Anatomy of a 45.5k bailout parlay (from 50k to $6658 to 52.2k)

[Doug tushyterror]

1st the bad:
Atrocious live 3k Bears ML bet followed by 2 even worse Jets pregame bets. (lost 20k)



Now the ugly:
Might as well chase that 20k with Jets alt. 2H parlay (+14.5/o46.5) Just needed Jets to score 11 points once ARI scored 7 but of course they get shutout. (lost 23.4k)



At this point I'm down to $6658 from 50k & already in the process of transferring $94,020 from my HYSA to Citi to reload & restart with 100k (already transferred 50k, the rest tmrw)



Now the lucky: (ALL IN parlay)

[Doug tushyterror]

Just a little more context: had 0 intention of trying to win this back until I saw the Lions were down big. Was this close to placing this alt. 2H parlay but was worried about the total in case the Lions shut them out in the 2H (which shockingly happened). Instead I just randomly threw in the hockey live bet to get the payout to over 50k down 3-1 with 6 minutes left. Luckily CLB cut it to 3-2 so the ANA empty netter kept it a winner.



Here was the truly scary part. Watched the Lions game until they tied it at 23 & then turned it off & waited for the result. Cashout was decent at that point (23.8k) with HOU driving for a GW FG.


Figured I was fukked at that point but it was either win & have 52.2k or lose & reload 100k: nothing in between. Obv I lucked out big time yet again (like with the Jets beating the Texans on TNF), transferred that 50k back to my HYSA, but anybody saying it's just a matter of time before I lose everything doing this dumb shit over & over: I most certainly don't blame you.

[mjsuax13]

Great recovery but you have to stay away from the JETS!

[Doug tushyterror]

Great recovery but you have to stay away from the JETS!

They're my kryptonite mj

[Optional]

anybody saying it's just a matter of time before I lose everything doing this dumb shit over & over: I most certainly don't blame you.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Dougy nearly up a quarter of a million dollars this year, let’s put that into perspective before anyone here starts to judge him for his calculated degenerate ways.

[MalikHusam]

Over 46.5

Jets +14.5

You know how HARD it is to lose BOTH LEGS of this SGP?

you hit a 5-percenter

lololol

[MalikHusam]

They're my kryptonite mj

THIS IS THE CONTENT

I'm here for

[DonnieBrasco23]

THIS IS THE CONTENT

I'm here for

It’s the content we’re all here for, Dougy a true gambler compared to the rest of us. He also has the balls to share his journey win or lose. There’s a pretty decent percentage of posters in forumville that hide their losses and celebrate their wins only. Dougy doesn’t do that and never will. He gets my respect and he rightfully earned it.

[johnnyvegas13]

Doug y not buy lions vs bills and lions vs ravens Super Bowl futures ???

[Eddy Munny]

Dougy nearly up a quarter of a million dollars this year, let’s put that into perspective before anyone here starts to judge him for his calculated degenerate ways.

Calm down dude, you're going overboard with the mother hen routine. Dougy is a grown man and from what I can tell nobody here is really attacking him. If anything, we're all living vicariously through him. That being said, there is beyond a shadow of a doubt, more than a couple of degenerate bones in his body that push him to the high risk maneuvers he's undertaken in the past and continues to take to this day. The lore of gambling is littered with casualties who share his impulse, but for them the ball took an unfortuitous bounce on the day of reckoning. Sometimes there's a fine line between rags and riches. Dougy knows this better than anyone.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Calm down dude, you're going overboard with the mother hen routine. Dougy is a grown man and from what I can tell nobody here is really attacking him. If anything, we're all living vicariously through him. That being said, there is beyond a shadow of a doubt, more than a couple of degenerate bones in his body that push him to the high risk maneuvers he's undertaken in the past and continues to take to this day. The lore of gambling is littered with casualties who share his impulse, but for them the ball took an unfortuitous bounce on the day of reckoning. Sometimes there's a fine line between rags and riches. Dougy knows this better than anyone.

You’re lucky that I’m self-aware because I’m probably starting to sound like Chucky sucking Johnnycakes cawk on these boards and you know what I don’t want that for myself so let me fall back. You bring up a good point, appreciate the POV.

[Doug tushyterror]

Calm down dude, you're going overboard with the mother hen routine. Dougy is a grown man and from what I can tell nobody here is really attacking him. If anything, we're all living vicariously through him. That being said, there is beyond a shadow of a doubt, more than a couple of degenerate bones in his body that push him to the high risk maneuvers he's undertaken in the past and continues to take to this day. The lore of gambling is littered with casualties who share his impulse, but for them the ball took an unfortuitous bounce on the day of reckoning. Sometimes there's a fine line between rags and riches. Dougy knows this better than anyone.

Well said Eddy but here's the reason I'm willing to take these shots: whole key for me was WD a lot in order to feel relatively secure going ALL IN this much knowing I could always reload. Without that safety net, I'd never be taking these shots. These were 3 other AII IN parlays that if they didn't hit, I'd be in a bad way right about now. Would've obv reloaded if they lost, but I just know that would eventually lead to losing everything.

[ThaTopMoron]

you will stop losing money on the jets in road games now and watch them murder the colts in 6 days at home

lol

then the lions will go to indy and murder them

i told you on october 24th to start fading the colts and they are 0-3 since and you bet MLs not spreads, 0-2 ats after somehow being a fluke 6-1 ats team after 7 games due to easy schedule

[Doug tushyterror]

you will stop losing money on the jets in road games now and watch them murder the colts in 6 days at home

lol

then the lions will go to indy and murder them

i told you on october 24th to start fading the colts and they are 0-3 since and you bet MLs not spreads, 0-2 ats after somehow being a fluke 6-1 ats team after 7 games due to easy schedule

Besides the win vs HOU & the lucky cashout vs NE, I've lost around 63k combined on the Jets vs BUFF ($500), PITT, (22k) & ARI (40.4k). With that said, I don’t hold grudges (blacklist teams cuz it's a loser gambling mentality: no one's forcing me to bet on them) I do agree that they're great value vs. IND. Line dropped from -4.5 (-210) to -3 (-155) after the loss. JT is obv a huge problem vs their shitty run D but Flacco is a fukking statue compared to the last 4 QBs they faced: Murray, Stroud, Wilson & Allen. With all the pressure off the Jets now with the season over, this has Jets 31-17 written all over it, ruining their draft status.

[Eddy Munny]

Honestly, if I were you Dougy, I'd hold down a PT job of some sort... not necessarily because you need to, but just to alleviate some of the pressure that comes from relying solely on income from betting. Something steady and reliable, but easy as pie and free from stress. Even if it just covers some bills and whatnot. Plus you'll be paying into the tax scam, I mean system, so you at least won't raise a bunch red flags subsisting completely outside of the workforce.

[captrobey]

Wow so the +2.5 was a good one but when did you bet the other to get that +684 when they were down 23-7 ?

[ThaTopMoron]

They're my kryptonite mj

factor this in. Look back at 2012, 2016 and 2020 and the ways the Packers found a way to lose to the Colts

Rodgers is 0-3 v Colts

2 were in Indy so that helped for the comebacks but this one is in NY. and if you look back over the years with the Colts it doesn't matter what type of team the Jets have the Colts seem to struggle in NY

With the type of person Rodgers is, do you think he knows he is 0-3 v the Colts and this is last chance to beat them and try and turn the 3-7 season around and "run the table" and go 9-7. he probably still thinks it's possible

[Doug tushyterror]

Honestly, if I were you Dougy, I'd hold down a PT job of some sort... not necessarily because you need to, but just to alleviate some of the pressure that comes from relying solely on income from betting. Something steady and reliable, but easy as pie and free from stress. Even if it just covers some bills and whatnot. Plus you'll be paying into the tax scam, I mean system, so you at least won't raise a bunch red flags subsisting completely outside of the workforce.

Makes sense Eddy but I just can't go back to some bullshit security job even if the pay is decent. Not really qualified for much else at my age (48) & education/job resume. (dropped out of college needed 18 credits to get a Finance degree from Baruch in 1998. Nothing but security jobs since. There are benefits to having no "provable" income though:
1)recently approved for Medicaid: totally free
2) getting SNAP/EBT benefits: every month ($292 food, $92 cash & $215 rent credit bringing my rent down from $800 to $585 & also $46 Con Ed credit)..my monthly nut is now less than $800 even factoring in phone/cable bill.
Next yr I could still get around gambling tax implications since I grossed around 40k before I was fired in July, but in 2026 I'll have to see where I'm at gambling wise to consider working or not.

[Doug tushyterror]

Wow so the +2.5 was a good one but when did you bet the other to get that +684 when they were down 23-7 ?

+684 are the combined odds. I got +250 on DET down 23-13 early 3Q.

[Doug tushyterror]

factor this in. Look back at 2012, 2016 and 2020 and the ways the Packers found a way to lose to the Colts

Rodgers is 0-3 v Colts

2 were in Indy so that helped for the comebacks but this one is in NY. and if you look back over the years with the Colts it doesn't matter what type of team the Jets have the Colts seem to struggle in NY

With the type of person Rodgers is, do you think he knows he is 0-3 v the Colts and this is last chance to beat them and try and turn the 3-7 season around and "run the table" and go 9-7. he probably still thinks it's possible

Reminds me of his last yr in GB when they were 4-8 & needed to win out to make the playoffs. Once they won in CHI to get to 5-8, I put 3k on them to make the playoffs at +500. They get a lucky win in MIA (concussing Tua) & blowout MIN at home. Then of course they lose at home to DET (who were eliminated once SEA won) who had nothing to play for besides "pride" costing me 15k that I really needed at the time. With that said, even if the Jets someone win their next 6 games, Rodgers would probably blow wk 18 vs. MIA at home if that was the exact same scenario as 2022.

[Eddy Munny]

Oh alright, so you got a little sugar coming in on the side. Gotcha, not a bad gig.

[TheMetsSuck]

Who are you taking tonight?

[Doug tushyterror]

Who are you taking tonight?

Just this. These bets usually put me on tilt when they lose but I gotta imagine the 2H is gonna be higher scoring..if not by 1 measly point.

[ThaTopMoron]

Just this. These bets usually put me on tilt when they lose but I gotta imagine the 2H is gonna be higher scoring..if not by 1 measly point.

no wonder you go on tilt often as you say in your own words

you need to go with 1 or 2 plays together to get close to +100 odds and just bet 1 to 2k a night if you like something live

avoid those random down 10k tuesdays

i know you won't listen, but just saying! keep up the grind

remember NFL teams and players do have pride, as we saw with the Dolphins defense playing. jets defense has got to be preparing extra for the Colts game after what Murray did to them. All they need to do is limit the run and pressure Joe at the right times and not blow coverages in the secondary and they should win as long as Rodgers doesn't throw a couple picks

[Doug tushyterror]

no wonder you go on tilt often as you say in your own words

you need to go with 1 or 2 plays together to get close to +100 odds and just bet 1 to 2k a night if you like something live

avoid those random down 10k tuesdays

i know you won't listen, but just saying! keep up the grind

remember NFL teams and players do have pride, as we saw with the Dolphins defense playing. jets defense has got to be preparing extra for the Colts game after what Murray did to them. All they need to do is limit the run and pressure Joe at the right times and not blow coverages in the secondary and they should win as long as Rodgers doesn't throw a couple picks

These bets are a recipe for disaster laying that kinda juice but 17 2H points should've been much easier than needing that 50 yd FG with 2:43 left with these 2 offenses.
As for the Colts, the Jets are up to -180 from -155. Really like the Jets here as well but the Colts actually have cupcake backend schedule for a playoff run. They should win their last 3 games & if they win at NE, that's 8 wins. If they win 1 of their remaining " tough" games, NYJ, DET or DEN they could possibly get in with 9 wins. That's the only thing making me leery about taking the Jets: I'm sure the Colts look at this as a must win as well.

[ThaTopMoron]

These bets are a recipe for disaster laying that kinda juice but 17 2H points should've been much easier than needing that 50 yd FG with 2:43 left with these 2 offenses.
As for the Colts, the Jets are up to -180 from -155. Really like the Jets here as well but the Colts actually have cupcake backend schedule for a playoff run. They should win their last 3 games & if they win at NE, that's 8 wins. If they win 1 of their remaining " tough" games, NYJ, DET or DEN they could possibly get in with 9 wins. That's the only thing making me leery about taking the Jets: I'm sure the Colts look at this as a must win as well.

Colts never have an easy time beating the Jags

trap game v Giants

Denver has the defense to win the game itself basically if they show up and play up to par

Lions should cruise

I like the Jets and the line is moving as I expected when I saw it at just -3 after Sunday's games

[ThaTopMoron]

Richardson is back Dougie!

Will be easier for Jets to terrorize him. He will be trying so hard to perform and not mess up that he will just get sacked and hold the ball scared to make a mistake. Jets can load the box and dare him to beat them with short accurate throws one after another. Not happening!

[RudyRuetigger]

You’re lucky that I’m self-aware because I’m probably starting to sound like Chucky sucking Johnnycakes cawk on these boards and you know what I don’t want that for myself so let me fall back. You bring up a good point, appreciate the POV.

you are literally the scum of sportsbetting forums

[DonnieBrasco23]

you are literally the scum of sportsbetting forums

Actually, I’m one of the most respected posters in the history of forumville, because of my transparency about my gambling. The way I track my gambling my opinions on my gambling. Even posters from here would agree. So you’re definitely off-base with this one. You’re just a miserable drunk, who needs to get laid more often and enjoy life with more laughter. Also, it would help if you won more of your bets maybe you would be in a better mood because you act like you’re on your fuckin’ period more than half the time.