Bad news B 2 B playoff games after 40+ burgers posted

[OldBill]

i have to remind youse guys taking TEXANS or Packers with results from 2007 thru to 2017


so 2 teams too fade Packers plus they lost to BUCCS

Texans also fade em

not the sb tho because of rest and neutral field

heres other that flopped over a decade

2009 cards p o vs packers win 51-45 div rd +7 @ new awlens spunked 45-14 0--1

2009 cboys po win 40-14 vs philly--- div +3 @ vikes wtf 34-3 loss 0--2

2010 GB div rd @ ATl w 48-21 finals @ bears as -3.5 fav W 21-14 then wins sb 1--2 record

2013 colts +3 home PO vs KC W 45-44 PO +7 @ Patriots spunked 45- 22 1-3 record

2011 pats po w 45-10 vs denvr next game vs ravens -7 blown cover win 23-20 and went on to lose the sb vs Giants who they lost to at home week 8
1-4 record

2012 Patriots home -9.5 vs hou w 41-28 home po next -8 vs ravens s/u loss 13--28 1--5 record 1 s/u loss
2013 again patriots po home vs colts W 43-22 po +5 @ Den L 16--26 1-6 record

2009 Saints po home vs cards W 45-14 p o home -4.5 vs Vikes L $ 31-28 1--7 record
2011 again vs det -10.5 home chalk W 45-28 and scored 40+ in previos 3 final games in season so -4 p o @ 49ers s/u loser 32-36 1--8 record 2s/u losses

2012 the fake kolin k 49ers po home -3 vs peckers W 45-31 po finals -4.5 @ Atl L $ 27-24--- then get drilled in SB vs ravens as a -5 fav why did they lose ---tied game vs div Rams 24-24 1--9 record

2010 Seat. div W 7-9 lol +10 po vs saints W 41-36
po +9.5 @ bears loss 23-35 1--10 record plus seattle lost to Tampa bay

theres tons more as far back as 80's in my playbooks

add em up guys fading these teams in 2nd p o game after posting 40+ points you get paid out $21,000.00 LOSE only $1100NET PROFIT

$19,900.00 moder fawking dollars

[Jowframs]

Ok Texans+9.5
49ers-9.5
for me
gl

[DonnieBrasco23]

These situational stats that have years of data to determine a possible outcome, I have been betting into them more and more as an added reason to make a play, it's definitely not the foundation of any wager though.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Having said that I have the Packers +9.5 -108 Saturday night, not sure who the wet conditions favor as we will have some precipitation on Saturday night for this game.

[OldBill]

adding more
2007 Falcons 41-17 -7 fav +5.5 @ Eagles 10-27 1-11 record
1998 Bills -3 @ saints W 45-33 +2.5 @ Miami L 17-24 1-12 record
2006 Bears finals -2.5 W 40 --14 the super bowl +6.5 points c rushed vs colts 17-29 1-13 record Rex Grossman worst qb ever to play in SB QBR ratings in season 22 - 25 1-13 record
Colts 2003 PO @ KC +3 W 40 -31 finals +3 @ Patriots destroyed 24-14 1-14 record
Jaguars 1999 PO - 7 vs Miami W 62-7 div Finals -7 VS Titans s/u loss 33-14 1-15 record 3 s/u losses
1998 Vikings -15.5 vs Cards W 41-21 -10.5 home vs Falcons s/u loss 27-30 1-16 record 4 s/u losses
again in 2000 -8 vs saints win 40-16 but omg -2.5 @ Giants ate a big fat bagel 41-0 1-17 record 5 s/u losses
Patriots finals -3 @ Pitts W 41-27 SB -7.5 VS Eagles L $ 24-21 1-18 record 5 s/u losses
2008 Giants finals vs Vikes W 41-0 SB + 3 VS Reavens the best # 1 D that year creamed 34-7 1-19 record 5 s/u losses
2002 Jets -6 vs Colts W 41--0 +6.5 @ Raiders cooked 30-10 L 1-20 record 5 s/u losses
2002 Raiders -8 vs Titans W 41-24 -4 SB VS TB thier Formor coach Gruden waxed them 48-21 1-21 record 6 s/u losses
1999 Rams H -7.5 v s Vikes W 49-37 finals -14.5 vs Tampa Bay L $ 11-6 1-22 record 6 s/u losses
1997 49ERS h vs Minny -14 win 40-22 +2.5 vs G B H Lose 23-10 1-23 record 6 s/u losses
2002 PO vs NYG - 3 W 40-38 +6 @ tampa Badda boom 31-6 L 1-24 record 6 s/u losses
hm at $1100 per game W 24 $50,400.00 L 1100.00 NET PROFiT $49,300.00

[OldBill]

OK hows this 2 team Teaser 6 points 49ers - 2.5 Ravens -3.5 for $1000

[OldBill]

oBTW Texans with CJ STROUD went 0-2 1st 2 games your asking a new HC and rookie QB to win or COVER

light match pour gasoline on cash FA FOOOM

[OldBill]

o another fact teams that lost to NY JETS this YEAR Eagles POOF in PO - 3 chalk at Tampa Bay 9-32



TEXans lost to JETS at @ NY DEC 12th as a chalk -3 30 yes 30-6 wanna bet all 3 teams lose this weekend

omg all these teams lost to NY JETS Patriots out of PO

BILLS still in it wk 1 lost @ Jets

DENVR Lost to JETS in Denver NOT IN PO's

Giants lost TO JETS NOT IN PO's


WASH lost to JETS as +3 dog 30-28
Patriots LOST TO JETS at NE as -2 fav 17-10

[Eddy Munny]

Fade

[lakerboy]

Green Bay no shot.

[OldBill]

if packers cover i'll be shocked this 49ers D is stout thier offense also ranked high

hey if dak didnt thow 2 picks plus fumbles and penalties by reast of tem we be talking diff story

[johnnyvegas13]

This is such a mess what is the actual trend simply put ???

[budwiser]

This is such a mess what is the actual trend simply put ???

to summarize old bill, packers and texans score over 40 points, so fade them this weekend

[BGS 9.5]

Didn’t read

[Madison]

Green Bay no shot.

It's always interesting to look at teams ascending/descending trends especially versus teams spitting out the bit "DAL/PHI"

[ChuckyTheGoat]

This is such a mess what is the actual trend simply put ???

Juan, I'm going to actually stand up for Billy here. Think about it like this:

*NFL Playoffs attracts a lot of SQUARE MONEY.

Public bettors are looking for a reason to put their $$ on the TV game. "Packers are hot" is as good a reason as any. Packers looked damn good last week, what's not to like?

Billy might take grief on his posts. I think he's spot-on here:

1) For starters, GBay going up against a much more solid coaching staff. Dallas headed up by McCarthy is a joke.

2) Niners are primed. It's eyes on the prize. Remember the business attire they wore into the Eagle game?

They have to play the game. I view this game as:
*an end for the Packers, and
*a springboard for the Niners.

[johnnyvegas13]

Ya chuck I already know ur on the niners

what do u think of ravens Texas ???

[trobin31]

“IF” accurate. That is a crazy and compelling stat

but I did a data query and found a much different result.

yes favorites tend to lose Ats following 40+ points but it’s a much different story for dogs, and it’s even more impressive for large dogs +10 If you go back to 2000.

in 1997 broncos won SB despite dropping 40+ on Jags in wild card playoff game

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Ya chuck I already know ur on the niners

what do u think of ravens Texas ???

No opinion. But I think it's similar situation. Don't like the line-value on Hou/Bal, I pass.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Some of my logic ties back to Strength of Schedule:

*Packer Strength of Schedule was so bad. They beat the Rams w/ Rypien, so that's a gift.

*Houston is pretty accomplished. Their Division wound up being decent.

[johnnyvegas13]

“IF” accurate. That is a crazy and compelling stat

but I did a data query and found a much different result.

yes favorites tend to lose Ats following 40+ points but it’s a much different story for dogs, and it’s even more impressive for large dogs +10 If you go back to 2000.

in 1997 broncos won SB despite dropping 40+ on Jags in wild card playoff game

That is the problem here

we we need the data on dogs only and not if a Super Bowl fav dropped 40 in the wild card in route to a ship

[budwiser]

That is the problem here

we we need the data on dogs only and not if a Super Bowl fav dropped 40 in the wild card in route to a ship

guessing generally you don't get a simple summarized statement from old bill

what you'll get from me is this is it's only one data point. glad to have it. but anyone that uses just one data point to make a decision is not doing enough.

you collect them all and make a decision.

you're not alone when you see a team win by 40 points and go contrarian. there are a lot of contrarians

[Arky]

So, the data is a little hard to read but I didn't see any of the teams listed that threw up a 40-burger one week and then were +9½ point (or greater) dogs the next week.

There are two of those this year - Texans and Packers.

The favorite might very well cover in both cases, however it will be new and different data....

Edit: just saw TRobin's post. Agreed!

[texhooper]

These situational stats that have years of data to determine a possible outcome, I have been betting into them more and more as an added reason to make a play, it's definitely not the foundation of any wager though.

It better not be. See Old Bill’s 100% system pick on the Cowboys last weekend

[OldBill]

It better not be. See Old Bill’s 100% system pick on the Cowboys last weekend

ok i picked wrong team but packers lost to Tampa bay an d right now that amazing fact is 0000 and 268 the other 7 teams are gone

that lost to tampa bay in order from week 1 VIKINGS out of PO's did not qualify Bears LOL Saints poof thats 3 Titans = 4

Panthers = 5 Falcons Jaguars and # 8 is Packers

[Str8Mush4Life]

ok i picked wrong team but packers lost to Tampa bay an d right now that amazing fact is 0000 and 268 the other 7 teams are gone

that lost to tampa bay in order from week 1 VIKINGS out of PO's did not qualify Bears LOL Saints poof thats 3 Titans = 4

Panthers = 5 Falcons Jaguars and # 8 is Packers

Tell these fools Bill!! If they don't want to CASH BIG by following your advice then the joke is on them.

Here is a record for you Billiam, no QB named Lamar or Brock or Jordan or CJ or Baker or Jared have EVER won a Super Bowl.

So KC wins again!!!!!!!