I realize golf isn't for everyone and if you don't like the sport watching it on tv can be brutal. But I made big money this weekend and am learning how to really spot excellent betting opportunities.
Heading into the last day I was already plus units following several winners in earlier round and tourney matchups. But then the windfall --
I loved two matchups:
Toms over Scott. I had to give a half stroke, but was betting at +102. Scott was in first place by three strokes but he hadn't been doing a good job over three days. Looking at his stats revealed that he was barely 60 percent on fairways hit over the previous three rounds. in fact, in the second round he was just at 50 percent. He had done a good job of scrambling up to that point in the tournament. That stat usually catches up to players -- eventually missing fairways will catch up to you. So I took Toms, who had been playing very consistently throughout the tournament -- not a lot of birdies but not a lot of bogeys (or worse) either. Toms won the matchup easily. (I also sold number shares of Scott as, despite his three-stroke lead, the number was way to high IMO. Nice payday when he dropped to seventh.)
The other matchup was Austin over Gay. This time paying -132 but getting a half stroke. Just looking at the previous three rounds showed Austin was in a groove. He just wasn't getting any bogeys -- just two in his previous two rounds. Gay was getting numerous birdies, putting him high on the leaderboard, but he was getting almost as many bogeysl. It looked like a mismatch, and it turned out to be so...
I am not saying this to brag (much)...I just would like to get more golf betting discussions because the opportunities are out there. I don't know if there are any other pga bettors on the forum (other than kalmikrazy) but if so...start posting. If you aren't betting the PGA, then you could be missing some great opportunities. Over the past months, I've learned to spot bad lines and great opportunities. I am not always right, obviously, but I've only lost money in one of the last nine tournaments when I started betting golf seriously. I have completely abandoned baseball (too brutal) to focus on golf and it's been paying off. Join the fun!
Heading into the last day I was already plus units following several winners in earlier round and tourney matchups. But then the windfall --
I loved two matchups:
Toms over Scott. I had to give a half stroke, but was betting at +102. Scott was in first place by three strokes but he hadn't been doing a good job over three days. Looking at his stats revealed that he was barely 60 percent on fairways hit over the previous three rounds. in fact, in the second round he was just at 50 percent. He had done a good job of scrambling up to that point in the tournament. That stat usually catches up to players -- eventually missing fairways will catch up to you. So I took Toms, who had been playing very consistently throughout the tournament -- not a lot of birdies but not a lot of bogeys (or worse) either. Toms won the matchup easily. (I also sold number shares of Scott as, despite his three-stroke lead, the number was way to high IMO. Nice payday when he dropped to seventh.)
The other matchup was Austin over Gay. This time paying -132 but getting a half stroke. Just looking at the previous three rounds showed Austin was in a groove. He just wasn't getting any bogeys -- just two in his previous two rounds. Gay was getting numerous birdies, putting him high on the leaderboard, but he was getting almost as many bogeysl. It looked like a mismatch, and it turned out to be so...
I am not saying this to brag (much)...I just would like to get more golf betting discussions because the opportunities are out there. I don't know if there are any other pga bettors on the forum (other than kalmikrazy) but if so...start posting. If you aren't betting the PGA, then you could be missing some great opportunities. Over the past months, I've learned to spot bad lines and great opportunities. I am not always right, obviously, but I've only lost money in one of the last nine tournaments when I started betting golf seriously. I have completely abandoned baseball (too brutal) to focus on golf and it's been paying off. Join the fun!
