Can YOU net 5% a day on sports?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30067

    #1
    Can YOU net 5% a day on sports?
    Starting bankroll: $50

    1 month: $220.54
    2 month: $972.72
    3 month: $4,290.36
    4 month: $18,923.50
    5 month: $83,465.93
    6 month: $368,143.46
  • JohnGalt2341
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-31-09
    • 9138

    #2
    Me? NO.

    How many wagers do you estimate you'll be making a day on average?
    Comment
    • DrunkHorseplayer
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-15-10
      • 7719

      #3
      In the long run, of course not. Virtually impossible.
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30067

        #4
        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
        Me? NO.

        How many wagers do you estimate you'll be making a day on average?
        as little (1) or as many as you please.
        even if you skip a day because of obligations, leisure or lack of worthwhile event to bet on,
        you can make up for it the next day. You need to make 10.3% the following day, if it's one day skipped.
        Comment
        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39995

          #5
          You're asking if you can make 7,362.86x your investment in 6 months.
          Not to any degree of likelihood.
          Comment
          • newton0038
            SBR MVP
            • 03-07-07
            • 2391

            #6
            On days where it's a single wager, you can never lose that wager. Nope
            Comment
            • texhooper
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-05-09
              • 10001

              #7
              This is completely impossible over the course of six months, but if you get lucky you could do about a month. But eventually the nefarious means you have to go to to dig yourself out of a bad start to a day will catch up to you. This is all linked to the fact that you will lose, and you will lose twice in a row, and you will lose three times in a row, and you’re most likely chasing to get in the black which makes it worse. You will even lose very safe big faves multiple times in a row too, like no matter what you do to “guarantee” profit everyday, you’re eventually gonna get an elephant’s massive boner shoved up your tailpipe and then your best friend of the same gender will decide they are gay and attracted you and will forcibly start blowing you at the same time and it will be a nightmare and you will go broke. But it’s possible to do for a much shorter time period
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30067

                #8
                Originally posted by newton0038
                On days where it's a single wager, you can never lose that wager. Nope
                you can lose multiple times in a day and still close the day up 5%.
                the only thing you can't do it go all in and lose.
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30067

                  #9
                  Originally posted by texhooper
                  This is completely impossible over the course of six months, but if you get lucky you could do about a month. But eventually the nefarious means you have to go to to dig yourself out of a bad start to a day will catch up to you. This is all linked to the fact that you will lose, and you will lose twice in a row, and you will lose three times in a row, and you’re most likely chasing to get in the black which makes it worse. You will even lose very safe big faves multiple times in a row too, like no matter what you do to “guarantee” profit everyday, you’re eventually gonna get an elephant’s massive boner shoved up your tailpipe and then your best friend of the same gender will decide they are gay and attracted you and will forcibly start blowing you at the same time and it will be a nightmare and you will go broke. But it’s possible to do for a much shorter time period
                  that's why it's best to walk away after a 2 try and fails in the same day.
                  you have to be VERY selective. keep bets SMALL. Don't try to make 5% on one bet.
                  some days you will make well over 5% which increases the velocity, and gives you wiggle room
                  for a bad or slow day and still keep pace with the trajectory.
                  Comment
                  • Eddy Munny
                    Benched
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 15769

                    #10
                    Ask how many people here have made just short of $370K in sportsbetting with any starting bankroll (much less $50) for any duration (much less a meager 6 months).

                    I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the answer to your question is a resounding "no."
                    Comment
                    • Stallion
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-21-10
                      • 3617

                      #11
                      No!
                      Comment
                      • Eddy Munny
                        Benched
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 15769

                        #12
                        A more reasonable question would be can you make 5% of your starting bankroll every day for (whatever amount of time)? If you start with $50, can you profit $2.50 a day? Sure it sounds boring, but it's at least doable.

                        The logic you laid out entails 5% of your daily bankroll, meaning with each successive day of winning you'll be increasing your exposure, and that the first inevitable losing day would constitute a disproportionate setback. Going 1-4 on day 10, for instance, would hurt your cause much more than going 4-1 on day 2 would help.
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37876

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Snowball
                          Starting bankroll: $50

                          1 month: $220.54
                          2 month: $972.72
                          3 month: $4,290.36
                          4 month: $18,923.50
                          5 month: $83,465.93
                          6 month: $368,143.46
                          Ball, I wish you the best. My answer is NO. A few comments:

                          1) Sharp lines vs Soft lines. The bigger the market...NORMALLY the sharper the line. NFL is notoriously tough...and the # gets hammered out by gameday.

                          Small markets, sure. One might be able to hit 55%+ ATS. Limits of $100? 30-cent juice, so -115 odds. Lines that move very quickly, so the -115 is gone for the second bet.

                          2) Your 5% is a vague figure. 5% of $1000 is much more attainable than 5% of $10,000. See item #1.

                          3) I think the spirit of your post is good. I think it has potential. Realistically, why bet sports? You have to fight to stay ahead of your de-basing currency. So, it's tough right off the bat.
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 62066

                            #14
                            What Eddy said. Your bet sizes would get out of control very quickly and one loss would set you back a lot later in the cycle.

                            A flat 5% of $50 every day for 6 months would end up being $500.

                            Which would be a great result and if you could do it, then you are good enough at capping to make good money on a higher bankroll but still with a low risk of ruin.



                            Bottom line. You would not be saying this if you could actually do it.
                            .
                            Comment
                            • homie1975
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-24-13
                              • 15452

                              #15
                              1% of betters with a sample size of 100+ wagers annually will even win long term.
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 37876

                                #16
                                Opti, think about the best betting MARKET to make bank over time. So I mean liquid markets where the book is inclined to offer -110 odds for a decent-sized bet. Action has to be (almost) daily.

                                My answer is NCAA Hoops. A ton of teams. Side/Total action offered.

                                You in? You wanna get rich this year?
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • Eddy Munny
                                  Benched
                                  • 08-13-13
                                  • 15769

                                  #17
                                  It doesn't have potential, Chucky... don't be dumb. The profit margins Snowball outlined are outlandish for a reason. You may as well be one of those lost souls who goes through life expecting to win the Powerball.

                                  It's safe to say Snowball was posting a rhetorical question. On the surface the objective sounds almost attainable for what would result in a king's ransom. But any real bettor knows better.

                                  This is the kind of flight of fancy that would enthrall your main squeeze, Johnny Vegas.
                                  Comment
                                  • marcoloco
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-05-10
                                    • 3986

                                    #18
                                    challenge accepted
                                    Comment
                                    • marcoloco
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-05-10
                                      • 3986

                                      #19
                                      already lost $50 bankroll, game over
                                      Comment
                                      • Eddy Munny
                                        Benched
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 15769

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by marcoloco
                                        already lost $50 bankroll, game over
                                        5% not 100%

                                        Just stick to the gameplan and you'll have 300 G's burning a hole in your pocket by the end of the year.
                                        Comment
                                        • bhoor
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-17-12
                                          • 2257

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Snowball
                                          Starting bankroll: $50

                                          1 month: $220.54
                                          2 month: $972.72
                                          3 month: $4,290.36
                                          4 month: $18,923.50
                                          5 month: $83,465.93
                                          6 month: $368,143.46

                                          It's possible
                                          Comment
                                          • bhoor
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-17-12
                                            • 2257

                                            #22
                                            Eddy, how successful are you in SB?
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83686

                                              #23
                                              On the grind you can. Gotta cap hard and ride streaks.


                                              Comment
                                              • texhooper
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-05-09
                                                • 10001

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bhoor
                                                It's possible
                                                I would love for you to make a thread showing how this is possible. It would make you a legend
                                                Comment
                                                • TheMoneyShot
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-14-07
                                                  • 28672

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                                  Starting bankroll: $50

                                                  1 month: $220.54
                                                  2 month: $972.72
                                                  3 month: $4,290.36
                                                  4 month: $18,923.50
                                                  5 month: $83,465.93
                                                  6 month: $368,143.46
                                                  Originally posted by bhoor


                                                  It's possible
                                                  Football season... here we come!!

                                                  Logically and on a serious note... with all due respect... you might have a better chance being struck by lightning... than to achieve this goal.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Eddy Munny
                                                    Benched
                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                    • 15769

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by bhoor
                                                    Eddy, how successful are you in SB?
                                                    In the Super Bowl? Not very. I ran onto the field during pregame and did a silly little backflip somewhere about the logo, and then I was tackled by a streetclothed goon, booted in ass, and dragged out by my ankles while an opposing fan dumped hot, nacho cheese sauce all over my assy nipples in the tunnel.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 37876

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                      Football season... here we come!!

                                                      Logically and on a serious note... with all due respect... you might have a better chance being struck by lightning... than to achieve this goal.
                                                      Shot, think back to some of the SBR traditions:

                                                      1) We all get stir-crazy in the summer. We long for the football games in the fall. Specifically, we'll be clearing profit, as if it's like plucking Dollar Bills off a tree.

                                                      2) After that opening weekend of football, reality hits. How tough are these lines? Wait for the first thread titled: "Can't wait for BASKETBALL."
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-04-11
                                                        • 37876

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                        Football season... here we come!!

                                                        Logically and on a serious note... with all due respect... you might have a better chance being struck by lightning... than to achieve this goal.
                                                        At least the Lightning Bolt has a CHANCE.
                                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94382

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          Shot, think back to some of the SBR traditions:

                                                          1) We all get stir-crazy in the summer. We long for the football games in the fall. Specifically, we'll be clearing profit, as if it's like plucking Dollar Bills off a tree.

                                                          2) After that opening weekend of football, reality hits. How tough are these lines? Wait for the first thread titled: "Can't wait for BASKETBALL."
                                                          You should be winning in MLB. It's not that difficult if you stick with dogs.
                                                          No home rls. No totals.

                                                          ONLY road and home dogs.

                                                          I've noticed that most guys are not good with straight ml sports. If you can't pick a winner then you really have no chance in this game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • veriableodds
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-17
                                                            • 5099

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Snowball
                                                            Starting bankroll: $50

                                                            1 month: $220.54
                                                            2 month: $972.72
                                                            3 month: $4,290.36
                                                            4 month: $18,923.50
                                                            5 month: $83,465.93
                                                            6 month: $368,143.46

                                                            Only way this is possible would be sports that have catastrophic talent differences. (ncaaf, and ncaab) You would be all in on every play. So essentially its 50-70 single ML wager that yield over 4%(less doesn't help) Have to find top teams -vs- bottom teams with virtually less than a 3% chance of losing, all whilst trying to find the 4% ML .. So its not all pretty, or glamours as your chart layout may seem
                                                            Comment
                                                            • veriableodds
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-22-17
                                                              • 5099

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by homie1975
                                                              1% of betters with a sample size of 100+ wagers annually will even win long term.
                                                              BEETORS THAT DONT WAGER 1%-per play with a sample size of 100+ wagers annually will even win long term. Because it involves the key component to success patience, and money management skills.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OldBill
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-02-21
                                                                • 6434

                                                                #32
                                                                NMFW in hell you need an ongoing bank roll huge like 1000$ a week to even make it through nfl season and win 10 weeks out of 18 or if really selective can win every week

                                                                had friend way back in early 70's went to vegas he was sick of locals limiting him started with $25,000 he passed away in 2002 and became feared with 10 in his crew so smart they didnt go in place beats instaed paid stranger $50 - $100 to place bets while they waited inside


                                                                today i say tuck vegas they just do not give visitors anything worthwhile
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30067

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by veriableodds
                                                                  Only way this is possible would be sports that have catastrophic talent differences. (ncaaf, and ncaab) You would be all in on every play. So essentially its 50-70 single ML wager that yield over 4%(less doesn't help) Have to find top teams -vs- bottom teams with virtually less than a 3% chance of losing, all whilst trying to find the 4% ML .. So its not all pretty, or glamours as your chart layout may seem
                                                                  Not so. There is no reason to use the whole bankroll (All-in) just to make 5% a day. I don't know why you guys even think so. I've done this before (for 1-2 months) and that's why I'm posting about it, because I want to resist the temptation to let it go early and start betting normal once I'm up around 5-10 bags.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • veriableodds
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                                    • 5099

                                                                    #34
                                                                    OfCourse just referring to the $50 and letting it ride+ every time. No way this can be done in pro sports. Has to be college
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • OldBill
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-02-21
                                                                      • 6434

                                                                      #35
                                                                      ok if truly have $50 by wise guys sharps method bet only 1.5 % of bank per day thats 0.75 cents which cannot be bet anywhere

                                                                      so lets say somehwere they have minimum bets of $2 any sport mlb collge twats baskets etc.. look forgettabouttit $50 aint happening

                                                                      maybe in casino 10 $5 bills get lucky playing 10 machines
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...