I'll break it down for everyone here...
Dr. Bob is one of the most controversial topics in our hobby/industry, so I thought I'd just deliver straight facts for everyone here in a simple unbiased manner.
FACTS:
Dr. Bob is a better handicapper [going by "honest' units bet (all bets accounted for)] over any 5+ year period in the last 20 years than the majority of the people on this board.
Dr. Bob is one the VERY few paid touts that actually has the numbers to back up the simple claim of all touts: "over time my bets will win you money and qualify as a sound investment of your money."
Dr. Bob has been 'off his game' for 18 months in NCAAF now, the sport that created all the 'buzz' when he hit 70% in 2004.
Dr. Bob's games have massive, *predictable* steam behind them. In years past, if you didn't get your bets down ahead of the steam, you ended up with most of your bets being at a bad number and/or a bad price, and that was the chance you took to play his games.
Beginning last year, maybe even in 2007, we began to see the trend change, and could track an increased number of his bets that would retreat back to the original line between 5pm CST Thursday (his release) and gametime on Saturday.
This year, especially the last few weeks when he's done better, you can bet almost all of his bets at the same, or even better, number/price than the original line. Some bets have still been at a worse number, but usually it's a negligible and very minor unless the bet was around a key number. The other VERY important thing to remember is that Bob's bet sizes are dictated by the number you get. Just because it's a 3* at -6.5, doesn't mean you should still bet that much if the best number you can get is -8. On the other hand, if a line moves the other way, a 3* can become a 4* on Saturday morning. You have to track these as well...Missouri from a couple weeks ago comes to mind.
As long as if you have at least a few decent offshore books (with majority of your balance at matchbook), you CAN use Bob's plays as a seasonal strategy to burn through rollovers much more quickly than if you simply tried to scalp bad lines and 'guess' which way lines will move throughout the week. If Bob heats back up over a sustained period, you can expect the trend to again reverse itself and make it very hard to ever get a better number/price than the original line. And, ironically enough, you don't have to go 'find' his picks on the internet. Just watch sbrlines every 3 minutes started at 4:45CST on Thursdays. The only 'wrinkle' that Bob may employ in the future if he gets red hot again is to tell his subscribers that he will release his plays at random times over a one hour period, and only give them a 5 seconds heads up. Until then, they can be 'timed' with 100% accuracy using SBRlines.
Dr. Bob is not a 'quick fix' or a short-term solution to your own personal losing streak. You can't simply hop on the train when you need a lift and expect to go 5-2 and chase your own losses. You have just as good a chance of going 2-5. You must understand variance, and you must understand that all he does is claim to be a lifetime winner that has 'bad streaks' like everyone else. If it were any other way, we'd all quit our jobs, move to vegas, and become professional gamblers until the day someone paid a hitman to silence Bob so that the casinos don't go bankrupt.
Read his write-ups, and then compare them to the usual horseshi* you read from Brandon Lang, hear on the radio, or even read on...dare I say it...internet message boards. Are you really trying to throw him in the pile with all the total jackasses in the world?
Bob's not trying to be better than you, or anyone else personally. He's not one of the usual ego-maniac know-it-alls we see here/there/everywhere all the time. He has a business, sells a service, and his customer base is made up of mostly repeat customers (whereas most touts have customers for less than a year...wonder why?) His customers do not believe he is the Dalai Lama or the leader of some cult that has brainwashed them. So why do his customers stay with him? There could be only one reason. For them, his plays are a better investment than their own, and over time, are a profitable investment that can be 'graded' and tracked against other investments, resulting in the average return that the average person would consider a 'very good' investment.
If you can beat Bob, he and I would both say, "awesome, congrats man, just keep putting your money where your mouth is, and let her f'n rip for a few years. practice flawless money management. good luck with that, hope you kill it."
[Just posted this in another thread, but thought I'd see what everyone has to contribute in my own]
Dr. Bob is one of the most controversial topics in our hobby/industry, so I thought I'd just deliver straight facts for everyone here in a simple unbiased manner.
FACTS:
Dr. Bob is a better handicapper [going by "honest' units bet (all bets accounted for)] over any 5+ year period in the last 20 years than the majority of the people on this board.
Dr. Bob is one the VERY few paid touts that actually has the numbers to back up the simple claim of all touts: "over time my bets will win you money and qualify as a sound investment of your money."
Dr. Bob has been 'off his game' for 18 months in NCAAF now, the sport that created all the 'buzz' when he hit 70% in 2004.
Dr. Bob's games have massive, *predictable* steam behind them. In years past, if you didn't get your bets down ahead of the steam, you ended up with most of your bets being at a bad number and/or a bad price, and that was the chance you took to play his games.
Beginning last year, maybe even in 2007, we began to see the trend change, and could track an increased number of his bets that would retreat back to the original line between 5pm CST Thursday (his release) and gametime on Saturday.
This year, especially the last few weeks when he's done better, you can bet almost all of his bets at the same, or even better, number/price than the original line. Some bets have still been at a worse number, but usually it's a negligible and very minor unless the bet was around a key number. The other VERY important thing to remember is that Bob's bet sizes are dictated by the number you get. Just because it's a 3* at -6.5, doesn't mean you should still bet that much if the best number you can get is -8. On the other hand, if a line moves the other way, a 3* can become a 4* on Saturday morning. You have to track these as well...Missouri from a couple weeks ago comes to mind.
As long as if you have at least a few decent offshore books (with majority of your balance at matchbook), you CAN use Bob's plays as a seasonal strategy to burn through rollovers much more quickly than if you simply tried to scalp bad lines and 'guess' which way lines will move throughout the week. If Bob heats back up over a sustained period, you can expect the trend to again reverse itself and make it very hard to ever get a better number/price than the original line. And, ironically enough, you don't have to go 'find' his picks on the internet. Just watch sbrlines every 3 minutes started at 4:45CST on Thursdays. The only 'wrinkle' that Bob may employ in the future if he gets red hot again is to tell his subscribers that he will release his plays at random times over a one hour period, and only give them a 5 seconds heads up. Until then, they can be 'timed' with 100% accuracy using SBRlines.
Dr. Bob is not a 'quick fix' or a short-term solution to your own personal losing streak. You can't simply hop on the train when you need a lift and expect to go 5-2 and chase your own losses. You have just as good a chance of going 2-5. You must understand variance, and you must understand that all he does is claim to be a lifetime winner that has 'bad streaks' like everyone else. If it were any other way, we'd all quit our jobs, move to vegas, and become professional gamblers until the day someone paid a hitman to silence Bob so that the casinos don't go bankrupt.
Read his write-ups, and then compare them to the usual horseshi* you read from Brandon Lang, hear on the radio, or even read on...dare I say it...internet message boards. Are you really trying to throw him in the pile with all the total jackasses in the world?
Bob's not trying to be better than you, or anyone else personally. He's not one of the usual ego-maniac know-it-alls we see here/there/everywhere all the time. He has a business, sells a service, and his customer base is made up of mostly repeat customers (whereas most touts have customers for less than a year...wonder why?) His customers do not believe he is the Dalai Lama or the leader of some cult that has brainwashed them. So why do his customers stay with him? There could be only one reason. For them, his plays are a better investment than their own, and over time, are a profitable investment that can be 'graded' and tracked against other investments, resulting in the average return that the average person would consider a 'very good' investment.
If you can beat Bob, he and I would both say, "awesome, congrats man, just keep putting your money where your mouth is, and let her f'n rip for a few years. practice flawless money management. good luck with that, hope you kill it."
[Just posted this in another thread, but thought I'd see what everyone has to contribute in my own]