Steelers vs Ravens Wild Card Picks

Headsterx · 01-07-25, 05:42 AM

Steelers: L4 loss
Ravens: L4 scores 30+ pts and won by double digits with last game covering -20 spread.

Ravens -10

SBR Andy · 01-10-25, 10:08 AM

Steelers vs Ravens prediction and best bet, from SBR's Andrew Brennan:

ATS pick: Ravens -9.5 (-110 Caesars)

"The Ravens will be without No. 1 wide receiver Zay Flowers on Saturday night, but I still don't envision them struggling with this Steelers team.

Since a shootout win over the Cincinnati Bengals and a convincing 27-14 victory against the lowly Cleveland Browns, the Steelers' last four point totals are 13, 17, 10, and 17. Their offense is an absolute mess, and top wideout George Pickens managed zero yards on one reception during a key Week 18 showdown.

Russell Wilson has turned back into the pumpkin most people knew he was, and you can't beat the 2024-25 Ravens without keeping pace with their high-powered offense.

As we saw during Baltimore's Week 18 win against the Browns, Jackson and Co. don't necessarily need Flowers to do damage. Rashod Bateman stepped into the No. 1 role seamlessly while hauling in five of eight targets for 76 yards and a touchdown.

And of course, the Ravens' real superpower is their running game. Henry and Jackson can combine for 200-plus rushing yards on any given day.

Baltimore will pound Pittsburgh into submission en route to a comfortable 10-plus-point victory at home."

Best Bet: Lamar Jackson Anytime TD (+240 FanDuel)

"I generally don't love betting on player props when the playoffs roll around - regardless of the sport - because those wagers become far more unpredictable than during the regular season. But the main reason for that is star players seeming to defy projections when the stakes are high. Let's use that to our advantage in this case.

Jackson scored just one rushing touchdown over the final five weeks, but he was running the ball very effectively. The quarterback took 36 carries for 316 yards during that stretch, and his legs will surely play a significant role in Saturday's game.

The NFL MVP contender is projected for 0.26 rushing touchdowns against the Steelers. So based on that number, we're not getting a ton of value through these odds.

However, when factoring in a bit of those aforementioned postseason intangibles, I'd put his number closer to Jayden Daniels' projection (0.45). These odds would be a steal If his projection was somewhere in that range."

SBR Andy · 01-11-25, 09:59 AM

Steelers vs Ravens betting splits from BetMGM:

Headsterx · 01-11-25, 10:17 AM

Ravens -9 5 and the man who helped win NFL TD contest… Mark Andrews +150 Score TD FD. Go Ravens!