Quarm- I'll take 5-2 or give 5-2. How aren't the odds fair? Yes, I'm willing to take money from joker's like you because you talk when you should be listening.
Brick backs down to 57% challenge
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raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#36Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#37Originally posted by raiders72001because you talk when you should be listening.
As i said im no gambler, even if the odds are in my favor (5/2 means i have to win less than 33% of the games? lol) - i wont waste the time, not enough money in it, not worth the hassle.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#38not enough moneyComment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#39Originally posted by raiders72001The only way to teach someone like you is by learning the hard way.
Originally posted by raiders72001If you want no part of this than shut your trap and leave
Btw you didnt answer me, what does 5/2 mean?Comment -
onlookerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 36572
#40Originally posted by QuarmBtw you didnt answer me, what does 5/2 mean?Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#41Originally posted by onlòókerThats the odds. For every 200 bet, you win 500.
As i thought, raiders is a sucker...who would be dumb enough doing that? The odds would still be in his favor, big time...Comment -
onlookerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 36572
#42Originally posted by Quarmand on what, that i hit 57% ?
Noone said Raiders was smart.
Hey Raiders, verify me at the TFZ. Snap snap.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#43Onlooker- You're in.
Quarm- You are the slowest guy on this forum. Did you ride the short white bus to school? I'll give 5-2 or take 5-2.Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#44how generous big guy - whats the chance to hit 57% over 100+ games? 5% maybe?
Dont waste our time if you only come up with sucker offers.
At a bookie i would at least get 10/1 for such a bet.Comment -
Senator7SBR MVP
- 08-20-05
- 1559
#45Originally posted by QuarmWhat's the chance to hit 57% over 100+ games?
You either hit 57% or you don't!
I would take a stab at this challenge but I average less than a play a day and I would only do it with football. That and it would be my luck that I would hit a cold streak.
I'm looking to hit 57% for the season in the Beat The Prick Contest. Doesn't prove anything, its just a goal of mine. I'm @ 54% right now, so I'm right there half way through the season.Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#46nice one Senator...but it would be interesting to know whats the real chance. Anyone able to get that down mathematically?Comment -
onlookerBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 36572
#47Originally posted by Quarmnice one Senator...but it would be interesting to know whats the real chance. Anyone able to get that down mathematically?Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#48All you have to do is use a binomial distribution chart and it will give you the answer that you are looking for.
Quarm- S l o w l y - s o - t h a t - u n d e r s t a n d . I -w i l l - t a k e - e i t h e r - s i d e - o f - t h e - b e t . I - c a n - h i t - 57 % - i f - y o u - w a n t -t o - t a k e - t h e - o t h e r - s i d e.Last edited by raiders72001; 11-10-05, 10:13 PM.Comment -
rm18SBR Posting Legend
- 09-20-05
- 22291
#49I have a good compromise Raiders gives 5/2 but he also makes picks and Brick only wins if he goes 57% and beats Raiders.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#50I'd do that.Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#51Originally posted by MudcatIf it's more of a personal thing then it's an even worse idea.
Same goes for rm18 btw, and everyone else who agrees to that shit. Im slow? No, i think im just normal in the brain, unlike you...
because you taking both sides just means you want to show that you are the man with the bigger dick...you said noone can hit 57%, and now you want to do it yourself? As i said, you are sick...
Im impressed by people like fire fighters who risc their life for others - but certainly not by a sick person like yourself, lol. So stop trying you cute little raiderly.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#52When a coin is flipped, the outcome is either a head or a tail; when a magician guesses the card selected from a deck, the magician can either be correct or incorrect; when a baby is born, the baby is either born in the month of March or is not. In each of these examples, an event has two mutually exclusive possible outcomes. For convenience, one of the outcomes can be labeled "success" and the other outcome "failure." If an event occurs N times (for example, a coin is flipped N times), then the binomial distribution can be used to determine the probability of obtaining exactly r successes in the N outcomes. The binomial probability for obtaining r successes in N trials is: where P(r) is the probability of exactly r successes, N is the number of events, and p is the probability of success on any one trial. This formula assumes that the events: (a) are dichotomous (fall into only two categories) (b) are mutually exclusive (c) are independent and (d) are randomly selectedComment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#53Quarm- What the hell are you doing here. It's fun for gamblers to have challenges against each other. Many of us have played sports and are competitive.
There's no problem if none of the above describes you but get out of here if all you are going to do is cry and whine.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#54The only problem with the chart that I have posted above is that you can use it to determine the odds of hitting exactly 57% . You want 57% or more. The easiest way to figure this out is to find an interactive binomial distribution chart on the web.Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#55you are no gambler - you try to make money off naive persons.
If you really would be a gambler a 500$ challenge over 3 months (or how long this shit is running now...) would be laughable to you.
And you said noone can hit 57% - so where is the challenge?
There is none, rm18 gives you some money cause hes dumb, and thats it.
Challenges are fine, but i prefer people who are less of a bastard like yourself lmao. And who are not full of shit.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#56Quarm- You have serious problems with comprehension. I said the I could hit 57%. I will take either side of the bet.
binomial distribution
Plug in the number of trials(N) and the probability(p), .5 for a 50/50 proposition. Also it's fun to play with this because if you consider yourself a 54% winner you can plug in .54 for p and see the results.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#57Quarm- rm is one of the smartest guys on this board.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#58Another thing has to be taken into consideration. Becasue you have the choice to take the line of any book listed at SBR and you can watch line moves, the odds are much greater of hitting 57% than the chart reveals.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#59The reason that the bet could have been bad for me is if you plug in .55 as you consider yourself a 55% winner then you are getting the better of the 2-1 offer.
Now if you are a 46% winner such as Quarm, plug in .46 and you'll see that it's impossible for me to lose.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#60I shoot for 55% which is why I'm willing to take 5-2 to hit 57%.Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#61the chart shows that your chances of getting 57% or better are very low, compared to getting 45-56%...
good job in sucking rm18 in raiders, will you go to his house now? "why havent you been there JJ?" ? looool...
Ahh good laugh...but its slowly getting boring now.
I could take the 2/5 and watch you losing, but it would be no fun since you are such a dickhead. But maybe someone else wants to, should be a breeze.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#62Quarm- You are a true idiot. rm is a good capper. Say he normally hits 55% winners. Now plug in .55 for (p) and you will see that the odds are in his favor.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#63Quarm- One of the reasons I asked rm to come over is becasue he understands gambling. He's ahead of line moves and takes leads as do others at my forum. We're not always right but we do OK.Comment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#64Here's another guy that takes leads at my board. This is what someone wrote on the moves
An excellent collection of Movers. In 2 Hours, almost 25 net good move pointsComment -
raiders72001Senior Member
- 08-10-05
- 11084
#65Just so that the math guys don't come back at me, I was using Poisson Distribution for some of those examples.Comment -
Max LevineSBR Wise Guy
- 10-12-05
- 614
#67lol aje! I get Michael Shackleford's newsletter and he started off great but hasn't done too well ever since. But he still has a good sense of humor about it.
MaxComment -
ajeSBR Sharp
- 10-13-05
- 284
#68Originally posted by Max Levinelol aje! I get Michael Shackleford's newsletter and he started off great but hasn't done too well ever since. But he still has a good sense of humor about it.
MaxComment -
Brick TamlandSBR MVP
- 08-12-05
- 1336
#69Originally posted by Brick TamlandDraw up the rules Bitch
Seriosly... lets work out the details.Comment -
QuarmSBR Sharp
- 10-03-05
- 313
#70Just do yourself a favor, and stay away from that Brick...Comment
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