Isaiah Likely (Baltimore) Anytime TD Scorer +150
Here's my reasoning as to why.
Mark Andrews Baltimore's regular TE is ruled out (ankle) again.
Jackson trusts and likes Likely.
Facts.
Since Baltimore's bye week (week 13) Likely has caught five TD passes in those last five game.
And that includes the last game when Baltimore played the regulars part time against Pitt.
Since Andrews went down in mid-season Likely is on the field 48 times every game, when you factor in the Ravens average 64 plays from scrimmage that's 75 percent of the time (give or take), simply put, Likely is on the field for pretty much every play.
Houston ranks 29th out of 32 defending opposing TE's.
Factor in that the game total is 43.5 with the Ravens being 9.5 favorites, that would make the implied score of 27-17.
It's safe to assume that Baltimore will score three TD's minimum, probably four.
Who are the likely candidates to score a TD?
Jackson via the rush, Flowers and Likely via the pass.
(Edwards via the rush could happen as well)
The absolute best value is the proven TD pass catcher (Likely) at +150
Earlier this week this Likely prop was at +160 and better, but that ship has sailed and is not coming back.
Nothing is a lock, this is the NFL for God's sake, where anything can happen and usually does.
Point being, dollar for dollar this IMO is the best prop value bet out there.
Another prop bet I like as well is Justin Tucker (the GOAT) over 7.5 kicking points.
Ravens TT over 27.5 +105 I'm looking at as well.
Feeling frisky?
Ravens defense to score a TD pays 4.5-1 (+450)
There are plenty of live prop plays all weekend, and they can be profitable if you do the grunt work and shop wisely.
Here's my reasoning as to why.
Mark Andrews Baltimore's regular TE is ruled out (ankle) again.
Jackson trusts and likes Likely.
Facts.
Since Baltimore's bye week (week 13) Likely has caught five TD passes in those last five game.
And that includes the last game when Baltimore played the regulars part time against Pitt.
Since Andrews went down in mid-season Likely is on the field 48 times every game, when you factor in the Ravens average 64 plays from scrimmage that's 75 percent of the time (give or take), simply put, Likely is on the field for pretty much every play.
Houston ranks 29th out of 32 defending opposing TE's.
Factor in that the game total is 43.5 with the Ravens being 9.5 favorites, that would make the implied score of 27-17.
It's safe to assume that Baltimore will score three TD's minimum, probably four.
Who are the likely candidates to score a TD?
Jackson via the rush, Flowers and Likely via the pass.
(Edwards via the rush could happen as well)
The absolute best value is the proven TD pass catcher (Likely) at +150
Earlier this week this Likely prop was at +160 and better, but that ship has sailed and is not coming back.
Nothing is a lock, this is the NFL for God's sake, where anything can happen and usually does.
Point being, dollar for dollar this IMO is the best prop value bet out there.
Another prop bet I like as well is Justin Tucker (the GOAT) over 7.5 kicking points.
Ravens TT over 27.5 +105 I'm looking at as well.
Feeling frisky?
Ravens defense to score a TD pays 4.5-1 (+450)
There are plenty of live prop plays all weekend, and they can be profitable if you do the grunt work and shop wisely.
