and its name is the Washington Redskins. That has to be the worst trick play I've seen. Move a bunch of linemen, but have them do nothing. Abandon a high-odds FG attempt. Fortunately, when you're down 24, forgetting to kick a FG might cost you perhaps 2% of a game-win.
On the "idiotic coaching" topic, what about Tennessee not taking timeouts at the end of the game? 56 seconds left, game tied. Miami has the ball on its 4 yard line.
Miami runs, picks up 4. 2d and 6 from its own 8 yard line. Titans don't call a timeout, and Miami runs the clock out. If Tennessee prevents a first down (this is about a 60% chance if Miami doesn't pass), it will have the ball at about the 45 yard line with 30 second left. If Miami risks a pass, odds of a first down go up, but it will save the Titans a timeout.
My gut-shot estimate: calling timeouts there gives you about a 20% chance to win in regulation, and a 4% chance to lose in regulation.
Failure to use timeouts here was a bigger blunder than if Belichek had punted in his controversial game vs Indy (going for it on 4th and 2 from his own 30 gave him a win rate of about 79%, versus 70% for punting).
On the "idiotic coaching" topic, what about Tennessee not taking timeouts at the end of the game? 56 seconds left, game tied. Miami has the ball on its 4 yard line.
Miami runs, picks up 4. 2d and 6 from its own 8 yard line. Titans don't call a timeout, and Miami runs the clock out. If Tennessee prevents a first down (this is about a 60% chance if Miami doesn't pass), it will have the ball at about the 45 yard line with 30 second left. If Miami risks a pass, odds of a first down go up, but it will save the Titans a timeout.
My gut-shot estimate: calling timeouts there gives you about a 20% chance to win in regulation, and a 4% chance to lose in regulation.
Failure to use timeouts here was a bigger blunder than if Belichek had punted in his controversial game vs Indy (going for it on 4th and 2 from his own 30 gave him a win rate of about 79%, versus 70% for punting).