(Coll FB) Will post my Projected 12-team playoff

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
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    • 04-04-11
    • 38491

    #1
    (Coll FB) Will post my Projected 12-team playoff
    Just for fun. Will list after today's finals. Will update on weekly basis.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • ChuckyTheGoat
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    • 04-04-11
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    #2
    ACC: GATech/MiaFL

    Big10: OhioSt/Oreg/PennSt

    Big12: IASt

    SEC: Geo/LSU/Mizz/Okla/Texas

    Gof5: Navy
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
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      • 04-04-11
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      #3
      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
      ACC: GATech/MiaFL

      Big10: OhioSt/Oreg/PennSt

      Big12: IASt

      SEC: Geo/LSU/Mizz/Okla/Texas

      Gof5: Navy
      My two surprises might be:
      *MIZZ: Pribula is playing out of his mind. Keep your eyes on Mizzou.

      *Navy: I know that USF and Tulane have made more noise. Navy may be the best Gof5 team. And their schedule looks quite managable.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
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        • 04-04-11
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        #4
        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
        ACC: GATech/MiaFL

        Big10: OhioSt/Oreg/PennSt

        Big12: IASt

        SEC: Geo/LSU/Mizz/Okla/Texas

        Gof5: Navy
        Thru Week04:

        ACC (1): MiaFL
        ...I now view the ACC as a one-bid league. Canes may be the only team who can make it as an At Large team.

        Big10 (4): OhioSt/Oreg/PennSt/Indiana
        ...Oregon wins at PennSt. Don't really think it hurts PennSt too much. PennSt should still be on pace for a 10-win season.

        Big12 (1): IASt
        ...I'm convinced that the Big12 is a one-bid league. Top four teams may be IAst/TxTech/TCU/BYU. I'm expecting the Big12 teams to cannabilize each other. Each team may have 2+ losses.

        SEC (5): Geo/LSU/Mizz/Texas/Alab
        ...Alab gets a huge win at Geo. Tide go from an after-thought to right in the mix.
        ...Okla would merit a spot. But the Mateer injury is a problem. And their schedule is unforgiving.

        Gof5 (1): Memphis
        ...Now listing Memphis as the top Gof5 team. But it's close.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • franz555
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-13-14
          • 11345

          #5
          Good stuff Chucky

          My Irish are a very solid team that opened with 2 losses , albeit by 4 combined points. Outside looking in

          I was impressed with The Hurricanes tho. Both sides of the ball , and yes the only ACC team thats worthy
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          • ChuckyTheGoat
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            • 04-04-11
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            #6
            Originally posted by franz555
            Good stuff Chucky

            My Irish are a very solid team that opened with 2 losses , albeit by 4 combined points. Outside looking in

            I was impressed with The Hurricanes tho. Both sides of the ball , and yes the only ACC team thats worthy
            Thx, Franz! Appreciate the comments.

            I've been trying to soak it all in mentality. There's now SO MUCH $$ that goes into these Big10/SEC teams:
            1) SEC depth is amazing this year. No easy outs.
            2) Big10 is a little more top-heavy. But still pretty tough.
            3) At first, I didn't think much of the new NotD qb Carr. But he's winning me over. It's a little unfair for the Irish to be behind the 8-ball after two close losses.

            I think the Irish can still have an impact. But they need help. And keep this factor in mind, when the committee has to make a close decision: *These NCAA committees have proven to be NOT great on critical thinking.
            ...The SEC is so tough. There will be a 3-loss team (like Oklahoma) that will be a test-case.
            ...Your Irish have a path to 10-2. But I see one problem with "building a case." Their late-season schedule is very light, would be nice to see one more heavy-wt on there.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • JAKEPEAVY21
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              • 03-11-11
              • 29507

              #7
              Originally posted by franz555
              Good stuff Chucky

              My Irish are a very solid team that opened with 2 losses , albeit by 4 combined points. Outside looking in

              I was impressed with The Hurricanes tho. Both sides of the ball , and yes the only ACC team thats worthy
              Franz, my father is a ND alum and those were both tough losses. Miami's defense played way better than I expected and so did their QB, Beck. They were a lot better than I gave them credit for. Carr seems to have found his footing and gotten more comfortable and looks like a very good QB. I think ND probably gets in if they run the table but they put themselves in a tough spot.

              I feel like the 12 team playoff benefits ND a lot compared to most schools. I wonder if they should still continue scheduling these very tough schedules going forward, especially early in the season? When there were only 4 teams in the playoff, I understand that philosophy but with 12 teams I think they should reconsider that and schedule some lesser opponents as they would almost always make the playoff with 1 loss or fewer. I guess you can make an argument that it better prepares them for the playoff but I feel like they should change their scheduling strategy a bit.
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              • ChuckyTheGoat
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                #8
                Thru Week05:

                ACC (1): MiaFL
                ...Canes dispatch of FlaSt. Building up goodwill where they could lose in the ACC Championship and still make it as an At Large.

                Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                ...Wow, didn't see that coming. PennSt un-thinkably loses at UCLA. That's a game-changer.

                Big12 (1): Tex Tech
                ...IA State picks up a loss. Tx Tech distinguishing themselves. Still believe these teams will pick up losses against each other

                SEC (6): Geo/LSU/Mizz/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab
                ...Texas picks up 2nd loss. Losing at Florida.
                ...Moving TxAM into my list.

                Gof5 (1): Memphis
                ...Boise probably ranks as top-rated Gof5 team. But they needed a CLOSE loss at ND to build their resume.
                ...Gof5 rep likely = American champ. Four teams in competition for that honor.

                Outside looking in:
                (13) Oklahoma*: Huge asterisk team. (*=Is Mateer healthy? I don't think they can win enough games w/o Mateer).
                (14) Illinois: Illini have a big opportunity this week. Home vs OhioSt.
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
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                  #9
                  Nice job, Jerry. How can you not like this guy?

                  In this inspiring video, UCLA Football Coach Jerry Neuheisel shares his thoughts on the importance of being alive and being a brother. He encourages his team to remember the feeling of being part of something bigger than themselves and to hold onto that sense of unity. As the team navigates the challenges of the game, Coach Neuheisel reminds them to stay focused and work together towards a common goal.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
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                    • 04-04-11
                    • 38491

                    #10
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
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                      #11
                      Thru Week06:

                      ACC (1): MiaFL
                      ...Canes had bye week.

                      Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                      ...OhioSt wins at ILL. Illini surely eliminated.
                      ...Indiana wins at Oreg. Biggest win in Hoosier history? They're legit.
                      ...PennSt off the upset loss UCLA. Knew they would bounce-back. Wait - What??

                      Big12 (1): Tex Tech
                      ...Tx Tech rolling. TCU/IASt lose. BYU rallies to win in OT.

                      SEC (6): Geo/LSU/Tenn/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab
                      ...Geo rallies to win at Aub.
                      ...OleMiss wins by 3 as 32-pt Fav. Think they're over-rated.
                      ...Alab wins by 3 at Missouri. Replacing MIZZ with Tenn in my list.

                      Gof5 (1): South Florida
                      ...Old Dominion had been building an improbable resume. Monarchs lose at Marshall.
                      ...UNLV rallies to beat Air Force. Now 6-0, route to 12-0 if they can win boise this week.
                      ...South Florida impressively takes down previously unbeaten North Texas. Listing USF as my top Gof5 team. Still think this slot = American Conf champ.

                      Outside looking in:
                      (13) GATech: Jackets get to 6-0. Season-ending game versus Georgia looms.
                      (14) Missouri: Tigers take first loss. Can work their way back in.
                      (15) Texas: Huge win over Okla. Defense plays well. Horns still control their own destiny.​
                      (16) Oklahoma: Mateer returns from injury, but didn't look sharp. Sooners are a good team. But they have a brutal run-out on the schedule.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
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                        • 04-04-11
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                        #12
                        Interesting game this week: USC at Not Dame:
                        *USC has one loss at Illinois. Trojans play @Not Dame and still play .
                        ...Irish have two losses. I'm not sure a 10-2 Not Dame makes it. This is their last hi-profile opponent.
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
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                          #13
                          Thru Week07:

                          *What a week of results. Big shake-up.

                          ACC (2): GATech, Louisville
                          ...GA Tech uses red-zone defense. They win at Duke. Jackets are 7-0, Key might be NCAA Coach-of-the-Year.
                          ...Louisville springs the upset at Miami. Cardinals' talent is better than you think. And their runout to 11-1 looks pretty clean.

                          Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                          ...Top Big10 teams win convincingly. Top three look solid.
                          ...USC takes 10-pt loss at Notre Dame. Trojans probably eliminated.

                          Big12 (2): BYU, Tex Tech
                          ...Coogs get a great win in the Holy War. I have to elevate them.
                          ...TxTech had been rolling. ArizSt QB returns, Sun Devils score late to get the upset. TxTech was playing w/o starting QB Morton, so that should be considered.

                          SEC (4): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab
                          ...SEC schedule is brutal. Like an NFL schedule.
                          ...Long pick-6 at end of 1h in the Tenn/Alab game. Game-changer.
                          ...Vandy beats LSU. Commies continue to quiet the doubters.
                          ...Tough conference to gauge. How will the two-loss teams look?

                          Gof5 (1): South Florida
                          ...Memphis takes a shock loss at UAB. Still think this slot = American Conf champ.

                          Outside looking in:
                          (13) Miami-FL: Canes take upset loss. No hi-profile opponent left on the schedule.
                          (14) Notre Dame: Irish beat USC in an elimination game. Path to 10-2. But I have to rate ND behind Miami based on H2H win.
                          (15) Missouri: Tigers get OT win at Auburn. AUB kicker misses 3 FGA.
                          (16) Texas: Horns probably should have lost at Kentucky.
                          (17) Oklahoma: Mateer wins at South Carolina. Good team. But I can't see them getting to 10-2 versus this schedule.

                          Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.










                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • Shark
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-14-10
                            • 1824

                            #14
                            What about UVA for the ACC? They’re undefeated in ACC play and they don’t face Miami. More importantly, UVA already beat Louisville. They control their destiny to get to the ACC champ game.
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                            • ChuckyTheGoat
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                              #15
                              Bump. We'll see how it plays out.

                              SEC is going to be a head-scratcher. Going to be some good SEC teams with not-so-great records.
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                #16
                                Thru Week08:

                                ACC (2): GATech, Louisville
                                ...Jackets win by margin. Cards win by only 7 vs Bost Coll.

                                Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                ...Oreg beats Wisc by 14.
                                ...Indiana rolls UCLA (who had been resurgent). Hoosiers look great.

                                Big12 (1): BYU
                                ...BYU win again, this time at IASt. Coogs may be better than people think.

                                SEC (5): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab/Vandy
                                ...TexasAM uses a big 2h. They roll and surely eliminate LSU.
                                ...OleMiss gets huge win in Norman. Sooners now in trouble.
                                ...Alab was on serious upset alert. Fans were ready to rush the field at South Carolina. Tide come through late with two TDs to get the win.
                                ...Vandy beats Mizzou in a slugfest. I'm adding the Commodores and dropping Texas Tech. Vandy 3-1 run-out would get them to 10-2. And that looks pretty manageable.

                                Gof5 (1): Tulane
                                ...Memphis upsets USF. Damaging blow for USF.

                                Outside looking in:
                                (13) Texas Tech: Red Raiders have everything in front of them. Just not sure the At Large bid is so likely if they take one more loss.
                                (14) Miami-FL: Canes roll Stanford. Still likely to make it at 11-1.
                                (15) Notre Dame: I have to rate ND behind Miami based on H2H win.
                                (16) Texas: Horns were down 17 at MissSt. They rally and win in OT. Arch got injured, check his status.
                                (17) Oklahoma: Sooners go down vs OleMiss. Thought the schedule would get them.

                                Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                  #17
                                  Some observations going into the wkend. Theme will be = Things they didn't think about b4 they expanded to Super-Conferences:
                                  1) It's not close to a Round Robin schedule. Teams don't even play 80% of their Conf foes.
                                  2) This leads to a lot of Ties in the Standings. Most people have no idea what the tie-breakers are.
                                  3) Very much luck of the draw on how your Schedule shakes out. Take Oklahoma, for example. They drew an impossible 2025 Schedule, and other SEC teams drew more manageable schedules.
                                  4) There are many long-travel spots with the oversized conferences. Shouldn't be Conf games.
                                  5) Should have at least implemented a pod system to play more local teams.

                                  Just my two cents. Do with this info what you want. And if I missed anything, that's on me.
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                    #18
                                    Thru Week09:

                                    ACC (1): Louisville
                                    ...Mia-FL is upset at SMU. Very likely eliminates the Canes.
                                    ...Louisville trailed at VATech at half. But the Cards rally to win by 12.
                                    ...Given the other results, I am back to viewing ACC as a one-bid league.

                                    Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                    ...OhioSt rolls PennSt. Sayin looks good, Nitts look broken.
                                    ...Indiana starts slowly at MARY. They shake it off and roll the Terps. Hoosiers look like one of two best teams in country.

                                    Big12 (2): BYU, Texas Tech
                                    ...Texas Tech gets a tricky win at KANSt. Sets up clash vs BYU this week.
                                    ...Utah pounds Cincinnati. Bearcat mystique goes down.
                                    ...TexTech-BYU game is interesting. TXTech win would likely set up a TT-BYU rematch in Big12 Championship. If both are 11-1, both might be in.

                                    SEC (4): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab
                                    ...Georgia and OleMiss win to hold serve in the SEC.
                                    ...Vandy takes a loss at Texas. I am dropping Commies from my top 12.

                                    INDEP (1): Notre Dame
                                    ...Irish win a choppy game at Bost Coll. They are an interesting candidate. Seventh straight win but without marquee wins on their resume.

                                    Gof5 (1): North Tex
                                    ...Tulane upset by UTSA. North Texas beats Navy.
                                    ...Listing North Tex as a place-holder. Route to 11-1, good chance to play in American Conf championship.
                                    ...James Madison now getting mention as a Gof5 rep. Even at 11-1, however, I don't think the Dukes have Strength of Schedule to eclipse American champ.

                                    Outside looking in:
                                    (13) Georgia Tech: Jackets take a loss at NCSt. Dropping them from my top 12. But still have route to 11-1. Season-ending game vs Georgia looms large.
                                    (14) Texas: Horns win by 3 versus Vandy. Were up big, but they hang on. Bye week, then at Georgia. Run-out to 10-2 would look very good.
                                    (15) Oklahoma: Sooners go to Knoxville and beat TENN. Sooners also have a bye, then at Alab. 10-2 would look very good versus this schedule.
                                    (16) Virginia: Cavs win at Cal, they are quietly 9-0. Run-out to 12-0 is doable. Honestly not sure they can make it as an At Large.

                                    Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • Shark
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-14-10
                                      • 1824

                                      #19
                                      Virginia is 8-1. But they really should be at the top of your post and Louisville mentioned at the bottom. UVA beat Louisville already. Louisville is 4th in the acc standings currently, not sure why you value them so much.

                                      I am not sure how you can gave byu and Tex tech at 11-1 after the conf champ game. If Tex tech wins Saturday then byu gets their first loss. If they meet in the conf champ game one of these teams has 2 losses. Maybe I’m not understanding your point.
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                        #20
                                        Basically off on two:
                                        *Va vs Louisville.
                                        *NoTex vs Mem.
                                        ...Don't think it really matters. Those might be one-bid leagues.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                          #21
                                          Thru Week10:

                                          ACC (1): Georgia Tech
                                          ...Jackets had a bye. But they benefit from a pair of upsets.
                                          ...Louisville falls to Cal in Overtime. Virginia takes first loss to Wake.
                                          ...I think the Jackets have At Large potential. Otherwise, I see the ACC as a one-bid league.

                                          Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                          ...OhioSt takes care of Purdue. Year to break the Michigan streak?
                                          ...Indiana rallies at Penn St. Late TD keeps them undefeated.
                                          ...Oregon falls behind late at Iowa. Ducks drive and kick Game-winning FG at the gun.

                                          Big12 (1): Texas Tech
                                          ...Texas Tech impressively beats BYU. Red Raiders have built a resume, could be an At Large candidate.
                                          ...BYU takes loss, comes back to earth. Still have tough scheduling spots coming up.

                                          SEC (5): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab/Texas
                                          ...Top 4 hold serve in the SEC.
                                          ...I'm bumping up Texas, who was on a bye. Any SEC team that gets to 10-2 should get into the top 12.

                                          INDEP (1): Notre Dame
                                          ...Irish roll Navy. They deserve a ticket based on merit. And they've benefited from other teams losing.

                                          Gof5 (1): North Tex
                                          ...Tulane wins at Memphis.
                                          ...Listing North Tex as a place-holder. Route to 11-1, good chance to play in American Conf championship.
                                          ...James Madison wins by 12 at Marshall. I don't think the Dukes have Strength of Schedule to eclipse American champ.

                                          Outside looking in:
                                          (13) Oklahoma: Sooners had a bye. Huge game at Alab this week.
                                          (14) Vanderbilt: Commies beat Auburn in overtime. Still have path to 10-2. Vols to play spoiler?

                                          Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • Shark
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-14-10
                                            • 1824

                                            #22
                                            I think Texas has 2 more losses on their schedule. Should make things awfully interesting.

                                            Miami needs to enter the conversation again. With only 2 losses and a win over ND. Their resume is more impressive than ND at this point.
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                              #23
                                              Visit ESPN for NCAA live scores, video highlights and latest news. Stream exclusive college football games on ESPN and play College Pick'em.


                                              One comment on this:
                                              *I'm now convinced the Playoff Committee is more clueless than anybody.
                                              ...See Post #16 (above). The re-alignment means that you don't have close to a Round-Robin schedule. The tie-breakers become the story.
                                              ...Most people don't understand the tie-breakers. I guess that includes the Committee!
                                              ...Miami-FL has two conference losses. That is damaging. Canes have a difficult path to reach the ACC Championship:
                                              Visit ESPN for the complete 2025 NCAAF season standings. Includes league, conference and division standings for regular season and playoffs.


                                              How in the world can they list Mia-FL as the ACC representative?
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                                #24
                                                1) I get that they're likely listing Mia-FL as a place-holder. Highest-ranked ACC team.
                                                2) Big difference between ranking and qualifying for ACC Championship.
                                                3) Good news for Mario Cristobal. He lit up a Tony Montana-sized cigar when he heard that the Committee had his team in.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                                  #25
                                                  Thru Week11:

                                                  ACC (1): Georgia Tech
                                                  ...Jackets rally to win at Bost Coll.
                                                  ...Four teams with one Conf loss. I don't see how Mia-FL makes it.
                                                  ...I think the Jackets have At Large potential. Otherwise, I see the ACC as a one-bid league.

                                                  Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                                  ...OhioSt and Indiana win by margin. They're in.
                                                  ...Oregon wins by margin. But they still have work to do. Not sure the Ducks make it at 10-2.

                                                  Big12 (1): Texas Tech
                                                  ...Texas Tech blows out UCF. They've been impressive. Red Raiders still have two things to play for: 1) Possible top-4 seed, and 2) Building a strong resume that would earn them an At Large bid (if they lose in the Big12 Champ).
                                                  ...BYU blows out TCU. Coogs may have argument for an At Large bid.

                                                  SEC (5): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab/Okla
                                                  ...Georgia beats Texas. Horns are surely eliminated.
                                                  ...Texas A&M comes from way back (down 27) to beat South Carolina. Aggies have one foot in the playoff.
                                                  ...Oklahoma gets a huge win at Alabama. Sooners have a great SOS. Path to 10-2 = securing two wins in coming weeks as Home Fav.

                                                  INDEP (1): Notre Dame
                                                  ...Irish roll Pitt. That was a win over a solid team. Hard to see the Irish not being in.

                                                  Gof5 (1): North Tex
                                                  ...Navy gets a huge win over USF. Throws wrench into the American standings.
                                                  ...Now four American teams with one Conf Loss. Does anyone have the American tie-breaker calculus?
                                                  ...James Madison blows out App St by 48 points. I've been saying that they don't have Strength of Schedule to eclipse the American champ. But the Dukes may have something to say about that.

                                                  Outside looking in:
                                                  (13) Vanderbilt: Commies were on bye. Still have path to 10-2. Vols to play spoiler?
                                                  (14) USC: Trojans get a tricky win over Iowa. Feel like they have the exact right opponent this week. A USC win at Oregon might steal a bid from the Ducks.
                                                  (15) BYU: Coogs are 9-1. They've had a good season. Still feel like they have to win out to get in at 12-1.

                                                  Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                                    #26
                                                    Media has been talking up Mia-FL. They don't like Not Dame being included ahead of Miami, b/c of the Heads-up win the Canes hold.

                                                    That's a narrow view. Irish have had a much better season. Irish are the better team and would favored on Neutral.

                                                    Canes are trailing several teams in the conference standings. Don't know why people think the Canes would be worthy of a bid.
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                                      #27
                                                      Thru Week12. Getting close to the finish-line:

                                                      ACC (1): Virginia
                                                      ...Virginia and SMU have the inside track to the title-game.
                                                      ...Pitt beats Geo Tech. To make the ACC title-game, Pitt needs to beat MIA-FL and get an upset from EITHER (VATech over Virginia) OR (Cal over SMU).
                                                      ...I'm convinced the ACC is a one-bid league. Not sure I see a 2nd bid.

                                                      Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                                      ...Oregon gets a nice win over USC. But they still have work to do. Washington is a bitter rival. Huskies would love to knock the Ducks out.

                                                      Big12 (1): Texas Tech
                                                      ...Texas Tech is class of the conference. I do think they could get an At Large bid (if they lose in the Big12 Champ).

                                                      SEC (5): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab/Okla
                                                      ...Oklahoma beats Missouri. Sooners continue their run to 10-2. One more win to go.

                                                      INDEP (1): Notre Dame
                                                      ...Irish roll Syracuse. This is a very good team. The critics are not assessing this team correctly.

                                                      Gof5 (1): North Tex
                                                      ...American championship now looks like NoTex vs Tulane. Navy is the third one-loss team, but they have a tough game at Memphis. I view the American champ as being the likely Gof5 represenative.
                                                      ...James Madison wins by 4 points over WashSt. That's not a particularly good style-point win. I don't think the Dukes will have Strength of Schedule to eclipse the American champ.

                                                      Outside looking in:
                                                      (13) Michigan: This one is somewhat surprising. Wolverines are 9-2 and have the big home game versus OhioSt. A win over the Buckeyes would be the #1 quality win of the season. Would be very hard to exclude a 10-2 Michigan.
                                                      (14) BYU: They are 10-1 after win at Cincinnati. I'm elevating the Coogs. 11-2 BYU could have an argument.
                                                      (15) Vanderbilt: Commies beat Kentucky. Can get to 10-2 with win at Tennessee. But I don't view them as Win-and-In.
                                                      (16) Miami-FL: 9-2 with game at Pitt. Canes have generated a lot of discussion among the critics. Argument for inclusion is that they are 9-2 (like Notre Dame) but with a win over Notre Dame. I feel like Notre Dame has had a much better season. And Miami is behind three teams in the ACC standings. I wouldn't put Miami in the playoffs.

                                                      Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-04-11
                                                        • 38491

                                                        #28
                                                        Thru Week13. Lead-in to Championship week:

                                                        ACC (1): Virginia/Duke winner
                                                        ...Virginia beats VATech to make the title-game.
                                                        ...Duke beats Wake Forest. Duke wins a 5-way TIE-BREAKER to secure other slot.
                                                        ...Miami will not be happy, as they're ranked higher than Duke. I saw this coming, as I thought the ACC tie-breaker rules were very convoluted. They created this mess.

                                                        Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                                        ...Oregon wins at WASH.
                                                        ...I thought Michigan looked bad. Wolverines had a chance to sneak in.
                                                        ...OhioSt vs Indiana in Big10 title game. But it's only for seeding.

                                                        Big12 (1): Texas Tech
                                                        ...Texas Tech routs WestVA. I do think the Red Raiders would merit an At Large bid (if they lose in the Big12 Champ).
                                                        ...BYU wins, gets to 11-1. Feel like the Coogs have to win to make the Playoff.

                                                        SEC (5): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab/Okla*
                                                        ...Georgia wins by 7 at GeoTech.
                                                        ...TexAM takes first loss at Texas. But the Aggies are securely in.
                                                        ...MissSt/Alab win rivalry games.
                                                        ...Oklahoma rallies to beat LSU. Sooners get to 10-2 against a gauntlet schedule.
                                                        ...Georgia to play Alab in SEC title game. But should be just for seeding.

                                                        INDEP (1): Notre Dame
                                                        ...Irish roll Stanford. This is a very good team. I don't see any scenario where the Irish miss out.

                                                        Gof5 (1): North Tex/Tulane winner
                                                        ...American championship set with NoTex vs Tulane. Navy wins share of title, but misses out on Tie-breaker.
                                                        ...James Madison rolls Coastal Carolina. They'll play Troy in Sun Belt title game. I thought the Dukes wouldn't have Strength of Schedule to eclipse the American champ. I'm now torn, I think it's very close.

                                                        *Only asterisk in my mind = the Big12 result. BYU can crash the party. If BYU wins, Texas Tech is too good to exclude (in my mind). Oklahoma would be the At Large team I'd toss (as much I feel like the Sooners are in fact deserving).

                                                        Outside looking in:
                                                        (13) BYU*: They are 11-1 after win vs UCF. They can earn a bid by beating Texas Tech. But I don't think an 11-2 BYU makes it.
                                                        (14) Vanderbilt: Commies get to 10-2 by winning at Tennessee. Vandy fans won't like it, I don't think they're in. They needed one more upset to crash the party.
                                                        (15) Miami-FL: Canes get to 10-2 with win at Pitt. If Vandy fans are upset, Cane-fans may be twice as angry. Argument for inclusion is that they are 10-2 (like Notre Dame) but with a win over Notre Dame. I feel like Notre Dame has had a much better season. The ACC tie-breaker wrecked Miami. If it had been based on a ranking (or a vote), Canes would have made the ACC title game.

                                                        Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 38491

                                                          #29
                                                          Thru Week14. Judgment-day after Championship week:

                                                          ACC (1): Duke*
                                                          ...Virginia rallies to take the game to OT. But Duke wins in OT.
                                                          ...Duke's win adds chaos to the field. Duke qualified thru a 5-way TIE-BREAKER to secure 2nd title slot.
                                                          ...The ACC tie-breaker rules were very convoluted. Goes back to creating a mega-conference where you don't have anything close to Round Robin. If the tie-breaker had been Ranking, Computer or Vote, MiamiFL would have been in that game. Now, you're left with a 5-loss Conf champ, and Duke may not get a bid.

                                                          Big10 (3): OhioSt/Oreg/Indiana
                                                          ...Indiana beats OhioSt in Big10 title game. Alters the seeding, IND should get the 1-seed.

                                                          Big12 (1): Texas Tech
                                                          ...Texas Tech routs BYU. Red Raiders have had a great season. They should get a top-4 seed.
                                                          ...BYU loses. Coogs weren't competitive in either Texas Tech loss. Can't see them making the Playoff.

                                                          SEC (5): Geo/TexasAM/OleMiss/Alab/Okla
                                                          ...Georgia beats Alab by 21.
                                                          ...But I can't see a loss in game #13 knocking Alab out. Tide should be safely in.

                                                          INDEP (1): Notre Dame
                                                          ...This is a very good team. I can't see the Irish missing out.

                                                          Gof5 (1): Tulane/JamesMad*
                                                          ...Tulane beats North Texas. Green Wave will feel like they're in.
                                                          ...James Madison beats Troy by 17 in Sun Belt title game. Dukes got to 12-1 but did it against a light schedule.

                                                          *The asterisk comes down to the Conference champions. This was designed to be a 5+7 system. Top five conference champs + top seven At Large teams. Surely the five champs would = four Major champs + top Group of 5 champ.
                                                          ...You'd think so. But not if the ACC creates a half-baked Tie Breaker that allows a 5-loss team to crash the party.
                                                          ...Net impact is that your Conf Champ reps will be: Indiana/Georgia/TexasTech + two others. Who will that be?
                                                          ...Pick 2/3 out of Duke/JamesMadison/Tulane. Noteworthy that Tulane owns a 9/13 win over Duke.
                                                          ...I think Tulane has earned their way in. I think Duke has some candidacy, I give them a 20% chance of making it. But James Madison would rate about three points > Duke on a Neutral field, I give my vote to James Madison!

                                                          Outside looking in:
                                                          (13) Vanderbilt: Commies needed one more late-season upset to crash the party.
                                                          (14) Miami-FL: Argument for Canes' inclusion is that they are 10-2 (like Notre Dame) but with a win over Notre Dame. I feel like Notre Dame has had a much better season. Cane-fan fervor should be directed to the guy who drafted the ACC tie-breaker rules. After Cal upset SMU, Canes would have been in the ACC title under any sane tie-breaker algorithm.

                                                          Here's how I would seed my bracket:
                                                          9 Oklahoma at 8 Notre Dame . Winner plays 1 Indiana.
                                                          12 James Mad at 5 TexasAM. Winner plays 4 Georgia.
                                                          10 Oregon at 7 Ole Miss. Winner plays 2 Texas Tech.
                                                          11 Tulane at 6 Alab. Winner plays 3 Ohio St.
                                                          ...I twisted a few seeds to avoid Conf matchups in the Round of 8.

                                                          We'll see how close I get. Per usual, just my opinion. And there's a chance I missed something.
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 38491

                                                            #30
                                                            OK, the bracket is out. Basic reactions (in order of surprise):
                                                            1) I'm SHOCKED that Notre Dame is excluded.
                                                            ...The committee whiffed on this one. Brad Powers had ND rated as a top3 team. They won ten straight games in style.

                                                            2) MiamiFL included in the field (at expense of ND)?
                                                            ...They got this wrong. Brad Powers would rate MiaFL +7 vs ND on neutral.
                                                            ...I could see a SMALL argument for putting MiaFL in for Oklahoma.

                                                            3) I figured that Indiana's win would drop OhioSt to 2 or 3.
                                                            ...Wouldn't want to rate OhioSt at #4 and see a semifinal re-match.

                                                            4) James Madison makes it. Good for the Dukes.
                                                            ...An 8-5 DUKE was a weak entry. But I thought DUKE may qualify on principle.

                                                            5) As for the matchups, some small surprises:
                                                            a) Why match Okla vs Alab? They just played a few weeks ago.
                                                            b) Why match Tulane vs OleMiss? OleMiss beat them earlier in season.

                                                            That's all. Enjoy the games, boys. And people will be talking about ND missing.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 38491

                                                              #31


                                                              ...OK, I get it now. BradP and JoeyK talked about this.
                                                              ...ACC speaker in that room must have said. 'We need to get our best team (MiamiFL) in.'
                                                              ...That's not the way it's supposed to work. But I see the politics in play. In lieu of the ACC whiffing, they took MiamiFL > NotD.
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15308

                                                                #32
                                                                Hey notre dame. Don't lose your 2 games against the best teams on your schedule and beat up a bunch of pancakes.

                                                                Then you'll get in.

                                                                You don't get to select your entire schedule and dictate to everyone else who has to share money with their conference.

                                                                You get to keep all your proceeds. Now go enjoy them on vacation while the others play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                                  • 38491

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                  Hey notre dame. Don't lose your 2 games against the best teams on your schedule and beat up a bunch of pancakes.

                                                                  Then you'll get in.

                                                                  You don't get to select your entire schedule and dictate to everyone else who has to share money with their conference.

                                                                  You get to keep all your proceeds. Now go enjoy them on vacation while the others play.
                                                                  Bullshit. They were one of the four best teams. ACC made a deal.
                                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • homie1975
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                                    • 15308

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                                                                    Bullshit. They were one of the four best teams. ACC made a deal.
                                                                    Chucker
                                                                    the two best tesns they played were miami abd a&m and they lost borh. They beat a bunch of pansies.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15308

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Did pvssy notre dame crybabies leave the acc yet for all non football sports ? Come join the sec and play our top 8 schools and we'll see how good you are.
                                                                      Comment
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