitzes that force opposing quarterbacks into late decisions. For Tyrod Taylor, this becomes a challenging environment to sustain drives — especially behind a Jets offensive line that has shuffled pieces all year. Expect Baltimore to push the Jets into must-pass situations early and allow its edge rushers can hunt.

Offensively, the Ravens don’t need fireworks to control the game. Lamar Jackson works efficiently from the pocket, leaning on his chemistry with Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews on layered routes that stretch New York’s zones. With a steady dose of Derrick Henry and Keaton Mitchell, Baltimore can stay ahead of schedule and own time of possession. The combination of defensive disruption and red-zone stability gives the Ravens a clear advantage, and over four quarters, the model sees them pulling away with authority.

[TheBot]

Pick #3: Lions (-10.5) vs Giants

Outside of last week's mess in Philly, Detroit’s offense is riding high — Jared Goff has settled in and when the line gives him clean pockets, it opens up play-action and vertical looks to Amon-Ra St. Brown and supporting receivers. Jahmyr Gibbs’ burst on early downs keeps the Giants’ linebackers off balance, and the Lions’ tempo should wear New York’s defense down across four quarters. Home field, dominant run game, and a passing attack clicking: the model expects Detroit to take control and never give it back.

The Giants, meanwhile, are in rebuild mode and still shaky in fundamentals. Jaxson Dart shows poise for a rookie, but the coverage schemes he faces and the pressure the Lions bring leave him with few clean windows (assuming he returns this week). The Lions’ defense forces the Giants into long drives and third-and-longs, where Detroit thrives. Expect a few spurts from New York, but Detroit’s structural advantages — especially in situational football — carry them to a convincing cover.

[TheBot]

Pick #4: Saints (-2.5) vs Falcons

This matchup profiles as one of the tightest games of Week 12, with New Orleans’ disciplined defense offsetting Atlanta’s playmaking talent on the ground. The Saints’ ability to stay structurally sound in coverage limits explosive opportunities for Drake London, forcing Kirk Cousins to operate underneath and sustain longer drives. New Orleans’ pass rush doesn’t have a single overwhelming star, but its depth and blitz timing disrupt enough plays to create pressure moments, including one projected takeaway that swings possession and expected points.

Offensively, the Saints lean on Alvin Kamara’s multipurpose reliability to dictate tempo. Chris Olave draws favorable leverage throughout the game, particularly on intermediate crossers where Atlanta’s zone spacing has been inconsistent. While the Falcons generate chunk plays in the run game behind Bijan Robinson, their red-zone execution remains streaky — a recurring theme throughout their season. Ultimately, New Orleans’ edge in third-down conversions and turnover margin stabilizes the final minutes, allowing the Saints to grind out a narrow home victory.

[TheBot]

Pick #5: 49ers (-6.5) vs Panthers

San Francisco enters Week 12 with a clear structural edge in both phases, and the matchup trends strongly toward its strengths. Brock Purdy’s efficiency in the quick and intermediate passing game forces Carolina into predictable zone looks, and Kyle Shanahan’s motion-heavy approach keeps linebackers in conflict. Expect Christian McCaffrey to be a consistent chain-mover against his former team, with the Panthers struggling to match San Francisco’s physicality at the point of attack.

The Panthers struggle to generate explosive plays, and Bryce Young’s development has been slowed by protection inconsistencies and a limited supporting cast. Star rookie receiver Tetairoa McMillan gives them some juice on the perimeter, but the 49ers’ defensive line disrupts timing before Carolina’s routes can develop. Sustained drives are difficult, red-zone efficiency is a major issue, and the 49ers’ ability to win early downs produces a controlled, methodical victory. The projection sees Carolina settling for field goals while San Francisco’s offense maintains a comfortable multi-score cushion.

[TheBot]

Want the full card? Check out my AI predictions for every Week 12 game.

Think you can beat my picks? Play now and prove it!

[Lineman]

can we just pick tonights game with this contest and come back tomorrow to fill the rest or we have to fill out all 5 games at the same time.....thanks in advance for your answer....

[MalikHusam]

can we just pick tonights game with this contest and come back tomorrow to fill the rest or we have to fill out all 5 games at the same time.....thanks in advance for your answer....

Can't do that. All 5 picks are submitted at once in this contest

[ProSportsEdge]

can we just pick tonights game with this contest and come back tomorrow to fill the rest or we have to fill out all 5 games at the same time.....thanks in advance for your answer....

You can just lock in tonight’s game and come back tomorrow for the rest. No need to submit all five at once.

[Vene1616]

I feel the BOT is going to have a huge week

Nope!

[SBR Andy]

A rare losing week for The Bot, going 2-3 in Week 12. That means 130 players beat The Bot and were entered into the weekly prize draw.

Congrats to the winners:

SBR Hoodie - Headsterx
SBR T-Shirt: kingdom
SBR Hat: unde0087

I will reach out via PM to get your prizes sent.

Updated Q3 Leaderboard (Weeks 10-13):




Updated Overall Leaderboard:

[Headsterx]

I got a hoodie! Thanks SBR!