TPowell's College Basketball Preview

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #1
    TPowell's College Basketball Preview
    USA Today/ESPN Poll

    1. Kansas
    2. Michigan State
    3. Texas
    4. North Carolina
    5. Kentucky
    6. Villanova
    7. UConn
    8. Duke
    9. West Virginia
    10. Butler
    11. Tennessee
    12. California
    13. Washington
    14. Purdue
    15. Michigan
    16. Oklahoma
    17. Ohio State
    18. Minnesota
    19. Mississippi State
    20. Georgia Tech
    21. Georgetown
    22. Dayton
    23. Louisville
    24. Clemson
    25. Syracuse

     
     
    1. Kansas

    Last year, many people expected Kansas to be a borderline top 25 team. It was a logical assumption after losing the corps of a National Championship team. Many people forget that Kansas earned a #3 seed last year in a rebuilding year (for Kansas). This team played Michigan State MUCH better than Louisville and UConn did. Kansas returns two Naismith Award caliber players in point guard Sherron Collins and center Cole Aldrich. The Jayhawks also return the Morris twins and shooting guard Tyshawn Taylor. Taylor will have plenty of competition this year as prized freshman Xavier Henry decided to attend Kansas. Henry is a long and athletic 6'6 guard who can flat out score the basketball. With the addition of Henry, Kansas remains on a level of its own. Henry should be able to provide the spark to ignite the experienced players that Kansas has.
     
    2. Michigan State

    I'm sure I will receive plenty of hate for this, but I don't expect this Michigan State team to sniff the Final 4 this year. I do believe that they will be around the top of the league in the Big 10 though. They return 5 of their top 6 scorers and if Delvon Roe gets healthy, they could be a force. I don't expect this to happen myself, but I'm throwing that out there. The loss of Goran Suton will be MUCH tougher than making up for the mere 10 points he averaged. To an outsider of the MSU program, it seemed like Suton was the glue that held that team together. Will Kalin Lucas or Raymar Morgan be able to be the glue this year? Also, Morgan is currently not healthy because of minor ankle problems. One thing I tend to notice with Tom Izzo's teams is that they seem to never be healthy. The run last year to the National Title game was an amazing feat, but that team was nowhere near that good. It is very premature to think that this Michigan State team is a top 5 team after having to fight in a relatively soft Big 10 conference, losing Suton, and not bringing anybody in of significance. I would feel very confident that this MSU team will be a top 10 team by the end of the year, but I don't see them challenging like most others do
     
    3. Texas

    What can you say about Rick Barnes? The guy just never seems to get it done when it matters most, even with the great talent he has had in the past. They return Damion James, who seems to be very popular for some reason. I've always saw him as a big SF who has no jump shot. The kid is a great rebounder and player, but he tends to force way too many shots. Another key playe returning is big man Dexter Pittman. I'll keep the fat jokes to a minimum, but this guy could really become a star this season after a breakout year last year. Avery Bradley was the centerpiece of the Texas 09 class (#1 SG) and should bring a toughness to this team of flat out pansies. From what I've heard about Bradley, he has shown great defensive instincts on a team that isn't exactly known for defense. In the long run, I think this Texas team COULD go to a Final 4 but with Rick Barnes, who knows? I wouldn't consider betting Texas early on because they have a couple freshman that are impact players, but they are so deep at guard, that it will be tough establishing good chemistry.
     
    4. North Carolina

    How can this UNC team be as good as last years? Simply put, they cant be. With Larry Drew starting at PG, this team shouldnt be considered a top 5 team IMO. Nothing against Drew, but he isn't the PG of a top 5 team. According to Gary Parrish, this UNC team is headlined by Ed Davis, John Henson, and Marcus Ginyard...... sounds like two solid role players and a solid 4 man. North Carolina will have many problems to start the year because of how reliant they will be on freshman. I truly think that freshman SG Dexter Strickland and Leslie McDonald will be big time scorers for this team. Both can really fill it up for a team that loses basically all of its top players. Deon Thompson and Ed Davis should form a pretty solid frontcourt. In the back court, Ginyard and Drew aren't going to make many top teams fear them. I would consider fading the Heels until they prove they are a legit top 10 team. This UNC team could come close to a Final 4, but I honestly don't see it. I see this UNC team as a Sweet 16 lock, but depending on the draw, that could be all for them.

    5. Kentucky

    Anybody want to explain how Kentucky plans to learn the "dribble drive" offense in one season? It takes a lot of time to get used to playing rec. style basketball again. This Kentucky team has chemisty problems out the ass IMO. John Wall and Eric Bledsoe should be solid at the point guard spot but who knows how they will play under pressure, as both are freshmen. At shooting guard, Darnell Dotson, a Juco, could be counted on to fill in. Nothing wrong with this kid, but he will not be the man to stop teams from packing it in defensively. Darius Miller should strive in this system but he also is not a particularily good shooter from outside. Up front, Kentucky returns Patrick Patterson and brings in 5 star big men Daniel Orton and DeMarcus Cousins. These boys are both well over 6'9 and 250 pounds. I question Orton's ability to play in this kind of system and I question Cousins' ability to work hard enough to warrant becoming a star. The only constant on this team will be Patrick Patterson. These other guys could be complete duds or complete studs. I would range this Kentucky team like Wake Forest last season. They may beat top 10 teams, but they will certainly lose head shakers like Vanderbilt. In the end, I see this UK team as top 5 team.... FOR NOW. They could end up much worse IMO
  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #2
    6. Villanova

    One of the most interesting teams this year to me are the Villanova Wildcats. Without Shane Clark, Dwayne Anderson, and star forward Dante Cunningham, it will be tough early on for the Cats. Of course, star guards Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher both return as does Corey Stokes and Reggie Redding. Freshmen guards Dominic Cheek, a 3 point marksman, and Maalik Wayns, a TRUE point guard should fit in perfectly with Nova and provide tons of depth in the backcourt. Remember this name, Mouphtaou Yarou. Yarou is a 6'9 forward who will be perfect for the system Jay Wright runs. Wright loves to have bigs that can crash the boards and play with reckless abandon and he found the right man in Yarou. Kid is still very raw but considered a top 10 recruit on most boards. This team will have to find somebody like Yarou to do the dirty work inside. Villanova posseses the best starting backcourt in the country and I would dare say they have the deepest backcourt with the additions of Cheek and Wayns. I can't see this Villanova team going down before the Elite 8. I personally have them in a few futures.
    Comment
    • TPowell
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-21-08
      • 18842

      #3
      7. Connecticut

      UConn was given a huge break when 6'9 small forward Stanley Robinson decided to come back to school. I really thought he should have been at least a mid to late 1st round pick last year in the NBA Draft. The Huskies also return Jerome Dyson. Dyson was hurt last season and was the main reason why Michigan State defeated them in Detroit. Dyson is a very dynamic 2 guard that can be huge if he stays healthy. This team will depend on the growth of sophomore point guard Kemba Walker. Walker impressed me last year playing behind A.J. Price, but this year he becomes the man. Losing their top 3 scorers from last year will really hurt UConn, but they do have talent that Jim Calhoun can work with. At the end of the day, I believe the losses of Jeff Adrien, Hasheem Thabeet, and A.J. Price will be too much for the Huskies to overcome. Adrien in particular seemed to be the heart of that team last year. It will be a much different team without Thabeet to make the plays only he was capable of making. I can see this UConn team having a decent season, but I don't see how this team has a good chance at a Final 4
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #4
        8. Duke

        I'm not sure who decided that Duke should be a top 10 team, but it damn sure wasn't me. I really thought Elliot Williams would do special things for Duke this year, but his transfer to Memphis was huge blow. Williams was probably the second most athletic player on that Duke team. The most athletic was senior Gerald Henderson. Henderson led the team in scoring (16 ppg) and did everything that guys like Scheyer and Nolan Smith couldnt. Kyle Singler and Jon Scheyer still provide the deep ball, but without guys like Henderson and Williams, I'm not sure how much it matters. Incoming is PF Ryan Kelly, who is an incredibly poised young man with a great 3 point shot at 6'10. Obviously he's white and he also struggles rebounding and on defense. Fellow recruit and PF, Mason Plumlee is a great rebounder and has good touch from mid range, but he also isn't a true post player, even at 6'11. The hope that Duke fans should have is relatively unheralded SG Andre Dawkins. Dawkins can shoot the deep ball AND provide much needed athleticism. The kid can flat out jump and loves to play above the rim. This kid could make a big difference for Duke, but minutes will be hard to come by. In the end, I see this Duke team like the ones from the past few years. A Sweet 16 is possible with a good draw, but not much more after that unless they get the infamous Duke cakewalk
        Comment
        • TPowell
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-21-08
          • 18842

          #5
          9. West Virginia

          Another one of MY personal favorite teams this year are the Mounties. Daryl "Truck" Bryant really surprised me last year with his play from the point guard spot. As a sophomore, I fully expect him to be a solid floor general. Joe Mazzula is also back from an injury suffered last year, as is Wellington Smith. The two big guns are Da'Sean Butler and Devin Ebanks. Both of these guys are capable of playing at a high level inside and out, as well as providing tons of athleticism. I know many people have been wondering when Bob Huggins will get his kind of team and I believe this is the year. The loss of Alex Ruoff was pretty big, but he didn't really fit in to the kind of team Huggins wanted. Another name you might not know is Kevin Jones. Jones will be a sophomore this year and is a combo forward who showed a pretty sweet shooting stroke at the end of last season. I like West Virginia to challenge Villanova in a less talented Big East this year. With Huggins at coach, who knows what this team will do come March but they do have all the tools to get to a Final 4. Most of the expectations depend of the maturation of Daryl Bryant. I see West Virginia as very similar to UConn when it comes to expectations. If the point guard play is there this year, both have outside shots at a Final 4. I would rank West Virginia's chances slightly higher though.
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            10. Butler

            This Butler team was pretty good last year, but they relied on relatively young players. With Matt Howard, Shelvin Mack, and Gordon Hayward, this Butler team has the chance to be one of the most talented mid majors ever. Hayward will be a fine pro one day and Shelvin Mack was a huge steal from the state of Kentucky. Most tend to overlook Matt Howard, but I really love the kids game. Those 3 players I mentioned were the top 3 scorers from last years team and should only improve this year. The one concern I have with this team is defensively. I hate to nitpick, but I didn't think that Butler played the defense they usually do last year. Brad Stevens is a good young coach that I believe can lead this team to great things. The only problem is that they could slide into a 4 or 5 seed and get a shitty draw. If this happens, a Sweet 16 may be a huge accomplishment. Gary Parrish believes they are talented enough to make a Final 4. I personally don't share this opinion, but I do think they have a solid chance at making noise come March, possibly an Elite 8
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #7
              comments are always welcome. Am done for tonight though
              Comment
              • TPowell
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-21-08
                • 18842

                #8
                Comment
                • ABEHONEST
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-27-09
                  • 9470

                  #9
                  A tip for Powell !
                  Watch for Tyler Zeller to really make strides this year .
                  He's the 2008 Mr.Basketball for Indiana and I think he has great potential .
                  Being 7 ft. doesn't hurt,but this kid has class and brains also .
                  He also is damn athletic for a 7ft white boy .
                  He could be the key for late charge in the regular season for Carolina .

                  Did you know his younger brother is a junior at Washington High School,and is around 6' 9" 1/2 ?
                  Rumor has it, he will be better than T.Zeller,but I will never believe that unless I see it ?
                  Comment
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