Alternative runlines on good 140-180ish underdogs

[EGrecu]

What do you guys think about a long term strategy of trying to follow good underdogs that are around +140-180 on the alternative runline? I consistently see huge value on there. The mets today were +150ish on the ML and were +249 on the 1.5 runline. That is just tremendous value for a good team on the road. Typically the difference on the ML vs RL is about 50-60 points because the vast majority of road wins are by 2+ runs but whenever you get a significant underdog (Say around +150) involved, that difference is huge. Talking often 80-100 points


In reality, it's not like a -120 favorite is really any more likely to win by 2 runs than a +140 underdogs. Underdogs win all the time by 2+ runs. The mets won by 5 tonight

[jjgold]

What do you guys think about a long term strategy of trying to follow good underdogs that are around +140-180 on the alternative runline? I consistently see huge value on there. The mets today were +150ish on the ML and were +249 on the 1.5 runline. That is just tremendous value for a good team on the road. Typically the difference on the ML vs RL is about 50-60 points because the vast majority of road wins are by 2+ runs but whenever you get a significant underdog (Say around +150) involved, that difference is huge. Talking often 80-100 points


In reality, it's not like a -120 favorite is really any more likely to win by 2 runs than a +140 underdogs. Underdogs win all the time by 2+ runs. The mets won by 5 tonight

Try it

Eventually you will get grounded down

too many close games

[cecil127]

Stfu baldy. You know ZERO about “gam-ba-ling” (phuck, u can’t even say it correctly!)
Betting +$ will do better in the long run vs laying juice…I like the theory. Love the payoffs!

[jjgold]

Always remember nobody would work if systems worked

Every line perfectly priced

analytics software books use now is unreal