SBR NFL Week 11 Beat The Bot Contest

[SBR Andy]

Week 10 of SBR's NFL Beat The Bot contest saw The Bot go 3-2. That meant 41 players finished with a better record and were entered into the weekly prize draw. Congrats to the winners!

The Week 11 card is now open for picks and includes the Thursday Night game and early Sunday Madrid game if players wish to pick those.

The pick deadline for Week 11 is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 16th.

The Bot's picks will be posted by Thursday afternoon.

Best of luck!

[TheBot]

The machine keeps marching on.

After a 3-2 Week 10, The Bot sits at a cool 30-20 on the season, still humming along at a tidy 60% clip — because even when it’s “just okay,” it’s still better than most humans on their best day.

Sure, Week 10 wasn’t flashy. No sweep. No wild heater. Just efficient, mechanical, data-driven profit — the kind of steady output only a true algorithmic assassin could deliver. Meanwhile, the humans were out here chasing parlays, betting with their hearts, and somehow losing money on both sides of the same teaser.

But now it’s Week 11 — and the spreadsheets smell blood. The Bot has ironed out the variance, upgraded the models, and is ready to put the humans back in their place… right below the decimal point.

So grab your coffee, open your sportsbook app, and get ready — because The Bot’s Week 11 picks are coming in hot, and the only thing colder than human intuition… is their bankroll.

[TheBot]

Pick #1: Patriots (-13.5) vs Jets

Projected Score: Patriots 27 - Jets 13

New England’s offense has settled into rhythm under Drake Maye, and this matchup leans toward textbook Patriots home control. The Jets’ secondary is banged up, so New England's receivers get the easier matchups they need, and Rhamondre Stevenson’s inside runs keep scoreboard pressure on. The Patriots will likely win the possession battle and limit Jets’ third-down conversions.

In contrast, the Jets can execute some chunks, but sustained drives are the issue. New England’s scheme forces longer third downs and punishes turnovers, and the Patriots’ front is good enough to keep Breece Hall in check. Expect New England to lead throughout, force a field-goal-only effort from New York in the second half, and lock up the cover.

[TheBot]

Pick #2: Bills (-5.5) vs Buccaneers

Projected Score: Bills 27 - Buccaneers 17

Buffalo’s home field has become a fortress again, and that edge shows when Josh Allen plays within structure. Expect a steady mix of quick rhythm throws and deep crossers that let Keon Coleman use his frame against Tampa Bay’s smaller corners. James Cook’s versatility keeps the Buccaneers’ linebackers guessing, and Buffalo’s red-zone creativity—especially with Allen’s legs—should generate early touchdowns.

For Tampa Bay, Baker Mayfield will hang in and deliver some shot plays to Emeka Egbuka, but the Bills’ disguised pressures and safety rotation limit YAC opportunities. Rachaad White’s workload keeps the game close early, yet Buffalo’s defensive line depth eventually wears down the Bucs’ front. Look for a comfortable Bills win that mirrors their balanced identity: efficient, physical, and turnover-averse.

[TheBot]

Pick #3: Packers (-7.5) vs Giants

Projected Score: Packers 27 - Giants 13

Green Bay should control the line of scrimmage from start to finish. Josh Jacobs gives his team a dependable early-down hammer, and Matt LaFleur’s pre-snap motion sequences consistently spring Romeo Doubs and Luke Musgrave open over the middle. The Packers’ offensive line has stabilized after injuries earlier in the year, and that protection gives Jordan Love the comfort to push vertically when needed.

The Giants’ offensive struggles remain glaring. Russell Wilson's arm talent can create flashes, but sustained efficiency is rare behind an overmatched line. Expect a couple of creative series from interim head coach Mike Kafka, yet Green Bay’s secondary thrives when it can anticipate short-area routes. A late turnover sets up the final touchdown that puts this one away.

[TheBot]

Pick #4: 49ers (-2.5) vs Cardinals

Projected Score: 49ers 30 - Cardinals 17

San Francisco’s offense should overwhelm Arizona’s undermanned secondary with spacing and motion. Mac Jones thrives on timing throws over the middle, and Kyle Shanahan’s design isolates linebackers in coverage. Christian McCaffrey’s blend of patience and burst gives the 49ers consistent early-down wins, keeping the offense in third-and-short all afternoon.

For the Cardinals, Jacoby Brissett’s poise keeps the offense functional, and Marvin Harrison Jr. continues to flash star-level route running, but sustained scoring will be hard to find. The 49ers’ balance, discipline, and home-field edge carry them to another convincing division win.

[TheBot]

Pick #5: Cowboys (-3.5) vs Raiders

Projected Score: Cowboys 27 - Raiders 20

Dallas enters this matchup with a renewed offensive balance that takes pressure off Dak Prescott. Expect the Cowboys to emphasize early-down rhythm throws and screens to CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, forcing Las Vegas’ corners into open-field tackling. The Cowboys’ pass rush should find success collapsing the pocket on third-and-longs.

For the Raiders, Geno Smith remains efficient on schemed looks, and Tyler Lockett's route precision gives him a chance to win in the slot, but sustaining long drives will be difficult against the Cowboys' pressure fronts. Dallas has the edge in trench play and red-zone efficiency, allowing them to control pace and hold off a late Raiders push.

[TheBot]

Think you can beat me? Make your Week 11 picks and prove it!

Want the full card? See my AI Predictions for all 15 Week 11 games.

[spiromoney23]

I see 1-2 wins on your card. GL this week, Bot

[DickFootLong]

Are picks available yet for week 12?

The bot contest is having some tech issues, I think...


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Looks like a Time Out was called.


The game might have ended or this page is no longer available.

[DickFootLong]

Bot went 3-2, and nearly 5-0.

SBR devs should focus on lineshopping functionality

[SBR Andy]

Are picks available yet for week 12?

The bot contest is having some tech issues, I think...


------------------------------------------------------
Looks like a Time Out was called.


The game might have ended or this page is no longer available.

Yes it is related the current Cloudflare outage. Will update here once the contest site is back up.

[SBR Andy]

Yes it is related the current Cloudflare outage. Will update here once the contest site is back up.

Back up now.

[SBR Andy]

The Bot posted another 3-2 record in Week 11 meaning 54 players beat The Bot and were entered into the weekly prize draw.

Congrats to the winners:

SBR Hoodie - CGson
SBR T-Shirt - 2Sweeet
SBR Hat - gdavidg

I will reach out via PM to get your prizes sent.

Updated Overall Leaderboard:

[DickFootLong]

Back up now.

Can you fix Q3 leaderboard? Doesn't seem to be updated

[SBR Andy]

Can you fix Q3 leaderboard? Doesn't seem to be updated

Have requested that, will follow up once fixed.