Quarterback Rushing Over props for Playoffs

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  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #1
    Quarterback Rushing Over props for Playoffs
    going to track this year.

    hypothesis is that in these playoff games, if it is a close game the QB's are more likely to take a risk and make that 3rd down or 4th down run when the play breaks down instead of throwing away because there is no tomorrow.

    during the regular season your brain has to be just a bit more conservative and thinking ahead.

    might need to find parameters. For games that are blow out spreads

    for game 1 I see

    Allen O/U 30.5
  • RockBottom
    SBR MVP
    • 12-03-08
    • 1448

    #2
    Played Allen over 31.5.
    Comment
    • KnuckleHeadz
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-11-19
      • 8194

      #3
      Great thread.. I mentioned the QB rushing props in another thread ...
      I’m big on Wilson today
      Comment
      • RockBottom
        SBR MVP
        • 12-03-08
        • 1448

        #4
        Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
        Great thread.. I mentioned the QB rushing props in another thread ...
        I’m big on Wilson today
        He was 8/60 and 3/9 in the two Rams games this year. Tough decision, what is the o/u?
        Comment
        • Chi_archie
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-22-08
          • 63172

          #5
          Wilson over under 22.5
          Comment
          • KnuckleHeadz
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-19
            • 8194

            #6
            Originally posted by RockBottom
            He was 8/60 and 3/9 in the two Rams games this year. Tough decision, what is the o/u?
            And this is win or go home. With that pass rush Wilson will not hesitate today
            Comment
            • JAKEPEAVY21
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-11-11
              • 29311

              #7
              Originally posted by RockBottom
              Played Allen over 31.5.
              I did as well, gl.
              Comment
              • Chi_archie
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-22-08
                • 63172

                #8
                I haven't played a ton of QB rushing props, but i'm quite certain i've only taken overs

                and the dozen or so times i've done so, it often seems they've hit with just 1 run.

                maybe that is why they seem so Tantalizing at times

                we all remember those plays where a QB that isn't even mobile has a deep down field play where everyone is covered and there is good line of scrimmage engagement and the guy rolls or steps up and suddenly has an easy 20-30 yards of green in front of him


                Comment
                • Chi_archie
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-22-08
                  • 63172

                  #9
                  Over for Allen hits

                  1-0

                  should be safe from going back under, but not impossible....
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63172

                    #10
                    Did anyone see any offerings for Rivers?

                    he hasn't had a game with + yards since week 2 so I figured no one offered it
                    Comment
                    • KnuckleHeadz
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-11-19
                      • 8194

                      #11
                      Easy hit before half
                      Comment
                      • lonegambler23
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-22-16
                        • 9760

                        #12
                        i dont get why you would think this changes for the playoffs? lol
                        Comment
                        • RockBottom
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-03-08
                          • 1448

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Chi_archie
                          Did anyone see any offerings for Rivers?

                          he hasn't had a game with + yards since week 2 so I figured no one offered it
                          Didn't see it offered. The projections I saw was 1 yard. Brady is 1.5 yards. TB's would scare me as kneel downs at the end of the game wipe out any positive yards he had.
                          Comment
                          • KnuckleHeadz
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-11-19
                            • 8194

                            #14
                            Originally posted by RockBottom
                            Didn't see it offered. The projections I saw was 1 yard. Brady is 1.5 yards. TB's would scare me as kneel downs at the end of the game wipe out any positive yards he had.
                            I remember hitting one of these for Brady in the Super Bowl some years back, they offered that same 1.5
                            Comment
                            • Chi_archie
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-22-08
                              • 63172

                              #15
                              yeah, no way we want any part of any 1.5's as mentioned.... you can always get 2-3 kneel downs to end a game
                              Comment
                              • Chi_archie
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-22-08
                                • 63172

                                #16
                                Russell Wilson o/u 22.5
                                Comment
                                • RockBottom
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-03-08
                                  • 1448

                                  #17
                                  Mine is 25.5 but I think the over is the right side. Ramsey will be on Metcalf, so Lockett should get some more looks today also.
                                  Comment
                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 11-29-07
                                    • 26068

                                    #18
                                    Over
                                    Comment
                                    • KnuckleHeadz
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-11-19
                                      • 8194

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                      Over
                                      Let’s get it !!!
                                      Comment
                                      • JAKEPEAVY21
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-11-11
                                        • 29311

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by RockBottom
                                        Mine is 25.5 but I think the over is the right side. Ramsey will be on Metcalf, so Lockett should get some more looks today also.
                                        Totally agree. Lockett yards and receptions props are probably good bets.
                                        Comment
                                        • RockBottom
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-03-08
                                          • 1448

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                          Totally agree. Lockett yards and receptions props are probably good bets.
                                          5.5/63.5
                                          Comment
                                          • DrunkHorseplayer
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-15-10
                                            • 7719

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                            yeah, no way we want any part of any 1.5's as mentioned.... you can always get 2-3 kneel downs to end a game
                                            Aren't kneel downs now considered team rushing yards and not individual?
                                            Comment
                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39995

                                              #23
                                              I took Trubisky O12.5-112. Felt like stealing. He hasn't run quite as much lately because he didn't want to get hurt, but now it's the playoffs. He still has that weapon, people forget. Bears can't leave anything on the table. He'll get that in one run, probably early.
                                              Comment
                                              • RockBottom
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-03-08
                                                • 1448

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                Aren't kneel downs now considered team rushing yards and not individual?
                                                nope
                                                Comment
                                                • Chi_archie
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-22-08
                                                  • 63172

                                                  #25
                                                  two easy overs...
                                                  Taylor Heinke over 20.5? I have no clue if i'd want to take this

                                                  but i'm sure he'll be desperate and running scared
                                                  Comment
                                                  • d2bets
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                    • 39995

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by d2bets
                                                    I took Trubisky O12.5-112. Felt like stealing. He hasn't run quite as much lately because he didn't want to get hurt, but now it's the playoffs. He still has that weapon, people forget. Bears can't leave anything on the table. He'll get that in one run, probably early.
                                                    Trubisky O13.5-112 for Fanduel users.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KnuckleHeadz
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-11-19
                                                      • 8194

                                                      #27
                                                      Wilson would have had that long ago if not for all the offensive holding penalties
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Chi_archie
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-22-08
                                                        • 63172

                                                        #28
                                                        3-0 for the overs today.

                                                        Should maybe have 6 viable book offerings tomorrow?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • d2bets
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-10-05
                                                          • 39995

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                          3-0 for the overs today.

                                                          Should maybe have 6 viable book offerings tomorrow?
                                                          I see 74.5 for Lamar. He might, but damn, that's a high number.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kermit
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 09-27-10
                                                            • 32555

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                                            I see 74.5 for Lamar. He might, but damn, that's a high number.
                                                            It seems high, but in games like this when everything is on the line, if he doesn't see anything, he is gonna take off. I wouldn't be surprised if he has 100 rushing yards.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KnuckleHeadz
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-11-19
                                                              • 8194

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Kermit
                                                              It seems high, but in games like this when everything is on the line, if he doesn't see anything, he is gonna take off. I wouldn't be surprised if he has 100 rushing yards.
                                                              👍👍👍
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KnuckleHeadz
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-11-19
                                                                • 8194

                                                                #32
                                                                Can someone please post all QB’s current rush yards for tomorrow if they have them..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ThaTopMoron
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-30-10
                                                                  • 27020

                                                                  #33
                                                                  what was the o/u for Rivers rushing yards?

                                                                  over/under .5 yards???

                                                                  over .5 yards +750
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Chi_archie
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-22-08
                                                                    • 63172

                                                                    #34
                                                                    lamar 76.5
                                                                    tannehill 17.5
                                                                    trubisky 12.5
                                                                    baker 13.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                                      • 63172

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                      I see 74.5 for Lamar. He might, but damn, that's a high number.
                                                                      Yeah I wouldn't be able to take that on principle. Just shocking to the senses to bet that on an NFL QB
                                                                      Comment
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