Ex: 2 Strong Defenses and Average/Bad Offenses.

One might assume, it will be a game of field goals and low scoring.

But if the game is played mostly at 20-30 yard lines, wouldnt it mean just as likely for fumbles/ INTs to occur and hence scoring ? -maybe even fumble/INT returned for TDs and safeties.

Bottomline, you cannot cap turnovers and they are especially deadly at the RZ.


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I generally dont bet totals. But only way I see it, maybe if you play certain angles like:

STrong Running game + Low passing game + Good Defense & Safeties = Under
Bad safeties + Good defenses + QBs who can take shots = Overs
High powered Offenses (Passing) + Bad Pass Ds - One dimensional Offenses = Overs
High powered offense + Opposing team Bad/overrated Defense = TT overs



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TL;DR Version = Is liking an game to go under really sharp or just trying to play the public-fade-over ?