Brick backs down to 57% challenge

[raiders72001]

Quarm- I'll take 5-2 or give 5-2. How aren't the odds fair? Yes, I'm willing to take money from joker's like you because you talk when you should be listening.

[Quarm]

because you talk when you should be listening.

thats a funny statement for a spammer, i bet most here wouldnt mind if you shut up.
As i said im no gambler, even if the odds are in my favor (5/2 means i have to win less than 33% of the games? lol) - i wont waste the time, not enough money in it, not worth the hassle.

[raiders72001]

not enough money

You get funnier by the day. If you aren't a gambler than what the hell are you doing here? How much money would make it worth your while? Name the price and let's get it on. The only way to teach someone like you is by learning the hard way. If you want no part of this than shut your trap and leave.

[Quarm]

The only way to teach someone like you is by learning the hard way.

lol now im scared - uhoh, an internet handle wants to teach me stuff!

If you want no part of this than shut your trap and leave

I talk wherever and how often i want here, just like you and your mate JJGoldie.

Btw you didnt answer me, what does 5/2 mean?

[onlooker]

Btw you didnt answer me, what does 5/2 mean?

Thats the odds. For every 200 bet, you win 500.

[Quarm]

Thats the odds. For every 200 bet, you win 500.

and on what, that i hit 57% ?
As i thought, raiders is a sucker...who would be dumb enough doing that? The odds would still be in his favor, big time...

[onlooker]

and on what, that i hit 57% ?

Yes, I believe it was 57%.

Noone said Raiders was smart.

Hey Raiders, verify me at the TFZ. Snap snap.

[raiders72001]

Onlooker- You're in.

Quarm- You are the slowest guy on this forum. Did you ride the short white bus to school? I'll give 5-2 or take 5-2.

[Quarm]

how generous big guy - whats the chance to hit 57% over 100+ games? 5% maybe?
Dont waste our time if you only come up with sucker offers.
At a bookie i would at least get 10/1 for such a bet.

[Senator7]

What's the chance to hit 57% over 100+ games?

50/50

You either hit 57% or you don't!

I would take a stab at this challenge but I average less than a play a day and I would only do it with football. That and it would be my luck that I would hit a cold streak.

I'm looking to hit 57% for the season in the Beat The Prick Contest. Doesn't prove anything, its just a goal of mine. I'm @ 54% right now, so I'm right there half way through the season.

[Quarm]

nice one Senator...but it would be interesting to know whats the real chance. Anyone able to get that down mathematically?

[onlooker]

nice one Senator...but it would be interesting to know whats the real chance. Anyone able to get that down mathematically?

That sounds like a call out to Ganch.

[raiders72001]

All you have to do is use a binomial distribution chart and it will give you the answer that you are looking for.

Quarm- S l o w l y - s o - t h a t - u n d e r s t a n d . I -w i l l - t a k e - e i t h e r - s i d e - o f - t h e - b e t . I - c a n - h i t - 57 % - i f - y o u - w a n t -t o - t a k e - t h e - o t h e r - s i d e.

[rm18]

I have a good compromise Raiders gives 5/2 but he also makes picks and Brick only wins if he goes 57% and beats Raiders.

[raiders72001]

I'd do that.

[Quarm]

If it's more of a personal thing then it's an even worse idea.

Amen - seems like Muddy is not shagga shagga in the brain like you raiders...if you think u are hot cause you play for money, than its time for you to turn that computer off and look for a real life.

Same goes for rm18 btw, and everyone else who agrees to that shit. Im slow? No, i think im just normal in the brain, unlike you...
because you taking both sides just means you want to show that you are the man with the bigger dick...you said noone can hit 57%, and now you want to do it yourself? As i said, you are sick...

Im impressed by people like fire fighters who risc their life for others - but certainly not by a sick person like yourself, lol. So stop trying you cute little raiderly.

[raiders72001]

When a coin is flipped, the outcome is either a head or a tail; when a magician guesses the card selected from a deck, the magician can either be correct or incorrect; when a baby is born, the baby is either born in the month of March or is not. In each of these examples, an event has two mutually exclusive possible outcomes. For convenience, one of the outcomes can be labeled "success" and the other outcome "failure." If an event occurs N times (for example, a coin is flipped N times), then the binomial distribution can be used to determine the probability of obtaining exactly r successes in the N outcomes. The binomial probability for obtaining r successes in N trials is: where P(r) is the probability of exactly r successes, N is the number of events, and p is the probability of success on any one trial. This formula assumes that the events: (a) are dichotomous (fall into only two categories) (b) are mutually exclusive (c) are independent and (d) are randomly selected

[raiders72001]

Quarm- What the hell are you doing here. It's fun for gamblers to have challenges against each other. Many of us have played sports and are competitive.

There's no problem if none of the above describes you but get out of here if all you are going to do is cry and whine.

[raiders72001]

The only problem with the chart that I have posted above is that you can use it to determine the odds of hitting exactly 57% . You want 57% or more. The easiest way to figure this out is to find an interactive binomial distribution chart on the web.

[Quarm]

you are no gambler - you try to make money off naive persons.
If you really would be a gambler a 500$ challenge over 3 months (or how long this shit is running now...) would be laughable to you.

And you said noone can hit 57% - so where is the challenge?
There is none, rm18 gives you some money cause hes dumb, and thats it.
Challenges are fine, but i prefer people who are less of a bastard like yourself lmao. And who are not full of shit.

[raiders72001]

Quarm- You have serious problems with comprehension. I said the I could hit 57%. I will take either side of the bet.

binomial distribution

Plug in the number of trials(N) and the probability(p), .5 for a 50/50 proposition. Also it's fun to play with this because if you consider yourself a 54% winner you can plug in .54 for p and see the results.

[raiders72001]

Quarm- rm is one of the smartest guys on this board.

[raiders72001]

Another thing has to be taken into consideration. Becasue you have the choice to take the line of any book listed at SBR and you can watch line moves, the odds are much greater of hitting 57% than the chart reveals.

[raiders72001]

The reason that the bet could have been bad for me is if you plug in .55 as you consider yourself a 55% winner then you are getting the better of the 2-1 offer.

Now if you are a 46% winner such as Quarm, plug in .46 and you'll see that it's impossible for me to lose.

[raiders72001]

I shoot for 55% which is why I'm willing to take 5-2 to hit 57%.

[Quarm]

the chart shows that your chances of getting 57% or better are very low, compared to getting 45-56%...

good job in sucking rm18 in raiders, will you go to his house now? "why havent you been there JJ?" ? looool...

Ahh good laugh...but its slowly getting boring now.
I could take the 2/5 and watch you losing, but it would be no fun since you are such a dickhead. But maybe someone else wants to, should be a breeze.

[raiders72001]

Quarm- You are a true idiot. rm is a good capper. Say he normally hits 55% winners. Now plug in .55 for (p) and you will see that the odds are in his favor.

[raiders72001]

Quarm- One of the reasons I asked rm to come over is becasue he understands gambling. He's ahead of line moves and takes leads as do others at my forum. We're not always right but we do OK.

[raiders72001]

Here's another guy that takes leads at my board. This is what someone wrote on the moves

An excellent collection of Movers. In 2 Hours, almost 25 net good move points

This means he got an extra 25 points on cumulative moves. This is how you beat this game.

[raiders72001]

Just so that the math guys don't come back at me, I was using Poisson Distribution for some of those examples.

[aje]

Here's a possible fade for someone.

http://wizardofodds.com/nfl

[Max Levine]

lol aje! I get Michael Shackleford's newsletter and he started off great but hasn't done too well ever since. But he still has a good sense of humor about it.

Max

[aje]

lol aje! I get Michael Shackleford's newsletter and he started off great but hasn't done too well ever since. But he still has a good sense of humor about it.

Max

I was unaware he had a newsletter. I'll have to check in to that.

[Brick Tamland]

Draw up the rules Bitch

Start the thread on the damn rules... Im going to Hawaii in 135 days and dont want to be whoopin your ass from the beach...being disracted by coconut bras.

Seriosly... lets work out the details.

[Quarm]

Just do yourself a favor, and stay away from that Brick...