Over reaction to the total market in Army-Navy game

[RangeFinder]

Played Over 40.5

Both teams run the ball anyway so weather has little effect. 12mph winds don't effect kicks that much either. Total over reaction in the market IMO

Good luck if you fire with me

[veriableodds]

Its a good call anytime the higher ranked team ppg*/rating is higher then the line total.
GL

[RangeFinder]

Its a good call anytime the higher ranked team ppg*/rating is higher then the line total.
GL

A lot of it is the historical results on the Under record in this game plus the weather. Public is too in love with past results without paying attention to the actual statistics of both teams.

[jjgold]

Everyone seems to think the line is low but why is it not moving

[Getch13]

Notice The Average Total Is 50. You could be on the right side here. BOL Getch

[RangeFinder]

Everyone seems to think the line is low but why is it not moving

Public is throwing money at the Under. That's why.

[RangeFinder]

Notice The Average Total Is 50. You could be on the right side here. BOL Getch

Thanks for the chart. That was my point.

[Renegades]

the stats for each team do no matter in this game. It's all neutralized by the fact they run almost the exact same offense. If Navy scores 40 pts a game vs everyone else, you can shave 10-14 pts off when they play army or air force. Navy has a very good offense but they will not get those chunk plays vs Army b/c Army knows what they are trying to do. Add to the fact that this game will be no more than 2-3 possessions per quarter. IE Army could get the ball to start the game, run 10 plays, burn 6 mins, and not even be at midfield. That's how this game goes. There just are not enough big plays. Everything is a grind b/c the teams know what each other is trying to do.

For me I like playing service academy games over when they play teams that pass a lot and have a lot of speed. And vs teams that do not see the option all year.

[DoctorStrong]

Army ml and over, but not by much, good write-up

[PittsburghPlayer]

what you men are saying is Army and the Ov?
27-23 my guess
split at the very least

[jjgold]

Almost every game has gone under does anyone do their homework here

[veriableodds]

level 3 simulation / 3 being enough data collected for a more accurate predictor

12/14	Navy vs Army	Navy	No Odds	-390	No Odds	81.3%	33.91	55.83
Army	No Odds	+320	No Odds	18.7%	21.91

[SnakesPicks]

Overreaction or undereaction really doesn't matter. The only thing that matters, obviously, is the final score. According to the stats from this year, I do like the over. But I also think that you cannot disregard the long and storied history of this matchup. It is usually an ugly slugfest. The reason I like the over is because Hawaii lit up Army a couple of weeks ago, and this year's Hawaii team is far from a scoring machine. That being said, I think that Navy needs to score 30+ points for this game to go over. Prediction: Navy 31 Army 14.

[dark star]

I played the over,The one thing I don't like about these teams is that they never seem to have kickers which definitely hurts,empty trips start to add up and can kill a total

[PittsburghPlayer]

Almost every game has gone under does anyone do their homework here

so Army and the under?

major air on this game, please advise when you know the winner/final score

[johnnyvegas13]

Is this really the only gm in town today

[SnakesPicks]

yes

[SnakesPicks]

so Army and the under?

major air on this game, please advise when you know the winner/final score

Navy and the over.

[johnnyvegas13]

Navy and the over.

I do think navy wins but 10 could b a lot for a gm like this

[Grosshhit]

Navy is the square play today. Sharps are on Army to possibly win and cover.

[2daBank]

The thing is look at the freakin history, this game will prob not go above 38.

[2daBank]

Navy is the square play today. Sharps are on Army to possibly win and cover.

Dunno bout winning but I think it be a one score game so not bad price to take a shot on the ml. I rather just put whatever extra I’d play on ml onto the ats play, no sense being greedy. They wanna give us 4 too many points imo, I’ll take them. I’m not a “sharp” tho.

[Otters27]

Just concerned about the clock running Ranger

[2daBank]

Just concerned about the clock running Ranger

As you should be, both so well versed against the option we don’t tend to see the big plays they get vs other teams. Long clock eating drives some of which don’t even end in points really makes it tough to get over even a pretty low number. I think 38 is prob bout tops here but I been wrong before.

[hotcross]

The thing is look at the freakin history, this game will prob not go above 38.

how many did you say?

a little surprised none of those brothers on Army had the speed to get Perry on those runs around the end

[jjgold]

Lol

Lines are never wrong

[Tanko]

The thing is look at the freakin history, this game will prob not go above 38.

JFC Banker... You are a prophet. 38 exactly.
Need lotto numbers for tonight please...

[SnakesPicks]

Prediction: Navy 31 Army 14.

I was close.

[Big Bear]

JFC Banker... You are a prophet. 38 exactly.
Need lotto numbers for tonight please...

banker needed somebody to praise him

guy has been feeling low

[jjgold]

Yes

Ranger get on the sidelines it’ll save you money