Draftkings Odd Booster for Cowboys Texans too good to be true??

eaglesfan44 · 10-19-20, 10:59 AM

It says normal odds at +270 boosted to +310.... It can't be both players combined individual over/under is 150... Draftkings mistake that we should jump on???

Optional · 10-19-20, 11:23 AM

If both props were -110 and parlayed, odds are +265

So they are telling you correct numbers. No error there.

eaglesfan44 · 10-19-20, 11:27 AM

Yeah but both combined over unders are 152.5

That should be at -110. One can pick up the slack for the other and shouldnt be same odds as a parlay

Optional · 10-19-20, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by eaglesfan44

Yeah but both combined over unders are 152.5

That should be at -110. One can pick up the slack for the other and shouldnt be same odds as a parlay

One of them can drag the other one down too. To offset any perceived advantage of one picking up the slack.

So I "think" it should be still the same odds as the parlay, but will link your thread to the Handicapper Think Tank and one of the math guys will confirm for sure.

RudyRuetigger · 10-19-20, 11:48 AM

what is the exact line on the other 2 with juice included

eaglesfan44 · 10-19-20, 12:01 PM

On fanduel Hopkins is Over 85.5 at -110 and Under at -110. Cooper is over 67.5 at -110 and under at -110

Shouldn't combined O/U be 153 at -110???

RudyRuetigger · 10-19-20, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by eaglesfan44

On fanduel Hopkins is Over 85.5 at -110 and Under at -110. Cooper is over 67.5 at -110 and under at -110

Shouldn't combined O/U be 153 at -110???

i dont know the exact numbers, but yea id bet it

someone should check in with real numbers here

im interested here

eaglesfan44 · 10-19-20, 12:07 PM

Hopkins has 130+ in 3 of 5 games. Already know about Dallas defense. Shootout potential. One of these guys goes off and you have a great chance. +310 seems too good to be true with that value

Hopkins could hit the 150 mark on his own. I dont trust Dalton but Amari shouls get looks

d2bets · 10-19-20, 12:33 PM

I hit this one too. Low limits though. Some of these booster bets are incredible; others are awful. If you are selective, they can be great.

It may or may not hit, but it's way better than +310.

Of course it's better than parlay because if you bet both separately and they both won, then you would auto hit this. But you can easily win if just one goes over too. Not sure it should be -110, but not too much more. Maybe +120 or so. +310 is massive +EV.

They balance it out by offering other shitty odds boost that people probably take.

RudyRuetigger · 10-19-20, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

i dont know the exact numbers, but yea id bet it

someone should check in with real numbers here

im interested here

ill guess it should be +105 due to injuries and quick leads

no matter what the correct line is, clear value

it isnt a parlay

USCPHILLYGUY · 10-19-20, 12:37 PM

Eags how are things going at work

d2bets · 10-19-20, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

ill guess it should be +105 due to injuries and quick leads

no matter what the correct line is, clear value

it isnt a parlay

Based on their regular odds, it's almost like they thought it was a parlay. Weird.

My limit is $90.89. I wonder if others have different?

eaglesfan44 · 10-19-20, 05:10 PM

Very odd Im in for $75

d2bets · 10-19-20, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by eaglesfan44

Very odd Im in for $75

Was that your limit?

d2bets · 10-19-20, 10:42 PM

Winner winner chicken dinner.

pokerdevil · 10-20-20, 11:37 AM

Yeah this isn't a parlay. It's sort of like the Grand Salami bets where a good approximation is adding up the over/unders for each game (or in this case, player prop). I mostly agree with Rudy, this should be +110 or +120 at worst. And whatever the odds - it's a clear bet.

I don't bother calculating the exact size of my edge when the edge is obvious and the limits are low; bet it, move on, and hope to win!

RudyRuetigger · 10-20-20, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by pokerdevil

Yeah this isn't a parlay. It's sort of like the Grand Salami bets where a good approximation is adding up the over/unders for each game (or in this case, player prop). I mostly agree with Rudy, this should be +110 or +120 at worst. And whatever the odds - it's a clear bet.

I don't bother calculating the exact size of my edge when the edge is obvious and the limits are low; bet it, move on, and hope to win!

This isn't like a flip of the coin heads/tails 1 game and heads/tails 2nd game and you have to win both heads

It is like having 100 flips at even odds (or -110 in books case) then you just have to pick heads to come out better at +310

Hell, maybe true odds are EVEN, but like i injuries and huge leads (no passing) allows it to be +105

on the flip side, maybe your team is losing so there is even more passing...........so maybe it is close to +100.005

pokerdevil · 10-20-20, 11:56 AM

There might be some very limited correlation, but since no site even offers such a prop, I've never given it any thought. You're right though - the true odds might be between some very narrow range like -101 to +101