NFL Wild Card Picks

[thomorino]

-7.6 units for the regular season, absurd negative variance early in the year but I’m up over 50 units in the last month in the nfl


All bets are to win 4 units unless otherwise stated

Saints -8.5 previously posted - Saints should be healthy with Kamara and Thomas back, Bears defense has been mediocre all year and trubisky has been garbage against good defenses. The Bears offense starts with the run and the Saints have a strong run defense.

Tampa Bay -7 -115 previously posted - Tampa Bays run defense is strong their issue has been the secondary, but Redskins passing game is weak. Tampa Bays receivers should be able to get open easily allowing Brady to throw quickly against the Washington pass rush.

Baltimore -3 -120 - Ravens didn’t have Calais Campbell or Brandon Williams for the last matchup, Titans defense has struggled against the pass all year, Titans offensive line has significant injuries with lewan out for the year and saffold playing hurt.

Seattle -4.5 from a previous thread - Seahawks defense is playing better and their run defense is strong, Wilson plays better in big games.

[thomorino]

Futures pending for the postseason

Saints to win the nfc at +500 risking 5 units

Steelers to win the super bowl at +2200 risking 1 unit to win 22

[thomorino]

Colts +6.5 -113 - Bills looked strong to finish the season, but they mostly played weak teams and weak defenses. Colts are more balanced offensively with Taylor.

[Hman]

Good luck with the action

[sjm5122]

Faves for days

[jizay]

Absurd positive variance for the last month, but you're down for the season.

[clockwise1965]

Hard to win.

[Mackballs]

Absurd positive variance for the last month, but you're down for the season.

Yes the variance is only deemed absurd when it results in losses. 50 units positive in a month is certainly a normal result though. I see no reason why that won't continue.

[Zlaniner]

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Jan 09	NFL [141] TOTAL o51-110 (INDIANAPOLIS vrs BUFFALO)	200.00 SBR / 181.82 SBR	4630070

[thomorino]

Absurd positive variance for the last month, but you're down for the season.

Yes the variance is only deemed absurd when it results in losses. 50 units positive in a month is certainly a normal result though. I see no reason why that won't continue.

Wrong, 2 dumb shits.

[cane corso]

Good luck-hope you kill ‘em

[Mackballs]

Wrong, 2 dumb shits.

So losing 50 units in month is absurd, agreed, definitely negative variance.

But winning 50 units in a month is not an outlier. Got it. So 50 units a month being a realistic result, which involved no positive variance whatsoever, should be able to be achieved the next 12 months with little to no issue. I will be disappointed if you are not +600 units by December 31, 2020.

You're exactly where you should be moron. -7 units. Another losing bettor over the course of 4 month stretch. Get used to it.

[Buckandadime]

Futures pending for the postseason

Saints to win the nfc at +500 risking 5 units

Steelers to win the super bowl at +2200 risking 1 unit to win 22

What happened to the TB.future?

[thomorino]

So losing 50 units in month is absurd, agreed, definitely negative variance.

But winning 50 units in a month is not an outlier. Got it. So 50 units a month being a realistic result, which involved no positive variance whatsoever, should be able to be achieved the next 12 months with little to no issue. I will be disappointed if you are not +600 units by December 31, 2020.

You're exactly where you should be moron. -7 units. Another losing bettor over the course of 4 month stretch. Get used to it.

Wrong you are a dumb shit.

[thomorino]

What happened to the TB.future?

You are a dumb shit.

[Buckandadime]

You are a dumb shit.

No credibility..
Refuse to count losing "bets" and the total is still off from week 16..
Don't tell people you are winning when the records are so far away from the actual truth..
You are a dumbshit..

[Chi_archie]

Looking more at Props for these games

really been digging in to find underground sources connected to the teams, to get some ideas on their game plans

[thomorino]

No credibility..
Refuse to count losing "bets" and the total is still off from week 16..
Don't tell people you are winning when the records are so far away from the actual truth..
You are a dumbshit..

Wrong you are a dumb shit.

[KnuckleHeadz]

Looking more at Props for these games

really been digging in to find underground sources connected to the teams, to get some ideas on their game plans

LJ
Trubisky
Allen
Wilson

I’ll be taking the over in rush yards

[EveryMothersSon]

Futures pending for the postseason

Saints to win the nfc at +500 risking 5 units

Steelers to win the super bowl at +2200 risking 1 unit to win 22

good luck with these

[johnnyvegas13]

Saints r done

[lonegambler23]

Saints r done

lol theyre winning the bowl

[Smoke]

will u ever pick a dog

[Sam Odom]

Smoke

always buy the 1/2

[Zlaniner]

Ticket#:4630070 Jan 09 01:05 PM

Jan 08 11:05 AM

NFL

STRAIGHT BET (FP) [141] TOTAL o51-110 (INDIANAPOLIS vrs BUFFALO)

0.00 / 181.82

[stevenash]

lol theyre winning the bowl

No I honestly believe it's Buffalo's year.
KC can be beat with a good defense, Buffalo's defense is solid and Allen had just a season as Mahomes, if not better.

Morino, good write up (honest) I do think you're selling Washington's defense short, but it's OK to agree to disagree.

I'm on the other side of the TB pick but good thread.
Best of luck.

[thomorino]

Yes the variance is only deemed absurd when it results in losses. 50 units positive in a month is certainly a normal result though. I see no reason why that won't continue.

You are a dumb shit, I had absurd negative variance for 2 months, my big run the last month was betting 4 units play.

[thomorino]

No I honestly believe it's Buffalo's year.
KC can be beat with a good defense, Buffalo's defense is solid and Allen had just a season as Mahomes, if not better.

Morino, good write up (honest) I do think you're selling Washington's defense short, but it's OK to agree to disagree.

I'm on the other side of the TB pick but good thread.
Best of luck.

Buffalo is a good team but they are still a couple years away, Josh Allen hasn’t won a playoff game.

[GT21Megatron]

Buffalo is a good team but they are still a couple years away, Josh Allen hasn’t won a playoff game.

Playing the number. Books begging you and giving you free handjobs to take Buffalo at 6.5. This game is going to be close. I think Bills pull this out but it’s gonna stay inside the number

[thomorino]

Playing the number. Books begging you and giving you free handjobs to take Buffalo at 6.5. This game is going to be close. I think Bills pull this out but it’s gonna stay inside the number

Agree, I see Bills winning a close game, Rivers knows this might be his last game, I think he plays well.

[stevenash]

Agree, I see Bills winning a close game, Rivers knows this might be his last game, I think he plays well.

I'm afraid of the number too.
I'm using Buffalo money line in a parlay, they win straight up, by how much I am not sure of.

[thomorino]

Turner Lockett over 62.5 yards receiving -112

[lonegambler23]

morino how much is a unit for you?

[thomorino]

Colts just can’t get a break

[stevenash]

Allen > Mahomes
Allen and Diggs > Mahomes and Hill