president futures are paying big

[mjsuax13]

This guy got fuckin’ buried for thousands.

You and I both know he didn’t bet all that.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Trump popular vote was easy money

That was a pretty big longshot. Like +290 in days b4 the election.

[DwightShrute]

That was a pretty big longshot. Like +290 in days b4 the election.

that's true but unlike in the past, you felt this time it was a possibility this time.

Good day for America. Congrats.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I'm not going to pile on Galt. He assembled a lot of information. Thanks to John for that.

I do think the election handicap is interesting. I'll give a brief history on this:
*Before 1900 there were quite a few small Presidential election upsets.
...One might wonder if the polling techniques were good back then.

*1948 was a classic. "Dewey Defeats Truman".
...Truman was a heavy underdog coming into the election. The Chicago Tribune felt comfortable enough to put out the headline on their late edition. They made a mistake.
...Have to imagine they'd never do it today. Result tracking is so much better.

*Only question in retrospect. Why did the polls not pick up on Trump?
...My answer = the LATE vote went to Trump. Anybody on the fence looked around and said this has to get better.

[k13]

Libtards got crushed and believed the fake polls. lol

[actiondan]

a lot of us are siloed. politics is tribal. galt is a good guy.

i’m praying for peace nationwide. i optimistic that the donald can bring peace and prosperity. the bad actors will squawk, i hope they are crushed

[biggie12]

will she concede ? or am i waiting 2 months for a payout?

[stevenash]

The real reason Trump won (this is just my opinion) was because Americans got sick and tired of paying 5 bucks for a carton of eggs, and ten bucks for a pound of decent beef.

"It's the economy, stupid".
-James Carville (1992)

[Bluehorseshoe]

The real reason Trump won (this is just my opinion) was because Americans got sick and tired of paying 5 bucks for a carton of eggs, and ten bucks for a pound of decent beef.

"It's the economy, stupid".
-James Carville (1992)

I say it was the Border.

[stevenash]

I say it was the Border.

That too.

[JohnGalt2341]

It's so funny rereading all of galts post in this thread while I try to find his post to say bet kamala election night


They are Brock landers bad

Here's a post I left just yesterday to someone betting on Trump.

That's a break even of 57.26%, and Polymarket is currently giving Trump a 59.9% chance, so it seems pretty good. Personally... I don't like these Odds at all, as I think it is much closer to a coin flip. But if you are dead set on betting Trump... you better do it now. Because at some point in the evening I expect him to be around -300(maybe higher). However, I don't believe that these odds will reflect reality. It's simply because most bettors don't know how votes are counted. What you could do is... bet the -134 now, and then hedge later this evening when KH is +200 or more.

Good luck!

Would you say any of this is good advice? Did I correctly predict the movement of the Line? There's a reason why guys like you lose money, and guys like me win money. It's because I understand that it's not about picking winners and pretending to act like a genius when you do. It's about predicting Line movement and understanding what the price means. When you can get +200 or better, you don't need to win every single time. If you win these even 40% of the time, you're going to make a bundle.

Sure, a lot of my picks lost this election. But I predicted the Line movement correctly on most of them. I never said that Trump wouldn't win the election. I said in multiple posts that the Books would probably get it right. I did think it would be a lot closer. I clearly over estimated the intelligence and good judgment of the American people. There is no doubt in my mind that at some point in the next 4 years that many(perhaps most) people that voted for Trump will realize that they made a terrible mistake.

You're a clown with low self esteem. You need enemies to make yourself feel good. You and Trump have these things in common. Notice in my quoted post, I'm trying to help someone voting for Trump, I wish him good luck. You should try it sometime.

[JohnGalt2341]

Galt claimed victory 5 days ago when he said to cash out
.
I said not so fast, that's not what you said

He could be in the position to say he was right, but he used that stance way too early when he didn't mean it

I still like kamala (mainly hoping to jinx yself)

??????

I have no idea what you are talking about. Please quote the post you are talking about. The only thing I said was, for anyone that wants to bet on Harris, they should do it on election night, because that's when you will get the best prices. I never said that you would win guaranteed. I just said that you would get a good price compared to her prices leading up to the election.

[stevenash]

??????

I have no idea what you are talking about. Please quote the post you are talking about. The only thing I said was, for anyone that wants to bet on Harris, they should do it on election night, because that's when you will get the best prices. I never said that you would win guaranteed. I just said that you would get a good price compared to her prices leading up to the election.

You're a value seeker.
That's a very good thing.

[biggie12]

??????

I have no idea what you are talking about. Please quote the post you are talking about. The only thing I said was, for anyone that wants to bet on Harris, they should do it on election night, because that's when you will get the best prices. I never said that you would win guaranteed. I just said that you would get a good price compared to her prices leading up to the election.

John don't waste your time typing to these Birds all they know how to do is chirp. Especially Rudy he has been the same for a decade.

[Itsamazing777]

Here's a post I left just yesterday to someone betting on Trump.



Would you say any of this is good advice? Did I correctly predict the movement of the Line? There's a reason why guys like you lose money, and guys like me win money. It's because I understand that it's not about picking winners and pretending to act like a genius when you do. It's about






predicting Line movement and understanding what the price means. When you can get +200 or better, you don't need to win every single time. If you win these even 40% of the time, you're going to make a bundle.

Sure, a lot of my picks lost this election. But I predicted the Line movement correctly on most of them. I never said that Trump wouldn't win the election. I said in multiple posts that the Books would probably get it right. I did think it would be a lot closer. I clearly over estimated the intelligence and good


judgment of the American people. There is no doubt in my mind that at some point in the next 4 years that many(perhaps most) people that voted for Trump will realize that they made a terrible mistake.

You're a clown with low self esteem. You need enemies to make yourself feel good. You and Trump have these things in common. Notice in my quoted post, I'm trying to help someone voting for Trump, I wish him good luck. You should try it sometime.

Americans realized not re electing trump the first time was a mistake. Fixed that for you

[actiondan]

I say it was the Border.

it was peanut the squirrel

[mjsuax13]

a lot of us are siloed. politics is tribal. galt is a good guy.

i’m praying for peace nationwide. i optimistic that the donald can bring peace and prosperity. the bad actors will squawk, i hope they are crushed

Well said.

[DA_MOSS]

Here's a post I left just yesterday to someone betting on Trump.



Would you say any of this is good advice? Did I correctly predict the movement of the Line? There's a reason why guys like you lose money, and guys like me win money. It's because I understand that it's not about picking winners and pretending to act like a genius when you do. It's about predicting Line movement and understanding what the price means. When you can get +200 or better, you don't need to win every single time. If you win these even 40% of the time, you're going to make a bundle.

Sure, a lot of my picks lost this election. But I predicted the Line movement correctly on most of them. I never said that Trump wouldn't win the election. I said in multiple posts that the Books would probably get it right. I did think it would be a lot closer. I clearly over estimated the intelligence and good judgment of the American people. There is no doubt in my mind that at some point in the next 4 years that many(perhaps most) people that voted for Trump will realize that they made a terrible mistake.

You're a clown with low self esteem. You need enemies to make yourself feel good. You and Trump have these things in common. Notice in my quoted post, I'm trying to help someone voting for Trump, I wish him good luck. You should try it sometime.

Cry

[k13]

Trump wins all swing states payed good.

[blackHIPPY]

Ggs trump supporters. Damn I was looking forward to that 25k for first time home buyers and getting my crypto protected too.

[Itsamazing777]

It was a great pleasure seeing Galt get crushed

Being a pompous jerk in the name of trying to make "us" money. All the sarcastic comebacks when he was told other betting views. Hope this crow tastes good

[semibluff]

I have enjoyed and respected Galt's perspectives and analysis over the last 5+ years. Unfortunately I think he let his distaste for Trump to get the better of his judgement in recent months. 1 bad betting event doesn't define anyone. I think in time he'll become more cold-blooded and less emotionally invested in his political analysis. Good luck to him.

[Optional]

It was good to have someone maintaining a thread or two primarily about betting markets and odds that could stay in Players Talk.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

It was a great pleasure seeing Galt get crushed

Being a pompous jerk in the name of trying to make "us" money. All the sarcastic comebacks when he was told other betting views. Hope this crow tastes good

The left is totally out of touch with reality and tone deaf as to why they not only lost, but got crushed.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Ggs trump supporters. Damn I was looking forward to that 25k for first time home buyers and getting my crypto protected too.

You don’t understand you’re looking at it backwards. That grant would’ve further created a higher market for housing. A reason to vote to for Kamala if you already own a home, but not for FHB’ers.

[stevenash]

Trump wins all swing states payed good.

NASDAQ paying bigger.
Tech stocks, get on them now.

[RudyRuetigger]

Ggs trump supporters. Damn I was looking forward to that 25k for first time home buyers and getting my crypto protected too.

you should write down what you were hopeful for and then look what happens in 4 years

my conspiracy side really thinks they get rid of trump with a better shooter

[johnnyvegas13]

Enjoy 4 more years because we r getting a woman president after this

Simpsons predicted it

[RudyRuetigger]

I'm not going to pile on Galt. He assembled a lot of information. Thanks to John for that.

I do think the election handicap is interesting. I'll give a brief history on this:
*Before 1900 there were quite a few small Presidential election upsets.
...One might wonder if the polling techniques were good back then.

*1948 was a classic. "Dewey Defeats Truman".
...Truman was a heavy underdog coming into the election. The Chicago Tribune felt comfortable enough to put out the headline on their late edition. They made a mistake.
...Have to imagine they'd never do it today. Result tracking is so much better.

*Only question in retrospect. Why did the polls not pick up on Trump?
...My answer = the LATE vote went to Trump. Anybody on the fence looked around and said this has to get better.

no, the answer is 2016 was rigged to not get trump back in office


sad thing is for these liberal nutjobs is trump learned alot in the 4 years he was out

i think he will do much better with this info

[RudyRuetigger]

Here's a post I left just yesterday to someone betting on Trump.



Would you say any of this is good advice? Did I correctly predict the movement of the Line? There's a reason why guys like you lose money, and guys like me win money. It's because I understand that it's not about picking winners and pretending to act like a genius when you do. It's about predicting Line movement and understanding what the price means. When you can get +200 or better, you don't need to win every single time. If you win these even 40% of the time, you're going to make a bundle.

Sure, a lot of my picks lost this election. But I predicted the Line movement correctly on most of them. I never said that Trump wouldn't win the election. I said in multiple posts that the Books would probably get it right. I did think it would be a lot closer. I clearly over estimated the intelligence and good judgment of the American people. There is no doubt in my mind that at some point in the next 4 years that many(perhaps most) people that voted for Trump will realize that they made a terrible mistake.

You're a clown with low self esteem. You need enemies to make yourself feel good. You and Trump have these things in common. Notice in my quoted post, I'm trying to help someone voting for Trump, I wish him good luck. You should try it sometime.

you clearly didnt predict the movement

you are delusional

what you highlighted proves you didnt know shit

[ChuckyTheGoat]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election

Very surprised that Trump won the popular vote by +2.5%. Never would have predicted that.

[RudyRuetigger]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_U...ntial_election

Very surprised that Trump won the popular vote by +2.5%. Never would have predicted that.

Actually, what many republicans realized is that 2020 was rigged give the votes per year and the anomaly of 2020

Unfortunately, its going to backfire on left wing nut jobs. Trump now had 4 years to regroup and plan an attack on the scumbags that run the swamp

And to be honest, it would not surprise me if FBI sent d2bets and johngalt here to talk shit during election years.

I'm not going to be talking shit to democrats, if and hopefully ONCE trump gets RFK and Tulsi in the cabinet in some part, i hope the democrats here realize we all want peace. The left wing nut jobs are firmly in control of the democrats whereas the right wing nut jobs have no say on the conservatives.

When I was at UGA way back in the day....the shoe salesman said he was probably moving to Washington DC for his wife to be in the FBI. I said what the fukk can she do? HE said that there are multiple ways the FBI can control things like media. It opened my world to how the deep state works

fukk those scumbags

[jt315]

Republican citizens haven't nominated anyone but Trump since 2012. Sad. The party of Reagan is deceased.

The incoming Trump meltdown will be legendary. Let's see which Republicans grow a sack and which meltdown with him.