Divisional Round Parlay +243 Lock

[ddittie]

Divisional Round	Odds	Parlayed Odds
BUF +8.5	-400	(+243 odds)
BAL +8.5	-442
KC ML	-425
DET ML	-520
BAL/BUF O39.5	-587
KC O16.5	-600
WAS +20.5	-539

Buffalo & Baltimore will be an awesome game. I would put my house as collateral that both teams show up to this matchup prepared and make little mistakes. This game will end a one score game, I'm sure of it.
(Ravens are my favorite for the super bowl this year). I think this game will be much lower scoring than the total predicts, as both teams will try to limit the others time of possession by running the ball and milking the clock. We will also see two defenses get some stops, but keeping these teams under 20 pts each is pretty much an impossible task, and keeping BOTH of them under 20? Not happening, added the alternate total for added value.

Detroit will beat the Commanders, but I expect it to be a game. I expected the Vikings to put up a fight as well, so I went ahead and added WAS +20.5 in case Detroit decides to make light work of the Commanders. I highly doubt that the game is more than a 2 score deficit at any point, so I feel it's an easy cash. Less than 5% of the time this game ends in a blowout, and I believe WAS is more likely to win against Detroit than Detroit is capable of beating Washington by 21 or more.

Houston played great against the Chargers, but tbh, the Chargers are just a well coached team with less talent across the board. The Texans can make it a game against the Chiefs, but one and done in the playoffs isn't something God has in plan for the Chiefs (I've personally asked Him.). The Chiefs are an AFC Championship contender and will lose to, I predict, the Ravens. They ain't scoring less than 17, and if they do, they will lose the game anyway. Adding it in, increased the payout, so I added it.

Overall, I don't have the extra funds available to maximize this bet to its fullest potential. So I'm sharing it with you all.

This bet is an absolute lock.

[Vene1616]

Call Circa, they'll extend you a credit limit if you keep giving action like this

[ddittie]

Call Circa, they'll extend you a credit limit if you keep giving action like this

When this hits, you owe me a beer.

[Vene1616]

When this hits, you owe me a beer.

I'll bet it for the hell of it. I can't stand having no action on any of the playoff games.

Worse than having a bet and losing

[k13]

Too many things can go wrong here for a small payout.

[DJK]

I like the sure thing.

OSU, KC, Detroit ML parlay for -114.

Looking to take it for 5K.

If OSU loses for some stupid reason, then 10K on ML parlay for the remaining two.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Insane ticket. Hope you hit.

Think it has a chance. In the sense that the Playoff lines are pretty sharp. Not too many big surprises.

[MalikHusam]

BAL/BUF over - have you considered the possibility it's 6-6 at halftime, and no one concedes a single big play all game long, and teams just play keep away until someone falls 2 scores behind?

Detroit... do you think the Eagles weren't trying to win, when Daniels beat them a couple of weeks ago? Or do you think that 'this lucky run Commies are on is unsustainable and just has to stop'? -520 is a lot of wood to lay against a guy who looks like generational talent. Even against teams with very good line play (Eagles)

[ddittie]

BAL/BUF over - have you considered the possibility it's 6-6 at halftime, and no one concedes a single big play all game long, and teams just play keep away until someone falls 2 scores behind?
Detroit... do you think the Eagles weren't trying to win, when Daniels beat them a couple of weeks ago? Or do you think that 'this lucky run Commies are on is unsustainable and just has to stop'? -520 is a lot of wood to lay against a guy who looks like generational talent. Even against teams with very good line play (Eagles)

6-6 at halftime would be the worse case scenario. Even so, that’s 4 scoring drives, and chances are second half will be more pts, plus the OT chances. This game will have around 46 total points scored imo, 85% of the time. You are more likely to have one team score 30 pts or more than you are for the game to go under 40 pts.

As far as the Commanders go, Daniel’s is great. But he’s no Lamar Jackson. Detroit is getting some defensive guys back and Washington will have to put up more than 24 points to win this game. There’s only so much Daniel’s can do..
Tampa isn’t in the same tier as Detroit,
Philly, Buffalo, Baltimore, KC. Those 5 teams are 6 or favs against the rest of the league right now. I understand the public’s desire for an underdogs but the Commanders are going home in the divisional round, barring a miracle or two.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I like your ticket. I honestly don't anticipate many upsets the rest of the way:

*I don't consider BALT/BUFF an upset either way.

[trobin31]

I wa looking for the play and then realized the guy parlayed 7 legs and called it a lock. Lack of pu$$y make a man brave

[DJK]

I like the sure thing.

OSU, KC, Detroit ML parlay for -114.

Looking to take it for 5K.

If OSU loses for some stupid reason, then 10K on ML parlay for the remaining two.

If I lose both of these, then I'm still up $2K for the week.

Maybe I shouldn't go so high for the first parlay, so the next parlay wouldn't have to so high either.

But, that's how I made $17,000 last week betting big on 2 to 3 teams parlays that are pretty solid.

I was even supposed to bet $20K on Baltimore and Buffalo parlay at -208 at DK, but they won't take it. They said $3,000 win maximum.

BetMGM would take it but their odd sucked at -250.

[GzaTheGenius]

If I lose both of these, then I'm still up $2K for the week.

Maybe I shouldn't go so high for the first parlay, so the next parlay wouldn't have to so high either.

But, that's how I made $17,000 last week betting big on 2 to 3 teams parlays that are pretty solid.

I was even supposed to bet $20K on Baltimore and Buffalo parlay at -208 at DK, but they won't take it. They said $3,000 win maximum.

BetMGM would take it but their odd sucked at -250.

Chief’s could lose to Texans
Redskins can definitely beat lions too

Never a sure thing in sports gambling

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Not a fan of the philosophy of teasing two sides in the same game but good luck to you

[SundanceKid]

Ohio State game is after the divisional round so Ohio State would be the last leg.

[ddittie]

Not a fan of the philosophy of teasing two sides in the same game but good luck to you

Won't allow me to tease both sides now. It did right when they put the line out but now theres a restriction. This parlay isn't allowed to be created anymore so I'll have to create another.

[OVAKUL]

Won't allow me to tease both sides now. It did right when they put the line out but now theres a restriction. This parlay isn't allowed to be created anymore so I'll have to create another.

I would also expect KC ml and KC o16.5 to be correlated and not allowed in a single bet like that

Which book is this?

[ddittie]

I would also expect KC ml and KC o16.5 to be correlated and not allowed in a single bet like that

Which book is this?

DraftKings allows it

[ThaTopMoron]

I would've prob tossed in Buckeyes ML over that of Lamar Jackson on the road in a playoff game

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Rooting for your play. Lions need to rally.

I will say that it's not un-precedented for the Conf favorite to rally in this spot. It's happened b4.

[DwightShrute]

makes no sense that you can choose both sides in a parlay. What book allows you to do this?

[ddittie]

makes no sense that you can choose both sides in a parlay. What book allows you to do this?

It’s an alternate spread, why wouldn’t you be allowed to? A parlay is a parlay. The odds are designed to go both sides, that’s why there’s juice. Books shouldn’t care. But DraftKings allows it, and sometimes doesn’t allow it. It depends on how early you get the bet in after they post lines.

[ddittie]

Rooting for your play. Lions need to rally.

I will say that it's not un-precedented for the Conf favorite to rally in this spot. It's happened b4.

Doubt Lions comeback here but definitely got a shot. As I said, Commanders are more likely to win than to get blown out and it’s looking like they will pull this out. Daniel’s has not blinked when put under pressure. This rookie might be taking his team to a Super Bowl loss.

[DwightShrute]

It’s an alternate spread, why wouldn’t you be allowed to? A parlay is a parlay. The odds are designed to go both sides, that’s why there’s juice. Books shouldn’t care. But DraftKings allows it, and sometimes doesn’t allow it. It depends on how early you get the bet in after they post lines.

so you are saying that I can bet $10,000 on a 2 team parlay with Buffalo -440 + Baltimore -400 and guarantee myself a $5,340 profit?

If so, please let me know what book this is because I know a lot of people that will take that action, including myself. Even it its $1000 or $500 or $100. You can't ever lose.

Thanks in advance.

[ddittie]

[ddittie]

so you are saying that I can bet $10,000 on a 2 team parlay with Buffalo -440 + Baltimore -400 and guarantee myself a $5,340 profit?

If so, please let me know what book this is because I know a lot of people that will take that action, including myself. Even it its $1000 or $500 or $100. You can't ever lose.

Thanks in advance.

As I said previously DraftKings.

and there are plenty of ways to lose, obviously. But I’m on board with you. I don’t think this game ends with either team winning by more than 8 pts

[ddittie]

so you are saying that I can bet $10,000 on a 2 team parlay with Buffalo -440 + Baltimore -400 and guarantee myself a $5,340 profit?

If so, please let me know what book this is because I know a lot of people that will take that action, including myself. Even it its $1000 or $500 or $100. You can't ever lose.

Thanks in advance.

DraftKings. I got greedy and added Williams. But the others will hit.