Stocks recover by winter

cincinnatikid513 · 03-09-20, 09:29 PM

yah buy low sell high

Shute · 03-09-20, 09:33 PM

All real gamblers need to get on the plan

Waterstpub87 · 03-09-20, 10:59 PM

I think you are correct on this one, Shute. Be careful though, not pleasant to catch a falling knife.

gojetsgomoxies · 03-09-20, 11:06 PM

i'm torn.

stocks were already at a very high valuation before this.

this is going to have a major negative effect on the economy. this is "real" and will cause a significant recession.

problem with a virus is the government can't fix it........ government could fix credit crisis. question was whether getting main street to bail out wall street (and others) was politically fair......... there's gonna be negative news on this for months still. i am perplexed as to what the market discounts. not sure the market knows.

i think you may be right........ choose stocks wisely. don't go overboard on stuff like airlines and casinos. something like amazon is good as it might partially benefit from people staying home.............. and don't do an investment strategy with time decay like an option. i think you will make $$$ but it might take longer than you think.

Cuse0323 · 03-09-20, 11:08 PM

Flawless plan. As long as you’re on the same side as me in the SB. Unless it’s a total, then that’s all you. GL, pal.

Waterstpub87 · 03-09-20, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies

i'm torn.

stocks were already at a very high valuation before this.

this is going to have a major negative effect on the economy. this is "real" and will cause a significant recession.

problem with a virus is the government can't fix it........ government could fix credit crisis. question was whether getting main street to bail out wall street (and others) was politically fair......... there's gonna be negative news on this for months still. i am perplexed as to what the market discounts. not sure the market knows.

i think you may be right........ choose stocks wisely. don't go overboard on stuff like airlines and casinos. something like amazon is good as it might partially benefit from people staying home.............. and don't do an investment strategy with time decay like an option. i think you will make $$$ but it might take longer than you think.

The issue isn't time decay on an option. The issue is that you are going to be paying through the nose because implied vol is so high.

If you are confident, take the December E-mini future. 8,360 dollars down, 50x S&P 500 exposure. 2800 last trade.

jjgold · 03-10-20, 06:24 AM

they could man

pologq · 03-10-20, 06:49 AM

anyone with a solid stock right now that has gone down but will go back up that is not an airline or cruise ship and besides amazon?

d2bets · 03-10-20, 07:37 AM

Be selective. Some stocks will recover, others won't. Tech stocks remain good. Get in on NVDA on sale. AI will probably help solve this crisis.

carolinakid · 03-10-20, 07:41 AM

that why you put some money in stocks themselves and then put some in the indexes so you will not miss the move back

adila1401 · 03-10-20, 07:47 AM

what could possibly go wrong

Sanity Check · 03-10-20, 07:53 AM

Originally posted by Shute

Going to get a big loan with minimal interest
Invest all of the loan into the market
When market recovers then take it out
Then play a Super Bowl bet next year
Win that and retire

Terrible idea.

How many years did it take the US economy to recover from the 2008 crisis.

This could easily be worse than that.

Many banks are weak atm. If you see them start to drop dead off economic slowdown. And the deficit stressed government tries to bail them out. That could begin a chain reaction of bankruptcy and breakdown that persists for years, if not decades. Not to mention the dangers associated with the virus coming in waves which take years to burn itself out.

People don't understand how bad things could get, or how long it might last, even though the US economy was doing well only a short time before.

Sanity Check · 03-10-20, 07:57 AM

Originally posted by d2bets

Be selective. Some stocks will recover, others won't. Tech stocks remain good. Get in on NVDA on sale. AI will probably help solve this crisis.

This won't age well at all.

Like everything else you post.

If you think "tech stocks remain good".

You don't understand anything about what's happening right now.

yahoonino · 03-10-20, 08:01 AM

This virus not goin away soon the economy will suffer stock market will crash scary time

pologq · 03-10-20, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by yahoonino

This virus not goin away soon the economy will suffer stock market will crash scary time

agreed. it is not like one day this virus just disappears. there has to be things done to combat what is happening with this market.

no1here · 03-10-20, 08:56 AM

Stocks are not at their low yet dipping into the teens. Turmoil is here to stay with virus not stoppable being spread by money. All cash purchases will be stop with money being replaced electronically. Weed stocks very good with or w/o virus.

Mike Huntertz · 03-10-20, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by yahoonino

This virus not goin away soon the economy will suffer stock market will crash scary time

The worldwide daily new cases is still rising and the US has just started wide spread testing.
Until the daily new case number flattens out I'm out of going long on anything.
Although I do like gojets idea about Amazon.
IMHO The bounce today is because everybody has been taught to "buy the dips".
There is no good news to warrant an up market but was lots to see the down slide.

chico2663 · 03-10-20, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by pologq

anyone with a solid stock right now that has gone down but will go back up that is not an airline or cruise ship and besides amazon?

Fb down 45 a share,pg 5.50 a share,Cato is 11 a share,bmy 6 a share,aa down 7 a share,cbrl down 50 a share,ibm down 40 a share. Real shit show.

chico2663 · 03-10-20, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by Mike Huntertz

The worldwide daily new cases is still rising and the US has just started wide spread testing.
Until the daily new case number flattens out I'm out of going long on anything.
Although I do like gojets idea about Amazon.
IMHO The bounce today is because everybody has been taught to "buy the dips".
There is no good news to warrant an up market but was lots to see the down slide.

Watched tv and they said in next 2 yrs everyone will have. If you are sick or old you will die. If young or healthy that you will survive. Good way to get rid of boomers and bring social security rates down. Just hope the heat kills it.

harthebar · 03-10-20, 10:06 AM

Get out of stocks now ....wait hold your loot then go back in. Going to very negative spin. Stocks plus virus .beware

Shafted69 · 03-10-20, 10:07 AM

lots of earnings warnings coming which will lead to a higher P/E which will lead to more corrections.

MinnesotaFats · 03-10-20, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by Shute

Going to get a big loan with minimal interest
Invest all of the loan into the market
When market recovers then take it out
Then play a Super Bowl bet next year
Win that and retire

....and which stock(s) would you purchase?

What PE ratio represents value to you?

Generally I feel the American consumer will lead this economy forward, however what we need to look out for here is a situation of liquidity and personal debt.

Dardin Group just shut down for 2 weeks. That means 1000s of teens and college kids w no jobs. Higher cc debt, student loan debt and jobs that really aren't showing increased wage growth.

Seniors getting cuts in SS going forward and a worthless dollar make equities an investment by force...that's not a good sign.

Bank stocks are a disaster....so I don't know what you could buy that's going to be risk free here.....

I think the biggest rebound stocks might be casinos!

jjgold · 03-10-20, 12:22 PM

Some of these media people or so-called experts just want attention so they have the doom story

stake1 · 03-10-20, 05:43 PM

Good time to wait. Then buy