Basic Premise on betting in Oct/Nov

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37360

    #1
    Basic Premise on betting in Oct/Nov
    Call it the months of the crossover sports:

    *Baseball: playoffs and WS.
    *Football: mid-season.
    *Bask/Hockey: just starting up.

    Basic premise on how to approach betting in these months:
    *Think about how the oddsmaker allocates his time...and go into other areas.

    Which lines eat up MOST of the oddsmaker time? Those #s would logically be the sharpest:
    1) Baseball: how can there be much of an edge after 180 games played?
    2) NFL: deepest limits. Any edge can't be more than a few points.
    3) NBA: I can't imagine the edges are too big.

    I find it laughable that these touts claim Oct/Nov to be hunting season. As if they can play across the board and swoop up windfall profits.

    What does that leave as possible vulnerabilities?
    1) Coll FB: non-major Conf.
    2) Coll Bask: the early season lines are known to be very hard to set.
    3) NHL: if you're a specialist. You might know certain teams better than the oddsmaker.

    What do you think?
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • Nate rasta
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-22
    • 2953

    #2
    Throw world cup in the mix too.
    Hunt at what is your strongest sport.the more sports options the better
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Just college hoops

      everything else lines priced perfectly
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        While I understand what you are saying there are definitely opportunities at this time but at the same time with so many opportunities that average bettor risks putting oneself in a bad position.

        The biggest the menu the more likely you can get confused.
        Comment
        • pologq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-07-12
          • 19899

          #5
          i get your point chuck. look for value.

          and i get laker's point also. it could be overwhelming to have so much available.
          Comment
          • Nate rasta
            SBR MVP
            • 05-30-22
            • 2953

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            While I understand what you are saying there are definitely opportunities at this time but at the same time with so many opportunities that average bettor risks putting oneself in a bad position.

            The biggest the menu the more likely you can get confused.
            Yeah I think that's why Saturdays are my worst days so many options I don't know what to do
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37360

              #7
              Originally posted by pologq
              i get your point chuck. look for value.

              and i get laker's point also. it could be overwhelming to have so much available.
              We're on the same page. It's about identifying value.

              I truly believe the oddsmaker is over-worked in Oct/Nov/Dec. There are just too many teams to line correctly.

              Best to shoot at the low-hanging fruit. One example I can think of:
              *Early-season Coll Bask in the mid-majors (and low-majors) has to be impossible to line. Soft-lines aplenty.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
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