Books not adjusting OKC line

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  • KRIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-14
    • 12878

    #1
    Books not adjusting OKC line
    Once again books putting out Houston as a short favorite. Books get killed again or so they know something?

    We’ve seen books adjust big time on certain series like Utah and even now Philly in game 3. Yet books are giving you the same short Houston line after they took care of OKC easily both games.
  • pilebuck13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-15-15
    • 17918

    #2
    Houston due for a choke job it always happens harden can’t be trusted
    Comment
    • SamsNCharge99
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-22-08
      • 41242

      #3
      Originally posted by pilebuck13
      Houston due for a choke job it always happens harden can’t be trusted
      harden shot horribly on Thursday and they still steam rolled

      ride houston until they lose, if books are gonna keep the line, keep cashing the tickets
      Comment
      • KRIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-11-14
        • 12878

        #4
        I was expecting -4, which would be in line with what we saw from some other series. I’m likely taking OKC.
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          I'm OKC +2 in the Contrarian Fund.

          Raw forecast has OKC winning this game by 2 points and when adding the contrarian adjustments it's clear trigger for me in that Fund. That Fund has lost 3 consecutive plays in rotation order, the last two of them being Philly.

          The raw forecast is exactly 50-50 ATS over it's last 100 plays (when compared with just a .5 discrepancy against the market) and exactly 60-40, for a loss of -4 units against the moneyline.

          Originally posted by KVB
          The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

          736 22-Aug OKC +2 (-104)
          This Fund has lost 3 in row, will get to the charts soon...
          Good Luck OKC backers, if we lose it's gonna be ugly...lol.

          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            random men
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              random men
              But you know that it's not random and that in fact each game, for gambling concerns, is not actually independant of one another.

              If it was random then patience and discipline wouldn't be virtues.
              Comment
              • goduke
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-10
                • 11580

                #8
                They made a big adjustment after game 1. Went from +1.5 to -2. Okc will need to have a big lead going into the 4th to win. There’s no one on that team that can create their own shot. Paul is too slow, he’s a game manager now. Gallinari just shoots fadeaways. To be honest this team has overachieved all season with garbage
                Comment
                • Wrongside
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-26-15
                  • 3579

                  #9
                  But OKC has home court advantage now. Does Chris Small show up?
                  Comment
                  • Eddy Munny
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 15768

                    #10
                    Originally posted by KRIT
                    I was expecting -4, which would be in line with what we saw from some other series. I’m likely taking OKC.
                    Rockets -3.5 was hanging around for a while, so that was a full 5 point adjustment from the game one line of OKC -1.5

                    It's back down to -2 but I haven't seen anything from the Thunder in the first two games to garner any support from me.
                    Comment
                    • shocka1212
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-06-12
                      • 16788

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pilebuck13
                      Houston due for a choke job it always happens harden can’t be trusted
                      about as guaranteed as taxes... that dud against San Antonio a few years ago paid for my whole vacation.
                      Comment
                      • funnyb25
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 07-09-09
                        • 39663

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        random men
                        OP asked about the OKC/Houston game and you respond with you been fukin for the past 20 years. #LOVESBR
                        Comment
                        • johnnyvegas13
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 05-21-15
                          • 27897

                          #13
                          Pass on this

                          lakers tonight
                          Comment
                          • BuckyOne
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-02-15
                            • 2728

                            #14
                            Playoff #'s get all out of kilter due to the need to win factors. We have to take a bad number to get on the right side
                            Comment
                            • Unrivaled
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-24-11
                              • 6685

                              #15
                              They didn't adjust the Miami line either.
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BuckyOne
                                Playoff #'s get all out of kilter due to the need to win factors. We have to take a bad number to get on the right side
                                It's not for every single case, but there is definite truth in this ^^^.
                                Comment
                                • pavyracer
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-12-07
                                  • 82839

                                  #17
                                  Pick winners and don't worry about the lines books set. Once the line setting gets into your head you stop picking winners.
                                  Comment
                                  • Allure
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-18-10
                                    • 7606

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                    Pick winners and don't worry about the lines books set. Once the line setting gets into your head you stop picking winners.
                                    This is so true man. So true.
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                      Houston due for a choke job it always happens harden can’t be trusted
                                      Good Call, they lost 15-3 in OT.
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        Let's not forget this once in a lifetime moment when the dog did not die in ot
                                        Comment
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