Bucs Week 1 steam is heavy, and it's still August...
Geez, I have been putting them in forward parlays for weeks but now I'm wondering if I should stop.
Public seems a little google-eyed here at -8 /-400 ?
SamsNCharge99
SBR Aristocracy
10-22-08
41242
#2
how bout them cowboys
Comment
Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15768
#3
Fade the champs.
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82839
#4
The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their own practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
Comment
Booya711
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-20-11
27329
#5
Originally posted by pavyracer
The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their one practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#6
I don't think I will add any more. Suppose it can go to -440 by game time but anything beyond that I'm hedging.
Started buying around -300 or -330, can't recall which.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#7
Pinnacle not even board
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82839
#8
Originally posted by Booya711
What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
I think the OP is using them as ML parlays so I responded to that part. I don't know what the ATS is but 5 of the losses were double digits.
Comment
johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27897
#9
It is -400 now
i kinda like cowboys 1h
Comment
SamsNCharge99
SBR Aristocracy
10-22-08
41242
#10
Originally posted by pavyracer
The Cowboys went 1-7 on the road last year. They will have a hard time beating their own practice squad let alone the Superbowl champs on the road. Most likely Brady will run them out of the stadium with an embarrassing loss.
the return of Dak
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11781
#11
Originally posted by Booya711
What about ATS on that 1-7? Otters only one that would lay the -400….maybe Morino
2-6 ATS on the road.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#12
Always fade public teams nfl
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#13
Originally posted by jjgold
Always fade public teams nfl
proven does not work
be thou neither sharp nor square
so the quothy shakespeare penneth'd
Comment
Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15768
#14
Originally posted by Snowball
proven does not work
be thou neither sharp nor square
so the quothy shakespeare penneth'd
I wouldn't blindly do anything, and that includes fading the public, but the Bucs price tag is a bit steep. What if the Cowboys hadn't had all those injuries on the offensive line last year and Dak had stayed healthy as well? What if the Saints hadn't let the Bucs off the hook in the divisional round of the playoffs? The entire narrative entering this game would be completely different.
I know those are hypotheticals but it's a fine line when you try to cut through the noise and assess teams as objectively as possible. Giving a team as talented as Dallas (at least on the offensive side of the ball) over a touchdown on opening night isn't my idea of a layup.
Comment
KiDBaZkiT
SBR Posting Legend
10-20-09
14962
#15
Brady 5-0 lifetime against Dallas.
Comment
Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15768
#16
Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
Brady 0-5 lifetime against Dallas.
Switch those numbers around and you'll have an accurate statement.
Comment
KiDBaZkiT
SBR Posting Legend
10-20-09
14962
#17
Originally posted by Eddy Munny
Switch those numbers around and you'll have an accurate statement.
They were supposed to be.
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82839
#18
Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
Brady 5-0 lifetime against Dallas.
Source? The alternate universe?
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#19
No layups
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#20
Guys just try to imagine the Cowboys going into Tampa to start NFL season and beating the SB champs outright.
It's not going to happen. The line should be -2000.
Comment
KiDBaZkiT
SBR Posting Legend
10-20-09
14962
#21
Originally posted by jjgold
No layups
I got a couple layups for ya coach. Do you want their phone numbers? Def recommend wearing a glove though.
Comment
ChiLLx
SBR Hall of Famer
12-24-11
5412
#22
In on the -6.5 Bucs line but not touching this anymore
Comment
johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27897
#23
Bucs gonna b my first play of reg season
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#24
It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.
seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?
no freaking way.
Comment
carolinakid
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-11
19106
#25
the cowboys are going nowhere again this yr.it more of the same old same with this team, a bad coach, a bad owner and a average qb
Comment
johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27897
#26
Originally posted by Snowball
It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.
seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?
no freaking way.
They might hang around for a half
but eventually bucs pull away
I will say 28-17 bucs
Comment
ToneKapone13
SBR Hustler
02-23-20
95
#27
Also I dont know the numbers but the previous superbowl champs home opener ATS covers hugely if I remember correctly. Just food for thought.
Comment
d2bets
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
39995
#28
It'll probably keep going higher. My guess is closes around -9.
Comment
johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27897
#29
Originally posted by d2bets
It'll probably keep going higher. My guess is closes around -9.
This is wat I said
i cannot wait for this gm and then this weekend
Comment
lonegambler23
SBR Hall of Famer
06-22-16
9760
#30
Originally posted by Snowball
It's like a free play, the books know everyone will blow it anyway 3 days later.
seriously does Dallas have a 1 in 3.8 chance of going into Tampa and walking out winners?
no freaking way.
and how many times have people said that for an nfl game, yet how about any game? if i were the books id be laughing at you laying -400
Comment
johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27897
#31
I am seeing 8.5 now
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#32
Not just this game but in general this season in NFL and the other major American sports, we're going to see juice on the favorites like never before in history. They are talking about 40 million Americans betting on NFL. Most of these people have never made a bet on sports in their lives.
It's like the new pot users. These previously shunned and illegal activities are now mainstream.
I suppose prostitution is next, there will be an app for it.
If you like a favorite you have to hop on early. There are also going to be a lot of arb opps to sell back.
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#33
-420 at Hill. Bet Online -9.5
Comment
johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27897
#34
Yup we r closing at 9 here
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#35
-430 at public books in New England now
everyone betting on Brady