Cubs @ Reds Darvish Vs Bauer

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  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #1
    Cubs @ Reds Darvish Vs Bauer
    Two of the best pitchers going, dueling it out today.

    Over and Under set at 6 for a 7 inning game.

    Bauer already has two 7 inning compete games this year

    Yu has gone 7 innings in 3 of his last 4 starts

    So if you believe in these two starters, this might be a very nice bet. you gotta figure this total would be 3.5 or 4 for first five innings.... so for 2 more frames, if they are going good. 6 seems nice.
  • RangeFinder
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-27-16
    • 8041

    #2
    Under is juiced, so if you believe over 60% of the time it goes Under, then it's a good play.

    Great post though
    Comment
    • KnuckleHeadz
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-11-19
      • 8194

      #3
      90degrees
      56% humidity
      12mph straight center
      Ball park that gives up the 2nd most runs
      Comment
      • Chi_archie
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-22-08
        • 63172

        #4
        Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
        90degrees
        56% humidity
        12mph straight center
        Ball park that gives up the 2nd most runs

        for sure all of this was factored into the bet

        but when you look at swing and miss rate and flyball rates of two very successful pitchers you aren't betting on some guys that allow a lot of squared up hard hit balls, and certainly they aren't guys that are getting outs on a lot of warning track fly balls that will turn into HR's in todays conditions.

        you have to be careful not to allow environmental and extraneous factors to overcome the biggest variable we cap here, which is the human talent on the field.
        Comment
        • bballs84
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-11-09
          • 5461

          #5
          Reds have left 9 thru 5.. Bunch of chances
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Bet Cincy second game
            Comment
            • Chi_archie
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-22-08
              • 63172

              #7
              boom goes the dynamite


              Comment
              • pablo222
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-19
                • 8858

                #8
                Nice Arch.
                Comment
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