Bucs Week 1 steam is heavy, and it's still August...

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30058

    #1
    Bucs Week 1 steam is heavy, and it's still August...
    Geez, I have been putting them in forward parlays for weeks but now I'm wondering if I should stop.

    Public seems a little google-eyed here at -8 /-400 ?
  • SamsNCharge99
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-22-08
    • 41242

    #2
    how bout them cowboys
    Comment
    • Eddy Munny
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-13
      • 15768

      #3
      Fade the champs.
      Comment
      • pavyracer
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-12-07
        • 82839

        #4
        The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their own practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
        Comment
        • Booya711
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-20-11
          • 27329

          #5
          Originally posted by pavyracer
          The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their one practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
          What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30058

            #6
            I don't think I will add any more. Suppose it can go to -440 by game time but anything beyond that I'm hedging.
            Started buying around -300 or -330, can't recall which.
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94379

              #7
              Pinnacle not even board
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82839

                #8
                Originally posted by Booya711
                What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
                I think the OP is using them as ML parlays so I responded to that part. I don't know what the ATS is but 5 of the losses were double digits.
                Comment
                • johnnyvegas13
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 05-21-15
                  • 27897

                  #9
                  It is -400 now

                  i kinda like cowboys 1h
                  Comment
                  • SamsNCharge99
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-22-08
                    • 41242

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                    The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their own practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
                    the return of Dak
                    Comment
                    • str
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-12-09
                      • 11781

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Booya711
                      What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
                      2-6 ATS on the road.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Always fade public teams nfl
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30058

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          Always fade public teams nfl

                          proven does not work

                          be thou neither sharp nor square
                          so the quothy shakespeare penneth'd
                          Comment
                          • Eddy Munny
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 15768

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Snowball
                            proven does not work

                            be thou neither sharp nor square
                            so the quothy shakespeare penneth'd
                            I wouldn't blindly do anything, and that includes fading the public, but the Bucs price tag is a bit steep. What if the Cowboys hadn't had all those injuries on the offensive line last year and Dak had stayed healthy as well? What if the Saints hadn't let the Bucs off the hook in the divisional round of the playoffs? The entire narrative entering this game would be completely different.

                            I know those are hypotheticals but it's a fine line when you try to cut through the noise and assess teams as objectively as possible. Giving a team as talented as Dallas (at least on the offensive side of the ball) over a touchdown on opening night isn't my idea of a layup.
                            Comment
                            • KiDBaZkiT
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 14962

                              #15
                              Brady 5-0 lifetime against Dallas.
                              Comment
                              • Eddy Munny
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-13-13
                                • 15768

                                #16
                                Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                                Brady 0-5 lifetime against Dallas.
                                Switch those numbers around and you'll have an accurate statement.
                                Comment
                                • KiDBaZkiT
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-20-09
                                  • 14962

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                  Switch those numbers around and you'll have an accurate statement.
                                  They were supposed to be.
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82839

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                                    Brady 5-0 lifetime against Dallas.
                                    Source? The alternate universe?
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      No layups
                                      Comment
                                      • Snowball
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-15-09
                                        • 30058

                                        #20
                                        Guys just try to imagine the Cowboys going into Tampa to start NFL season and beating the SB champs outright.
                                        It's not going to happen. The line should be -2000.
                                        Comment
                                        • KiDBaZkiT
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-20-09
                                          • 14962

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                          No layups
                                          I got a couple layups for ya coach. Do you want their phone numbers? Def recommend wearing a glove though.
                                          Comment
                                          • ChiLLx
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-24-11
                                            • 5412

                                            #22
                                            In on the -6.5 Bucs line but not touching this anymore
                                            Comment
                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 05-21-15
                                              • 27897

                                              #23
                                              Bucs gonna b my first play of reg season
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30058

                                                #24
                                                It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.

                                                seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?

                                                no freaking way.
                                                Comment
                                                • carolinakid
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-12-11
                                                  • 19106

                                                  #25
                                                  the cowboys are going nowhere again this yr.it more of the same old same with this team, a bad coach, a bad owner and a average qb
                                                  Comment
                                                  • johnnyvegas13
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 05-21-15
                                                    • 27897

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Snowball
                                                    It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.

                                                    seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?

                                                    no freaking way.
                                                    They might hang around for a half

                                                    but eventually bucs pull away

                                                    I will say 28-17 bucs
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ToneKapone13
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 02-23-20
                                                      • 95

                                                      #27
                                                      Also I dont know the numbers but the previous superbowl champs home opener ATS covers hugely if I remember correctly. Just food for thought.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • d2bets
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                        • 39995

                                                        #28
                                                        It'll probably keep going higher. My guess is closes around -9.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johnnyvegas13
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 05-21-15
                                                          • 27897

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by d2bets
                                                          It'll probably keep going higher. My guess is closes around -9.
                                                          This is wat I said

                                                          i cannot wait for this gm and then this weekend
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lonegambler23
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-22-16
                                                            • 9760

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Snowball
                                                            It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.

                                                            seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?

                                                            no freaking way.
                                                            and how many times have people said that for an nfl game, yet how about any game? if i were the books id be laughing at you laying -400
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 05-21-15
                                                              • 27897

                                                              #31
                                                              I am seeing 8.5 now
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Snowball
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 11-15-09
                                                                • 30058

                                                                #32
                                                                Not just this game but in general this season in NFL and the other major American sports, we're going to see juice on the favorites like never before in history. They are talking about 40 million Americans betting on NFL. Most of these people have never made a bet on sports in their lives.

                                                                It's like the new pot users. These previously shunned and illegal activities are now mainstream.
                                                                I suppose prostitution is next, there will be an app for it.

                                                                If you like a favorite you have to hop on early. There are also going to be a lot of arb opps to sell back.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30058

                                                                  #33
                                                                  -420 at Hill. Bet Online -9.5

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • johnnyvegas13
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 05-21-15
                                                                    • 27897

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Yup we r closing at 9 here
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Snowball
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                                      • 30058

                                                                      #35
                                                                      -430 at public books in New England now
                                                                      everyone betting on Brady
                                                                      Comment
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