Turkey, a bet for the ages tomorrow

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  • topgame85
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-30-08
    • 12325

    #1
    Turkey, a bet for the ages tomorrow
    This is the type of play we live for. Italy beats Turkey 3-0. Negative recency bias.

    Wales plays Swiss tight. Shocker, everyone does. Positive recency bias.

    Stick to money management if this isn't a hobby. If it is a hobby, go in with that bankroll!

    Turkey will bury the proud, yet unprepared Welsh.
  • Thrilla
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-15
    • 13809

    #2
    Turkey sucked ass against Italy. Worst game probably in 30 years. The only thing going for them tomorrow is that the match is played in Azerbayjan, a brother nation close to home. Crowd support will be huge.
    Comment
    • topgame85
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-30-08
      • 12325

      #3
      Originally posted by Thrilla
      Turkey sucked ass against Italy. Worst game probably in 30 years. The only thing going for them tomorrow is that the match is played in Azerbayjan, a brother nation close to home. Crowd support will be huge.
      Fair. So a bounce back spot, on friendly turf? Do you have reservations about them after the last match? Not being a smart ass, respect your opinion.
      Comment
      • Allure
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-18-10
        • 7606

        #4
        Turkey wins. Easily.

        If the only thing going for them is playing in Azerbaijan than you'd be stupid not to play Wales.
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #5
          Turkey points in group stage over 2.5-147 under +110 at pinnacle.
          Comment
          • Thrilla
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-10-15
            • 13809

            #6
            Originally posted by Allure
            Turkey wins. Easily.

            If the only thing going for them is playing in Azerbaijan than you'd be stupid not to play Wales.
            Why did you call them scared v Italy then? lol so you just gonna gamble that they wont this time? OK. To me it's a repeat of the 2016 euros thus far.

            Gamer it's a bounce back spot if they show initiative with the ball. That's what was lacking v Italy. Not even an attempt to respond after the 2-0, against Italy of all nations. Italians have little use with the ball after taking the lead and the Turks stayed passive.
            Comment
            • topgame85
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-30-08
              • 12325

              #7
              Originally posted by Thrilla
              Why did you call them scared v Italy then? lol so you just gonna gamble that they wont this time? OK. To me it's a repeat of the 2016 euros thus far.

              Gamer it's a bounce back spot if they show initiative with the ball. That's what was lacking v Italy. Not even an attempt to respond after the 2-0, against Italy of all nations. Italians have little use with the ball after taking the lead and the Turks stayed passive.
              Well, one thing we know, Wales isn't afraid. They are used to being the little guy and underdog.

              Not trying to put you on the spot, but it sounds like you feel Wales is attractive at the odds?
              Comment
              • Thrilla
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-10-15
                • 13809

                #8
                Originally posted by topgame85
                Well, one thing we know, Wales isn't afraid. They are used to being the little guy and underdog.

                Not trying to put you on the spot, but it sounds like you feel Wales is attractive at the odds?
                Don't find value either way. Odds are correct where they stand right now. Maybe I'll bet live.

                Approx an hour before kick-off I expect money coming in on Turkey based on that crowd support advantage. Bet now if you like Turkey. Wait if you like Wales.
                Comment
                • cincinnatikid513
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-23-17
                  • 45360

                  #9
                  draw 1-1
                  Comment
                  • Allure
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-18-10
                    • 7606

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Thrilla
                    Why did you call them scared v Italy then? lol so you just gonna gamble that they wont this time? OK. To me it's a repeat of the 2016 euros thus far.

                    Gamer it's a bounce back spot if they show initiative with the ball. That's what was lacking v Italy. Not even an attempt to respond after the 2-0, against Italy of all nations. Italians have little use with the ball after taking the lead and the Turks stayed passive.
                    So you are comparing Italy with Wales? Losing to Italy means you'll also lose to Wales?

                    What exactly makes you think Turkey won't beat Wales. What's the analysis?
                    Comment
                    • Allure
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-18-10
                      • 7606

                      #11
                      One thing is true however: if you like Turkey take them now, if you like Wales take them before kick-off.
                      Comment
                      • Thrilla
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-10-15
                        • 13809

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Allure
                        So you are comparing Italy with Wales? Losing to Italy means you'll also lose to Wales?

                        What exactly makes you think Turkey won't beat Wales. What's the analysis?
                        That's not what my post says and I didnt say Turkey wont beat Wales.
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #13
                          I've never watched Turkey play. Wales was good 4 years ago, very good. No opinion on this match. If Bale is anything like he was in 2016, it will be lights out for Turkey. If not, Wales will struggle. Someone the other day told me that Griezman was no longer an elite player. Knee jerk reactions. Many athletes don't care about club play. It's the international stage where they make a name. Griezman was flying all over the pitch today. He was clearly one of the best players on it, if not the best.
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • cincinnatikid513
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-23-17
                            • 45360

                            #14
                            russia
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #15
                              Line flipped
                              Comment
                              • Goat Milk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 25850

                                #16
                                Value is gone on Wales.

                                Maybe Turkey -1.5 is the play?
                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                Comment
                                • midnighthour91
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-14-16
                                  • 146

                                  #17
                                  Might live bet Turkey ML at +180
                                  Comment
                                  • JayLA
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-12
                                    • 7806

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by midnighthour91
                                    Might live bet Turkey ML at +180
                                    why?
                                    Comment
                                    • lakerboy
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-02-09
                                      • 94379

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JayLA
                                      why?
                                      Because +850 right now is no good.
                                      Comment
                                      • JayLA
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-11-12
                                        • 7806

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        Because +850 right now is no good.
                                        even turkey DNB is +700
                                        Comment
                                        • lakerboy
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-02-09
                                          • 94379

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JayLA
                                          even turkey DNB is +700
                                          Our over is dead man. Goddamn seaweed jinxed turkey
                                          Comment
                                          • JayLA
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-11-12
                                            • 7806

                                            #22
                                            Maybe he meant turkey +.05 +190?

                                            Turkey's getting dominated at both ends
                                            Comment
                                            • Thrilla
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-10-15
                                              • 13809

                                              #23
                                              Deserved lead for Wales. If Turkey doesn't make this a 60/40 game in the 2nd half they officially overrated.
                                              Comment
                                              • JayLA
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-12
                                                • 7806

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Our over is dead man. Goddamn seaweed jinxed turkey
                                                i dunno lb, i'm liking our chances here for over 2.5 at least
                                                Comment
                                                • Thrilla
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-10-15
                                                  • 13809

                                                  #25
                                                  Thought it would be a more hostile atmosphere. 30k pro Turkey fans don't seem much in a 70k max stadium. Must add Olympic stadium. Those running tracks around the pitch is a barrier between the fans' angry faces and Welsh players.

                                                  Hungary at home leads the fan intensity so far.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Allure
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-18-10
                                                    • 7606

                                                    #26
                                                    People have been talking on how to start and who to start after the Italy game yet that fukking cunnt "coach" is letting the team play the exact shit. Costing me 7 units. A fukking chair would coach this team better. Useless cunnt.

                                                    And the fans, ridiculous. Could have played in Ghana would have made a difference.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94379

                                                      #27
                                                      Piece of shit bale
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JayLA
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-11-12
                                                        • 7806

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                        Piece of shit bale
                                                        twice
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JayLA
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-12
                                                          • 7806

                                                          #29
                                                          turkey simply doesn't have definition in the box, too inexperienced and scared
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lonegambler23
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-22-16
                                                            • 9760

                                                            #30
                                                            anything with turkey and a bet for the ages in the same sentence, never goes well..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Allure
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-18-10
                                                              • 7606

                                                              #31
                                                              Well at least we now know to take Switzerland -1.5 vs these fukktards. I hope that coach dies today. And painfully please, thanks.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Allure
                                                                Well at least we now know to take Switzerland -1.5 vs these fukktards. I hope that coach dies today. And painfully please, thanks.
                                                                Well, I was going to jokingly ask "did he win?" but I think this post says it all.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • Goat Milk
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                                  • 25850

                                                                  #33
                                                                  If I never saw this thread I was taking Wales all day. Made me overthink it and ended up taking Turkey. Dumb bet. You take the team with the better players, not hard.
                                                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • smarotta09
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-18-12
                                                                    • 834

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by topgame85
                                                                    This is the type of play we live for. Italy beats Turkey 3-0. Negative recency bias.

                                                                    Wales plays Swiss tight. Shocker, everyone does. Positive recency bias.

                                                                    Stick to money management if this isn't a hobby. If it is a hobby, go in with that bankroll!

                                                                    Turkey will bury the proud, yet unprepared Welsh.
                                                                    yikes....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Thrilla
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-10-15
                                                                      • 13809

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                                                      anything with turkey and a bet for the ages in the same sentence, never goes well..
                                                                      Which is why I felt obligated to question the play. Where were you? Oh yeah that's right you only show up after the fact. Got any tennis bombers for us?
                                                                      Comment
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