Men. Do NOT bet the VGK/MIN game

[MinnesotaFats]

This is one you lay off. I've hit 3 out of 3 in this series. There is no play here, do not think home ice matters, Parise matters, MAF/ TOL compare, etc.

Just watch the greatest post season sport there is...NHL game 7s

[KVB]

I agree, it's a gamble until we start talking about the Min price.

Do you want the winning team tonight or to you want the winning bet?

Those can be two different things and tonight they just might be.

All the action that's been spread out over the games recently in this record breaking bolstered playoff market concentrate into one game tonight with a popular Vegas team at play.

Heavy pressure on Vegas, and some of the public taking shots at Minn and they've moved the line to mitigate it.

I can make many different levels of forecasts and by all accounts this game on a sharper man's page shows give Minnesota and outright edge here and acceptable value at the +160 level.

Did the market move too far? Is the book happy to take in the Minnesota money? Truth is, as this market trades early, I'm not so sure the books are taking a position here, even if they are curbing the Vegas ml intake.

But I would be wary of the Vegas puckline. I would say the books have a big position there with nearly all the action that doesn't want a piece of the growing Vegas moneyline hitting the puckoine for +160 or so, along with the expected action on Vegas. They are taking a position here...

It's Minnesota or pass for me.

Good Luck whatever you play.

[jjgold]

Minnesota or no play

[TheMetsSuck]

thanks but ill take vegas in reg

[johnnyvegas13]

So take minny

[BeatTheJerk]

thanks but ill take vegas in reg

Same here.

[KVB]

This moneyline looks more and more like a pass or me, even with the +160 and a forecasted Min edge.

But I just might throw that Min puckline into a parlay or just nibble at some by itself.

[Brock Landers]

Vegas has not yet closed out a series at home

[Unrivaled]

I want Vegas because them against Avs would be amazing.

Avs would probably sweep the Wild.

[KVB]

Vegas has not yet closed out a series at home

[big joe 1212]

So you’re telling gamblers on a gambling forum not to bet on this game?

Its like telling a fat person not to eat at the buffet, just sit there and watch everyone else enjoy their steak

[dark star]

Colorado will wipe out the winner GET SOME

[BeatTheJerk]

I want to fuk them.

[Sato]

Minnesota or no play

True. Its throwing darts time.

Minny or pass

[KVB]

So you’re telling gamblers on a gambling forum not to bet on this game?
Its like telling a fat person not to eat at the buffet, just sit there and watch everyone else enjoy their steak

The biggest advantage a gambler has, no matter his experience or expertise, is to pass, just like that fat man at the buffet.

But in this case it's all about the gamblers timeline and tolerance.

Most want the winner of tonight's game, and won't stick around long enough to enjoy the value of picking up +160 whether or not the game wins or loses tonight.

The Fatman knows the playoffs don't last forever, the early bird special ends at 5:30 each night. He wants that steak and the pudding too, and just can't bring himself to get that fresh salad, the better choice for his long term health.

He hungry now.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I got down on this:

TOTAL u1½-133 - (1P Minnesota Wild vrs Vegas Golden Knights)

Also, what exactly does a steak at a buffet taste like?

Is it better than Sizzler?

Are there fights over the steaks like there are with crab legs?

[Darkside Magick]

Minnesota (13%)
Vegas (31%)
Draw (56%)

DRAW +309 - Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights

[KVB]

Depends on the Buffet DDD.

Always get some in Tahoe or Vegas and it's always the shit. Find the guy, there will be a guy dressed in all white holding a giant fork and knife.

Ask him to break you off some.

You will not regret it.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I’d rather find the girl dressed in black holding a knife

[KVB]

I know you've been to buffet DDD, I was just be descriptive...lol.

Now I've never been to any buffet where they just started throwing down, not gonna lie.

I've don't even remember being to a wildly unruly buffet, to be honest...

[Darkside Magick]

Match

Vegas (59%)
Minnesota (41%)

No edge here... MinnyFats right.. No bet

[KVB]

I like the Wild puckline from a contrarian perspective.

It seems that the puckline has been abandoned.

A little parlay with Brooklyn to win pays even money.

Get some.

[KVB]

Match

Vegas (59%)
Minnesota (41%)

No edge here... MinnyFats right.. No bet

I make many forecasts, cap many different ways.

I make some decent performing forecasts that actually have Minnesota with a slight edge on the moneyline.

Tie in regulation and Min puckline are good looks in my opinion.

[mngambler]

I want Vegas because them against Avs would be amazing.

Avs would probably sweep the Wild.

based on what? the fact that Minny made Vegas it's b*tch all year long? this site always good for a few laughs

[big joe 1212]

I know you've been to buffet DDD, I was just be descriptive...lol.

Now I've never been to any buffet where they just started throwing down, not gonna lie.

I've don't even remember being to a wildly unruly buffet, to be honest...

[Thrilla]

Wild will win

[pavyracer]

All posters on underdog so far. We know how this ends.

[jjgold]

Snuck in a small play when nobody was looking

[BeatTheJerk]

I make many forecasts, cap many different ways.

I make some decent performing forecasts that actually have Minnesota with a slight edge on the moneyline.

Tie in regulation and Min puckline are good looks in my opinion.

No value on Vegas to win in reg @ even money ?

[lakerboy]

No value on Vegas to win in reg @ even money ?

No but they might
You know the deal bro. You take that and they win in ot.

[KVB]

No value on Vegas to win in reg @ even money ?

Would rather have the plus money. Thing about the Min puckline is that it's not really conceding a vegas win, min can still win and win the bet.

I feel like, this time it's saying, yeah, anyone can win, but winning by 2 is whole different story. So if it's anyone's game, you want that plus money. If I think it could tie in regulation, I want that plus money on a winner.

The Vegas even money reg winner could be useful to take a shot. Using that win to break even. That sounds so easy what spoils it? Minny of course, but so does OT.

I feel a little Vegas adverse on the bets I see offered on them.

But with all this wanting plus money over some kind of value and long term, it's hard not to just say take Min +160.

[BeatTheJerk]

Would rather have the plus money. Thing about the Min puckline is that it's not really conceding a vegas win, min can still win and win the bet.

I feel like, this time it's saying, yeah, anyone can win, but winning by 2 is whole different story. So if it's anyone's game, you want that plus money. If I think it could tie in regulation, I want that plus money on a winner.

The Vegas even money reg winner could be useful to take a shot. Using that win to break even. That sounds so easy what spoils it? Minny of course, but so does OT.

I feel a little Vegas adverse on the bets I see offered on them.

But with all this wanting plus money over some kind of value and long term, it's hard not to just say take Min +160.

Ok thanks for explaining KVB

[KVB]

No but they might
You know the deal bro. You take that and they win in ot.

As usual, Lakeshow gives the TLDR summary of my post and spot on in the cliff note.

[KVB]

Seriously, read my post, then read Lakeshow's post.

lol

Took me 5 paragraphs takes him 2 sentences.

We say the same thing.

[stake1]

Down 15 units last year because of variance.

All plays are to win 2 units unless otherwise stated.


2 Futures Wagers

Vegas to win the West +425 risking 2 units to win 8.5

Tampa Bay to win the East +250 risking 2 units to win 5

Vegas to win in regulation -104

risking 1.04 units to win 1 unit