I went 0-1 last year on draft props, I had a winning record the year before.
1. Total QBs drafted in the first round under 2.5 -125 risking 2.5 units to win 2.
-After Picket, who had a great final year at pitt, and Willis, who teams are high on as a project, there's a big drop off. Ridder was very inconsistent against top defenses and Howell is a system quarterback who had a down year at UNC. Most likely only Willis and Pickett go in the first round. With the cost of receivers going up at least 6 receivers should go in the first as well.
2. Draft position Drake London over 10.5 -125 - risking 2.5 units to win 2
-London's 40 time was bad, he ran a 4.58. Wilson should go ahead of him and Williams, despite his injury is clearly better than him too. Questions about his speed are significant. Williams is so talented even with his injury he likely goes top 10 with the price of receivers being as high as it is now.
3. First Receiver draft Garret Wilson -167 - risking 3.34 units to win 2
-London's 40 time wasn't good and Wilson is healthy right now unlike Williams. Wilson is a safe pick, he's faster than London and ready to go right now unlike Williams.
4. Derek Stingley draft position under 7.5 -160 risking 3.2 units to win 2
-LSU was a dysfunctional program the last years and last year obviously was impacted by Covid but Stingley was the best cornerback in college football by far 2 years ago and he ran a 4.3 in the 40. He's a better athlete and Gardner and he proved himself in the SEC. There's a noticeable dropoff after him and Gardner, he should go early.
5. Steelers to draft Malik Willis +175 risking 2 units to win to win 3.5
- There are a lot of teams looking to trade back and this won't be an expensive draft to move up in because its not a top heavy draft. Tomlin wants a mobile quarterback and Trubisky and Randolph aren't ready. Carolina tends to favor more traditional pro style quarterbacks and Seattle likely isn't patient enough to want to develop Willis.
1. Total QBs drafted in the first round under 2.5 -125 risking 2.5 units to win 2.
-After Picket, who had a great final year at pitt, and Willis, who teams are high on as a project, there's a big drop off. Ridder was very inconsistent against top defenses and Howell is a system quarterback who had a down year at UNC. Most likely only Willis and Pickett go in the first round. With the cost of receivers going up at least 6 receivers should go in the first as well.
2. Draft position Drake London over 10.5 -125 - risking 2.5 units to win 2
-London's 40 time was bad, he ran a 4.58. Wilson should go ahead of him and Williams, despite his injury is clearly better than him too. Questions about his speed are significant. Williams is so talented even with his injury he likely goes top 10 with the price of receivers being as high as it is now.
3. First Receiver draft Garret Wilson -167 - risking 3.34 units to win 2
-London's 40 time wasn't good and Wilson is healthy right now unlike Williams. Wilson is a safe pick, he's faster than London and ready to go right now unlike Williams.
4. Derek Stingley draft position under 7.5 -160 risking 3.2 units to win 2
-LSU was a dysfunctional program the last years and last year obviously was impacted by Covid but Stingley was the best cornerback in college football by far 2 years ago and he ran a 4.3 in the 40. He's a better athlete and Gardner and he proved himself in the SEC. There's a noticeable dropoff after him and Gardner, he should go early.
5. Steelers to draft Malik Willis +175 risking 2 units to win to win 3.5
- There are a lot of teams looking to trade back and this won't be an expensive draft to move up in because its not a top heavy draft. Tomlin wants a mobile quarterback and Trubisky and Randolph aren't ready. Carolina tends to favor more traditional pro style quarterbacks and Seattle likely isn't patient enough to want to develop Willis.
