Math Model for Totals

[Math]

Saturday October 11


Army Over 46.5 (52.5)

Florida St Over 57.5 (64)

James Madison Over 45.5 (50.5)

Michigan St Over 53.5 (59)

Mississippi Under 58.5 (53.5)

Oregon Over 53 (58.5)

Temple Over 52.5 (58.5)


Grade To win one unit at (-110) odds

The number in parentheses is my models projected Mathematical Total, i use a minimum 5pt difference in college football to initiate a play.

More for tonights games later this afternoon


Mr. Math

[Math]

This is the most intricate mathematical formula that I've ever used. I need to run it before an audience, put it under a microscope.

Its my belief that the books do not always set the best mathematical total, they could easily do this but they have reasons for not doing it at times. Due to the way they feel they need to shade a line, due to the effort to balance their action, whatever it may be. I think I've found a way to pit a True Mathematical Total against them. More times than not, the true math will win out.

I ran all Saturdays games thru my formula up until the 5pm cst starts. Out of 29 games that I ran, i found 7 discrepancies in what the line should be.

According to my projections, the 7 plays today, I should win 4 of those. In back testing, im finding a win rate of 55-57%, call it 56%. And of course a 56% win rate against a (-110) line over a large volume of plays will be very profitable.

Ill run the night games later today and post the plays, along with the NFL tomorrow.

Lets see how what I deem true Mathematics can do.


GL

Mr. Math