Why Charger going for 4 down but not kick a field goal in order to onside kick?

[tmoible]

Regardless the outcome 4 down if they fail,why they don’t kick a field goal and then onside kick ?Even though the 4down is touchdown I don’t really like this strategy.I guess if this game is playoff game or Super Bowl,I guarantee they won’t go 4down and kick a field goal and then onside kick,can anyone explain why regular game do but not playoff? If they kick 3 first I might keep my parly alive.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Agreed

[tmoible]

-3.5 point on Monday I should buy one point

[tmoible]

Agreed

I guess you lose

[Easy-Rider 66]

I guess you lose

Nope I had LAC + the number thought when they missed the 3rd down throw I was basically Done in covering the 4. Pleasant surprise.

[Easy-Rider 66]

-3.5 point on Monday I should buy one point

Yeah better to win less than take the risk on a backdoor cover. IMO.

[d2bets]

If the spread had been 7.5, they kick.

[Regul8er]

I dont know why they didnt kick it, but fack am I glad they didnt. Saved my +4 play!!

[mama whoiscrying]

They never used to do that kind of stuff and maybe they finally realized how stupid it is. Touchdown is the way to go. Again only in the last few years did they start kicking a field goal late and then try it on side kick. History has shown it's always been a touchdown 1st and that is the proper call

[pologq]

I dont know why they didnt kick it, but fack am I glad they didnt. Saved my +4 play!!

same here. saved my +3.5.

in a video game i would go for the FG. in real life i am doing what they did.

[Rich Boy]

Given time on clock and timeout situation also field position, I think TD was the right call.

Better odds of scoring a FG after an onside kick vs a TD from 45 yards out with <1min and 1 timeout

If it was 4th down outside the 10 yard line then they kick

[d2bets]

Let me guesstimate:
4th and goal from the 6th = 40% (maybe less)
TD from the 45 in just over a minute = 25%
FG from the 45 in just over a minute = 50%

I'd say kicking is very slightly the better call, but it's close. Those are 3 variables to play with.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Keep in mind that the Chargers' coach isn't laying the points, he's taking them.

[d2bets]

Keep in mind that the Chargers' coach isn't laying the points, he's taking them.

I really don't think the Chargers coach is betting on the game. But he surely knows plenty of their fans are and he surely know the spread. If it's a close call, why not go for the cover.

[jackpot269]

Either way you need 2 scores

[biggie12]

I really don't think the Chargers coach is betting on the game. But he surely knows plenty of their fans are and he surely know the spread. If it's a close call, why not go for the cover.

u really think the coach is thinking about this. He's just a moron.

[mjsuax13]

Let me guesstimate:
4th and goal from the 6th = 40% (maybe less)
TD from the 45 in just over a minute = 25%
FG from the 45 in just over a minute = 50%

I'd say kicking is very slightly the better call, but it's close. Those are 3 variables to play with.

Good stuff. 40%+ probably all I need.

I take the 4 downs and go for the TD in that situation. Need 2 scores anyway. Even with an onside kick recovery there’s no guarantee you get that close again and most likely need a few shots downfield and a long 50/50 FG to tie. I wonder what this looked like in the Seattle/Denver game. Thanks for sharing.

[thetrinity]

Actually common sense. They wouldn’t have likely gotten that close even if they got an onside kick recovery. They would have been in a terrible position had they kicked a fg got the onside and then needed a td.

[JIBBBY]

They were to close to the end zone that's why they went for it on 4th down. Would have been to hard to get all the way down the field again with that little amount of time left. It was the right call.

[thetrinity]

Let me guesstimate:
4th and goal from the 6th = 40% (maybe less)
TD from the 45 in just over a minute = 25%
FG from the 45 in just over a minute = 50%

I'd say kicking is very slightly the better call, but it's close. Those are 3 variables to play with.

The TD after the onside has got to be less and the FG has got to be higher. This is a good analysis otherwise. Off chance they can win before OT once they got the td though as well.