99% of professional gambler’s Bet Openers

[jjgold]

The rest of us bet game day so we’re betting in to a perfect line who do think going to win out in the long term ???

Compulsive gambler’s and squares don’t wanna tie up money early or any sort of a future

God are we all dumb except a rare few

[JacketFan81]

You can't get any kind of big money down on openers

[johnnyvegas13]

Pass

[Brock Landers]

Not anymore they don't

Covid bullshit has turned everything on it's head

[jjgold]

A lot of guys are taking shots jumping Covid protocol announcements

[flyingillini]

I bet a few minutes before the start

[Chi_archie]

I have a couple inside guys from a few very large testing facilities/labs

I've done very well the past year and especially in NFL the past month

[pavyracer]

But is only the 1% of professional gamblers that win. Pick a winner when the line and limits are in your favor.

[jjgold]

Paver would love to see you turn pro

[mcaulay777]

I Remember back in the day when only a few professional bettors were allowed at the Stardust at 6pm Sunday night to bet the opening lines!

[manny24]

everyone's getting destroyed today openers closers everyone

[SamsNCharge99]

Pass

[cecil127]

Got two parlays from a Monday ping pong game in Russia riding on a Sunday football game…you see value ya grab it. Calm yo ass down and make sharp bets, Baldy.

[jtoler]

I don’t think we have access to the real opening line

[KRIT]

Sharps bet early and late. Only line movement that matters, early and late.

Best advice I can give you guys.

[slapshot]

there is no such thing as a sharp player.....there are sharp plays though.

[no options]

the only option is openers, otherwise there are no options

[TommieGunshot]

Interesting to see jj claim that steam chasers represent only 1% of pro bettors.

[rm18]

If you are trying to bet big you are just moving the line against yourself though basically no one bets seriously lines stay still for hours and then you bet they move tells you all you need to know.

[jjgold]

A lot of miss information here with guys that have old cars

[d2bets]

there is no such thing as a sharp player.....there are sharp plays though.

What do you call someone who regularly and habitually bets those sharp plays?

[KRIT]

What do you call someone who regularly and habitually bets those sharp plays?

A sharp

[jjgold]

Easily can get down $1000's or more openers many places even if you have to hit a few books

[slapshot]

What do you call someone who regularly and habitually bets those sharp plays?

per definition that someone is obviously called a sharp...does that someone exist in reality?

by using the term sharp i hope you mean someone one hitting a lot better than slightly above 50% ats to make profit.

by using the term "sharp" we should mean someone winning substantially more than they lose...55%...60% maybe even 65% ats over thousands of plays over multiple seasons....that person doesn't exist.

money can be made though....money management is just as important as sharp plays.

[d2bets]

per definition that someone is obviously called a sharp...does that someone exist in reality?

by using the term sharp i hope you mean someone one hitting a lot better than slightly above 50% ats to make profit.

by using the term "sharp" we should mean someone winning substantially more than they lose...55%...60% maybe even 65% ats over thousands of plays over multiple seasons....that person doesn't exist.

money can be made though....money management is just as important as sharp plays.

Sharp is winning predictably and consistently over time. Your % numbers are irrelevant. The goal is to make +EV plays. Whether it's slightly +EV or massively +EV doesn't really matter. Bet it all. Volume is the goal. I'd rather hit 55% at 5x volume than 60% at 1x volume? Get it? No, you don't. If you don't experience it, you probably can't get it. Yes, that person exists. Many of them exist.

Money management is not just as important. Once you get to a certain level, you're generally just betting maxes, which will be less than what you want. Money management to me means having enough at each book to bet whatever I want whenever I want. Nothing to do with bet sizing.

No offense man, but you just don't know what I know. I could try to tell you further, but you won't believe me.

1. $1,100 wager at -110 with 60% chance yields EV of $160
2. $5,500 wager at -110 with 55% chance yields EV of $275

Which bet would you rather make, over and over?

[slapshot]

obviously volume is key is as you say......agree with you on that.

you're certain that sharp player exists......i'm guessing you have first hand information....feel free to post your plays.

[d2bets]

obviously volume is key is as you say......agree with you on that.

you're certain that sharp player exists......i'm guessing you have first hand information....feel free to post your plays.

Easiest way to tell that someone isn't a sharp bettor is when they "post plays". Again, you just don't understand what some people are doing.

[slapshot]

Easiest way to tell that someone isn't a sharp bettor is when they "post plays".

you're saying you're not a sharp.....so you won't post plays....but you claim the sharps exist somewhere out there.....like santa claus kind of

[d2bets]

you're saying you're not a sharp.....so you won't post plays....but you claim the sharps exist somewhere out there.....like santa claus kind of

If I "posted plays" you'd know I wasn't a sharp. I don't and won't, so you don't know either way. But I do, and that's all that matters to me.

[KRIT]

What I find funny is most people cap these games. All you have to do is follow the sharp money and let them cap the game for you.

[d2bets]

What I find funny is most people cap these games. All you have to do is follow the sharp money and let them cap the game for you.

that and pick off the good numbers at the slower books. People overcomplicate.

[pimike]

I Remember back in the day when only a few professional bettors were allowed at the Stardust at 6pm Sunday night to bet the opening lines!

Yep

That was fun times!!!

[mama whoiscrying]

I Remember back in the day when only a few professional bettors were allowed at the Stardust at 6pm Sunday night to bet the opening lines!

I remember the lottery drawing for whoever was there. But I don't remember just a few. That was obviously before my time. I miss those old days.

[KVB]

per definition that someone is obviously called a sharp...does that someone exist in reality?

by using the term sharp i hope you mean someone one hitting a lot better than slightly above 50% ats to make profit.

by using the term "sharp" we should mean someone winning substantially more than they lose...55%...60% maybe even 65% ats over thousands of plays over multiple seasons....that person doesn't exist.

money can be made though....money management is just as important as sharp plays.

There is too much focus on win percentage in this post.

A sharp player player knows how to ply the markets and get down what he needs to when he needs to. It's a blend of market knowledge, access, and despite what many think and what is saidn in this thread, actual handicapping.

I have profitable MLB Funds, all posted, that hit well less than 50%.

Your focus on a higher and higher win percentage will be misleading. Many successful bettors are content with hitting less than 55% on spread and Total bets, especially if the prices are cheap.

Remember, a 60% win percentage is often too high for many of us when it comes to weighing the volume of bets vs. win percentage to make a profit.

[d2bets]

There is too much focus on win percentage in this post.

A sharp player player knows how to ply the markets and get down what he needs to when he needs to. It's a blend of market knowledge, access, and despite what many think and what is saidn in this thread, actual handicapping.

I have profitable MLB Funds, all posted, that hit well less than 50%.

Your focus on a higher and higher win percentage will be misleading. Many successful bettors are content with hitting less than 55% on spread and Total bets, especially if the prices are cheap.

Remember, a 60% win percentage is often too high for many of us when it comes to weighing the volume of bets vs. win percentage to make a profit.

Aside from sometimes checking injuries and things of that sort, I do 0 game handicapping. I handicap the line and line movement. More than one way to skin a cat, but works for me.