NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[stevenash]

In survivor, is there anything better than cashing THUR and spending SUN just rooting for upsets.

Conversely, is there anything that doesn't suck more than getting knocked out on a Thursday?

[Shark]

In my leagues the picks are due Thursday 8pm so it doesn’t make much difference if I play the Thursday or Sunday games. Though I will avoid Thursday if possible because they always seem like such a crap shoot with the short week.

it’s been nice scanning next week’s possibilities with a win already secured on Thursday. I am considering another Thursday game with New England facing NYJ. I think I will use NE either of the next two weeks vs NYJ or @CIN.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Interesting stat CAR.

This is the first time the Panthers have been favored all season, and in each of the past nine times they've been favored, they've lost.

Depends on the closing line at the Jets. But that's a great stat (either way).

Carolina hasn't been favored too often. We'll see how it plays out today.

[Madison]

Conversely, is there anything that doesn't suck more than getting knocked out on a Thursday?

Nasher survivor is a love hate. Bottom line I'd almost always prefer losing earlier. I am a seasoned survivor player (15 years?) and have been way to close 3 of the last 5 years. Putting in the effort I do and essentially wasting 16 -18 weeks of your life, (And yes they are more and more precious as I age), is VERY PAINFUL.

[Madison]

In my leagues the picks are due Thursday 8pm so it doesn’t make much difference if I play the Thursday or Sunday games. Though I will avoid Thursday if possible because they always seem like such a crap shoot with the short week.

it’s been nice scanning next week’s possibilities with a win already secured on Thursday. I am considering another Thursday game with New England facing NYJ. I think I will use NE either of the next two weeks vs NYJ or @CIN.

We agree often. FYI I'm in NE, worried about Maye's last performance (ATL). Expecting them to regress today (TB). That short week concerns me!! Consider "popularity". Thinking VSIN projecting a very high NE usage THU. Causing me to think.

[Madison]

INDY turning into a pumpkin?? Obviously NICE to have Taylor as a safety net. So much for the supposedly stout INDY D.

[Madison]

I'm just getting to old for this. I played 10 weeks to get BUF -9/10 vs MIA with the majority of the pool having already used BUF. I did make a BIG note to be cautious off a possible letdown coming off KC win. I have one of 8 left 80/1245 total. Just getting to old.

[Shark]

I'm just getting to old for this. I played 10 weeks to get BUF -9/10 vs MIA with the majority of the pool having already used BUF. I did make a BIG note to be cautious off a possible letdown coming off KC win. I have one of 8 left 80/1245 total. Just getting to old.

brutal. I got knocked out of a small pool with only 6 people left and also knocked out of the DraftKings pool as well all on Buffalo.
just have the one entry left in a 107/1362 contest. I have a rule of no road, divisional teams but this far into the season you gotta consider everything. Shame on me for breaking that rule, ugh.

[Optional]

I'm just getting to old for this. I played 10 weeks to get BUF -9/10 vs MIA with the majority of the pool having already used BUF. I did make a BIG note to be cautious off a possible letdown coming off KC win. I have one of 8 left 80/1245 total. Just getting to old.

[Madison]

brutal. I got knocked out of a small pool with only 6 people left and also knocked out of the DraftKings pool as well all on Buffalo.
just have the one entry left in a 107/1362 contest. I have a rule of no road, divisional teams but this far into the season you gotta consider everything. Shame on me for breaking that rule, ugh.

Shark, over 15 years of doing survivor I have substantially reduced my emphasis on home field. There is a BIG variance regarding which HF you're talking about. Also DIV games. These people are not 24hr/per week/mth/season. Used to be 12/14 games with reasonable travel. It's a different world now where emotional highs and lows matter.

Anyway, I hate when I warm myself (BUF letdown off KC) and don't listen. My gambling mind, even after 60 years tells me things and stupidity/stubborness/age cause me to mistake.

[Madison]

Yeah, when I used to really gamble (70/80,s) i broke the TV once. Another life lesson as all that did was give me 2 minutes of joy and $700 out of pocket for new TV. Back in those days you got a shitty 360RES tv for $700. Anyway was an expensive lesson.

[stevenash]

Yeah, when I used to really gamble (70/80,s) i broke the TV once. Another life lesson as all that did was give me 2 minutes of joy and $700 out of pocket for new TV. Back in those days you got a shitty 360RES tv for $700. Anyway was an expensive lesson.

... And a decent Sony would cost you 2K.
Now you can get a 40" Magnavox with brilliant resolution for 200 dollars.

There are certain things in life you pay up for, and you pay down for.
TVs you can get quality while paying down at the same time.

[Optional]

Yeah, when I used to really gamble (70/80,s) i broke the TV once. Another life lesson as all that did was give me 2 minutes of joy and $700 out of pocket for new TV. Back in those days you got a shitty 360RES tv for $700. Anyway was an expensive lesson.

I know another poster who threw their TV down their stairs one Sunday

[Madison]

I need some help here. Expect NE to be big public fav and figure this week could be a trap coming of TB/Road. I do have BUF alive coming off that embarrassment at MIA.

[stevenash]

I need some help here. Expect NE to be big public fav and figure this week could be a trap coming of TB/Road. I do have BUF alive coming off that embarrassment at MIA.

I hear your concern, NE should be safe though, Vrabel is too good a coach to have a let down game.

[Madison]

I know another poster who threw their TV down their stairs one Sunday

No, I was smart enough to keep the mess inhouse. Didn't want to incur additional.

Several of my friends are suggesting my wife for HOF. LOL. Still get reminded of the time I was supposed to take her out for Birthday/Anniversary and subconsciously took a sharp left to the Dog races exit (my regular). OOOps. LOL.

Anyway, BEST to all!!

[Madison]

I hear your concern, NE should be safe though, Vrabel is too good a coach to have a let down game.

Amazing the difference coaches can make. !!!

[stevenash]

No, I was smart enough to keep the mess inhouse. Didn't want to incur additional.

Several of my friends are suggesting my wife for HOF. LOL. Still get reminded of the time I was supposed to take her out for Birthday/Anniversary and subconsciously took a sharp left to the Dog races exit (my regular). OOOps. LOL.

Anyway, BEST to all!!

Wonderland in Revere, Mass.?

[Madison]

Wonderland in Revere, Mass.?

Seabrook, but certainly many days years at Wonderland. To convince her I bought dinner 40 something nights in a row at the Hilltop.
Fillet and huge lobster pie was like $15. Fillet was so big that they had to teach me what "butterfly" meant. For those unknowing, It was so thick they had to slice it in half to cook it properly.

In my glory days distance tracks would publish their last 6 starts. Name escapes (Telmor?), but I was one of a short few who had exposure to priors at somewhat superior tracks. There were so many ways back in the day to get sharp data. AI and all is great I guess, but now seems everyone knows everything. Maybe it was too easy back then. Add .05 and .10 lines.

Sorry for the ramble just missing some precious history.

Best to all this week!!

[Shark]

Using patriots this week, not really any other options. It’s getting dicey for me. 107 left in the contest.

[Headsterx]

Using patriots this week, not really any other options. It’s getting dicey for me. 107 left in the contest.

Pats playing well and at home against the Jets on TNF. This is an easy play. Good luck!

[Madison]

Pats playing well and at home against the Jets on TNF. This is an easy play. Good luck!

1 of 83 left of 1245. I have zero faith in NE tonight. Was forced? to play them as 90% of the remaining 83 all have the same availability. Really kind of sucks as I got this far and best case , other than wild plays, is likely at least 10 survive to the finish.

Was thinking of maybe MIA but still not sure that gets me as NE at NYJ other likely playable spot. Tough year!

Question ... Anyone play in a pool where admin doesn't disclose %vig?

[Madison]

Survived w/NE. Likely BAL next week. Hope the NFL world turns upside down this week. Almost all games contentious.

[Shark]

Survived w/NE. Likely BAL next week. Hope the NFL world turns upside down this week. Almost all games contentious.

Congrats on advancing, on a Thursday no less. That’s great you have Balt next week. I have no such options so I will likely go with SF vs Car or Eagles vs Dallas but I really don’t like using my hometown team. I also saw the look ahead line was Philly -3.5 which stinks of an upset.

[stevenash]

^
Which is your hometown team?

[Shark]

Eagles…I was talking about an upset happening that I didn’t like the sound of.

[stevenash]

Eagles…I was talking about an upset happening that I didn’t like the sound of.

I'm from North Jersey originally.

[Madison]

So, here's a thought. Maybe last/best chance for SEA. Can go SEA, BAL (next week vs CIN) , and then BUF vs CIN. In total it's a play against CIN and the Burrow possibility. Even if JB comes back will he be sharp?

Original was BAL/LAC/TB vs the weaker NYJ/LV/NO. With BUF still in my pocket. BUF in the midst of 5 of 7 on the road. The best play may be NE to win the AFC East.

[Shark]

You’ve got some great options left. Definitely go Seattle.

I have awful options.

SF
Phi
Chi
Pitt
or basically any of the shitty teams.

I’m also considering the saints. Cousins is ded and hasn’t won a game in ages.

[stevenash]

^
Tyler Shough was razor sharp on his last out.
Kid could be legit, but he's too skinny for 6'6"

[Madison]

Here's my recent thought pattern.

SEA,BAL / BAL,LAC / TB / JAC / PH / SF / BUF.

Very leery of LAC.

Weeks 16 and 17 very tough for me.

GL Shark. I guess we're the last standing?? Thx Nasher for your input!!

[Shark]

I’m going with SF. Hoping they squeak it out. I have some decent options in the coming weeks if I can advance this week. I think SF will be pretty popular this week which worries me. Given that most people have used SEA, BALT, DET and NE.

[Madison]

I’m going with SF. Hoping they squeak it out. I have some decent options in the coming weeks if I can advance this week. I think SF will be pretty popular this week which worries me. Given that most people have used SEA, BALT, DET and NE.

Given your options not a terrible choice, however they have substantial FV.

GL Bud!

[Ian]

The big chalk all seem to have future value. If I was still in I would roll the dice with Vegas and use Bal, SF, LAR, DET, SEA when they are more picked over later in the season.

GL guys.

[Headsterx]

The big chalk all seem to have future value. If I was still in I would roll the dice with Vegas and use Bal, SF, LAR, DET, SEA when they are more picked over later in the season.

GL guys.

I like the Vegas pick.