Youngkin v. McAuliffe - Pick and Write-Up

[Buckandadime]

Zero buzz for this election

Any offshores offering odds on it, besides Bovada?

Right???
Only buzz is fading moron...

[JIBBBY]

Coin flip hard to bet on.

[pokerdevil]

Coin flip hard to bet on.

That's why I'm looking for a site that offers it. I'll take either side at +150 at this point

[JIBBBY]

^^Based on what happened in the Newsom California recall, I can't trust any of these BLUE STATE voters to do the right thing. They are to stupid and dug in as Democrats to ever vote Republican. Doesn't matter what is negatively happening to the State.

I lean Terry McAuliffe slightly if I had to bet it.. Unfortunately.

[jjgold]

Dem pulling away surprising PredictIT and they are never wrong

[JacketFan81]

Where's Vitter to tell these VA parents they have no right to control what their kids learn in school?

[jjgold]

hard to beat Vets

[KnuckleHeadz]

What’s the chances Youngkin gets injured today?

[vitterd]

Where's Vitter to tell these VA parents they have no right to control what their kids learn in school?

Who are you?

[Buckandadime]

What’s the chances Youngkin gets injured today?

[jjgold]

It’s over the Democrats won in a landslide

Betting Markets don’t lie

[vitterd]

It’s over the Democrats won in a landslide

Betting Markets don’t lie

Could this be the Morino factor? You can’t discount that. Like knuckleheadz said….. Youngkin pulled a hamstring walking to the voting booth.

[Buckandadime]

I hit my last political bet on Harris to be vice president at +150, I think there is value on Youngkin to win the governors race in Virgina at +150.

Risking 2 units to win 3

The New Jersey and Virginia governors races are both next week and both involve similar issues, but the races are shaping up very differently.

In Virginia the main issue is the education system and families, with the horrific rape case in Laudon county that was covered up by the school board and democratic leaders being a central issue.

In New Jersey Ciatterelli has been linked negatively to Trump because he attended the January 6th protest, and the New Jersey race is much more focused on Covid and Trump.

In Virginia the issue as I said is focused on social issues, with the education system being the center.

The party that loses the presidential election has always done well in the mid-term elections with almost no exception for over 40 years, when people are out of power they get angry and motivated, well those in power often get complacent.

Mcaullife is moderate corporate democrat who has no real appeal to progressive on the left. Progressives have generally been motivated by 3 issues, Trump, progressive policies, and progressive candidates.

Trump is not a big factor in the Virginia race, Youngkin has strong support from the Trump base, but he's also been able to distance himself from Trump to appeal to moderate and independents on issues like the vaccine and election integrity.

The Laudon country rape case has parents outraged and its the kind of issue the should lead moms and housewives, the key group Trump did very poorly with in 2016, to vote Republican. Garland calling parents terrorists also angered many even moderate and independent voters.

The right is fired up right now and Youngkin also has appealed effectively to both independent and moderate voters. Mcaullife has made repeated mistakes including saying parents have no place in their kids education.

The polls show this race essentially tied but the polls have always undercounted Republicans and Trump supporters as we saw in both 2016 and 2020, the energy is all the right at this time.

Republicans are motivated about the border, Afghanistan, culture issues, and the fact they aren't in power. Progressive have nothing to be motivated about now with the absurd and dumb so called infrastructure bill failing and Mcaullife not being a progressive himself.

Youngkin should get strong turnout with the base of the party but he should also do well with moderate republicans and independents because of the culture issues like critical race theory teaching in school and the Laudon county Rape and cover-up of the rape.

The right is much more motivated than the left right now, the left has nothing to motivated about in this race or nationally since Biden has been incompetent and unable to get most major progressive legislation passed.

Did this come to fruition?
He did hit a "bet" 1 year ago..
Sup????????

[JIBBBY]

It’s over the Democrats won in a landslide

Betting Markets don’t lie

Not so fast hot shot.. This will be close.

[vitterd]

Did this come to fruition?
He did hit a "bet" 1 year ago..
Sup????????

Lol. If there is one guy that can stop Youngkin momentum…..it’s Morino. This guy has powers that nobody else has.

[jjgold]

It is 60% now Dem

[jjgold]

At noon, deep red Buchanan County (74% Trump) was at 70% of 2017 turnout. At noon, deep blue Falls Church (81% Biden) was at... 87% of 2017 turnout. Just two cases, but it does appear like Dem strongholds are turning out at a higher rate than GOP ones

[thomorino]

It is 60% now Dem

Of course the Democrats are ahead they always vote early more than republicans.

[thomorino]

Right???
Only buzz is fading moron...

What’s the chances Youngkin gets injured today?

Could this be the Morino factor? You can’t discount that. Like knuckleheadz said….. Youngkin pulled a hamstring walking to the voting booth.

Did this come to fruition?
He did hit a "bet" 1 year ago..
Sup????????

Lol. If there is one guy that can stop Youngkin momentum…..it’s Morino. This guy has powers that nobody else has.

Dumb shits

[JacketFan81]

No chance a Pub takes VA. None. They'd never let it happen.

[DucktheHoward]

At noon, deep red Buchanan County (74% Trump) was at 70% of 2017 turnout. At noon, deep blue Falls Church (81% Biden) was at... 87% of 2017 turnout. Just two cases, but it does appear like Dem strongholds are turning out at a higher rate than GOP ones

Hanover County officials did not have turnout numbers yet but called today “record breaking” for the county.

2020 Hanover County: Trump 62%, biden 36% -- 19K vote margin

[RoyBacon]

Tard is at 58% on Predictit vs 48% for the Republican

Will be close but the tard will pull it out.

Republicans should be thrilled they took this blue state down to the wire.

[DucktheHoward]

RICHMOND, Va. (WRIC) — 8News received numerous reports this morning about an electronic sign positioned in downtown Richmond with a profane message for President Biden.
The sign, photographed recently near 8^th and Cary streets, says, “F**K Biden”.
According to VDOT, the electronic sign does not belong to them and no one has hacked or repurposed one of their signs.
Virginia State Police met an individual associated with the sign earlier today on the Interstate 95 overpass near Arthur Ashe Boulevard. The sign was then removed from that area.

[Art Vandelay]

RICHMOND, Va. (WRIC) — 8News received numerous reports this morning about an electronic sign positioned in downtown Richmond with a profane message for President Biden.
The sign, photographed recently near 8^th and Cary streets, says, “F**K Biden”.
According to VDOT, the electronic sign does not belong to them and no one has hacked or repurposed one of their signs.
Virginia State Police met an individual associated with the sign earlier today on the Interstate 95 overpass near Arthur Ashe Boulevard. The sign was then removed from that area.

If he had just posted "Let's go Brandon" he would have been fine...

[vitterd]

Bacon predicts dem and Morino predicts republican. My goodness. This might be a tie

[DucktheHoward]

Some early exit polling from FOX seems to be good news for the Ds

almost 2 to 1 favor masks in school

over 50% say their financial situation is improved or holding steady

55% to 44% unfavorable/favorable to trump

2 to 1 think racism is at least somewhat of a problem

have no idea which precincts they polled, but every time they flashed one, it seemed to favor the Ds

[JacketFan81]

Bacon predicts dem and Morino predicts republican. My goodness. This might be a tie

That's the best part about America: you can love this place or you can hate it, but we don't do ties, damnit. That's some lame ass Euro shit.

[jjgold]

Getting close again lol

Hard to predict

[DucktheHoward]

Maggie Haberman, no fan of Trump, just tweeted out these #s

Trump favorability: 41/54

Youngkin favorability: 53/44

The takeaway according to the pundits: Mcauliff's attempts to drag Youngkin down with trump may not have worked out that well for him -- people who don't like trump appear willing to vote for youngkin

[thomorino]

Some early exit polling from FOX seems to be good news for the Ds

almost 2 to 1 favor masks in school

over 50% say their financial situation is improved or holding steady

55% to 44% unfavorable/favorable to trump

2 to 1 think racism is at least somewhat of a problem

have no idea which precincts they polled, but every time they flashed one, it seemed to favor the Ds

The democrats always vote early, that mean nothing

[DucktheHoward]

How many middle of the road voters who normally vote republican, but voted for biden in 2020, are coming home? How many are turned off by biden's failure to be a "moderate" as he promised?

[DucktheHoward]

The democrats always vote early, that mean nothing

if i understand exit polling, i think these results were from today as they interviewed voters leaving the polls

[DucktheHoward]

This from Fake News CNN

VA Electorate by Age 18-29 9% 30-44 22% 45-64 43% 65+ 27%

Seems like that low voter turnout among young voters would be scary for the Ds....

[jjgold]

Reps leading now

Keeps flipping

[manny24]

It’s over the Democrats won in a landslide

Betting Markets don’t lie