Packers - 12

[EGrecu]

If this line doesn't hit, all of us need to stop gambling forever


Packers are coming off a bye week, Rodgers is always extremely motivated against the bears (as are the packers as a team) and he absolutely owns that team


If this is not a 21-30 point blowout, there's no point to bet on sports ever again

[d2bets]

This has all the makings of a legendary thread.

[jjgold]

I cannot give all those points NFL games

Very few blowouts anymore

[JacketFan81]

This is just so bad in so many ways

[BeatTheJerk]

Very square bet might fade.

[johnnyvegas13]

Very square bet might fade.

Ya this is a fade thread

[EGrecu]

Very square bet might fade.

The problem with big favorites is many of them are not motivated so they lay a dud and end up winning by 6 points


This match up... the packers and Roger's are always super motivated against the bears

[jjgold]

Grecks you love chalk

[JacketFan81]

The problem with big favorites is many of them are not motivated so they lay a dud and end up winning by 6 points


This match up... the packers and Roger's are always super motivated against the bears

I'll be considering this in-depth analysis as the Packers kick the game-winning field goal with 17 seconds left.

[BeatTheJerk]

The problem with big favorites is many of them are not motivated so they lay a dud and end up winning by 6 points


This match up... the packers and Roger's are always super motivated against the bears

Point taken

[EGrecu]

Grecks you love chalk

This is a rare big chalk where the favorite is going to be supremely motivated to win big

Rodgers wants to beat these guys by 30

[trobin31]

Didn’t Rodgers just talk smack last game? Like “I own you”

Bears might have a little something extra for Mr Rodgers

[thomorino]

If this line doesn't hit, all of us need to stop gambling forever


Packers are coming off a bye week, Rodgers is always extremely motivated against the bears (as are the packers as a team) and he absolutely owns that team


If this is not a 21-30 point blowout, there's no point to bet on sports ever again

Teams coming off of byes ar often not sharp. I would never lay double digits with a team that hasn't played in 2 weeks against a rival. Bears are healthy now too, Robinson will be back.

[thomorino]

Didn’t Rodgers just talk smack last game? Like “I own you”

Bears might have a little something extra for Mr Rodgers

Yeah I would only look at the Bears, Green Bay hasn't played in 2 weeks.

[trobin31]

Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything

[JacketFan81]

Teams coming off of byes ar often not sharp. I would never lay double digits with a team that hasn't played in 2 weeks against a rival. Bears are healthy now too, Robinson will be back.

I changed my mind. I'm with you Grecu. Pack -12 it is.

[thomorino]

I changed my mind. I'm with you Grecu. Pack -12 it is.

Im up over 60 units on NFL sides, you are a dumb shit.

[EGrecu]

Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything

Stout defense?

Bears pass rush has not been nearly as good since khalil mack is gone, the run defense is just avg and the secondary is terrible

The bears defense plays well when the front 7 dominates. If they don't get pressure, they're very beatable. The secondary is bottom 5 in the league

Also the bears offense is absolutely terrible

[EGrecu]

Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything

I agree 100% on mental focus

But the packers and Rogers are always extremely focused and motivated on the bears games

[thomorino]

I agree 100% on mental focus

But the packers and Rogers are always extremely focused and motivated on the bears games

Teams coming off byes are not usually focused if they don't respect th competition and the Bears are a 4 win team. I don't see th Packers being sharp here. Bears are healthy on offense for the first time Ina while too

[d2bets]

Stout defense?

Bears pass rush has not been nearly as good since khalil mack is gone, the run defense is just avg and the secondary is terrible

The bears defense plays well when the front 7 dominates. If they don't get pressure, they're very beatable. The secondary is bottom 5 in the league

Also the bears offense is absolutely terrible

FWIW it looks like Aikeem Hicks is coming back.

Be interesting to see how Fields looks after being off a few weeks.

[OldBill]

DO NOT Forget that frozen tundra no longer exist the field is Heated i agrre teams rested as DD favs are bad bets i'm taking Bears

funny thing both teams are 2-1 in div bears only won 4 games we have had huge upsets a 10 point rodad dog hammers DIV rival leader Titans texans +10

Packers win but that back door is wide open for mr moose

[OldBill]

Not saying Packers aren’t better but I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers catches an injury here, then ur stuck with J lov against a stout defense who was almost certainly looking ahead to this game last week. A teams ability to mentally focus on a given week trumps everything

J LOVE is OUT

[Eddy Munny]

This is a rare big chalk where the favorite is going to be supremely motivated to win big

Rodgers wants to beat these guys by 30

Um... why?

Where is this supreme motivation coming from?

Why does Rodgers want to win by 30? Did Matt Nagy steal one of his lawn ornaments?

Any substance to these statements or are you just trying to talk yourself into a bet?

They practically have the division wrapped up. Packers would be happy with a win and onto the next one.

[JayDr3am]

Um... why?

Where is this supreme motivation coming from?

Why does Rodgers want to win by 30? Did Matt Nagy steal one of his lawn ornaments?

Any substance to these statements or are you just trying to talk yourself into a bet?

They practically have the division wrapped up. Packers would be happy with a win and onto the next one.

edward is speaking facts here. shrugs shoulders

[EGrecu]

Um... why?

Where is this supreme motivation coming from?

Why does Rodgers want to win by 30? Did Matt Nagy steal one of his lawn ornaments?

Any substance to these statements or are you just trying to talk yourself into a bet?

They practically have the division wrapped up. Packers would be happy with a win and onto the next one.

You don't understand bears packers

Rogers is like 21-7 ATS vs the bears. He wants to dominate these games

[ThaTopMoron]

potentially his last game vs bears in packers uniform?

tough number to lay knowing how NFL defenses act in 4th quarters when they are only up 14-17

[Eddy Munny]

You don't understand bears packers

Rogers is like 21-7 ATS vs the bears. He wants to dominate these games

You said it was a "rare big chalk play where the favorite is going to be supremely motivated to win big" but the reality is that it's just another big chalk play that may or may not cash, nothing particularly screams Packers here from a motivational standpoint.

Sure, Green Bay has been good against these guys but that's because the Bears have been a shit show for a long time now. The Pack have been good ATS against the Lions for the same reason. The double digit line reflects this though, it's baked in.

[d2bets]

Line is -10.5 at Heritage.

[GunShard]

Justin Fields is starting and he's a NFL bust. Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback in the league. Packers are going to put on a clinic out of the bye week. The public wins this game.

[EGrecu]

Akeim hicks is out. Packers should be able to run for 150 yards and Roger's can get whatever he wants. This is 38-14 kind of game

[JacketFan81]

What time does Aaron Rodgers start turning the motivation on?

[Str8Mush4Life]

I have my bankroll on what I thought should be an easy ML bet

[Str8Mush4Life]

As I type this Bears go up 10-0

[Demonata]

Damn I thought packers had a chance to win Today.