Let’s talk ncaaFB week 14!!

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  • Husker36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 3846

    #106
    Originally posted by Buckandadime
    Iowa -5/6..
    This is a gift..
    Nebraska found some offense last week vs Maryland.. Lol
    Now they face Iowa with a big head..
    Nebraska just 2-9 ATS this year..
    Iowa is just a more complete team on both sides..
    Line should be 10 IMO..
    I guess we will see how the Nebraska/Iowa game plays out. But I don't think Nebraska is "playing with a big head". Nebraska is playing like they are in the playoffs. If they lose the season is over. This is a HUGE game for Nebraska. 2 VERY different teams here. Iowa wants to win this game 17-10. Nebraska wants to win this game 42-35. If Nebraska can score then they will win. Nebraska finally was able to play their QB of the future last week and things went well. He was all over the field.... rushing, passing and receiving as well. McCaffrey (I'm sure you know his brother) will play in this game as well. Nebraska will open up the playbook with the dual QB threat. Nebraska is at home... and the fans will do their part. Nebraska came up just short last year in Iowa City. I think they get the win on Friday.
    Comment
    • Husker36
      SBR MVP
      • 12-02-08
      • 3846

      #107
      Originally posted by Husker36
      I guess we will see how the Nebraska/Iowa game plays out. But I don't think Nebraska is "playing with a big head". Nebraska is playing like they are in the playoffs. If they lose the season is over. This is a HUGE game for Nebraska. 2 VERY different teams here. Iowa wants to win this game 17-10. Nebraska wants to win this game 42-35. If Nebraska can score then they will win. Nebraska finally was able to play their QB of the future last week and things went well. He was all over the field.... rushing, passing and receiving as well. McCaffrey (I'm sure you know his brother) will play in this game as well. Nebraska will open up the playbook with the dual QB threat. Nebraska is at home... and the fans will do their part. Nebraska came up just short last year in Iowa City. I think they get the win on Friday.
      I do hope that WanDale Robinson is playing but that doesn't look good.
      Comment
      • swordsandtequila
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-23-12
        • 9757

        #108
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        So what do I need? 1250? Just send them to you?
        No, post in the bowl thread I linked, say your half of a team with me. You can see where others have given points, some duplicates (solo and team). I'll post soon as Triple loans me. I'm only 700 shy so if you're in I'm in.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #109
          Originally posted by swordsandtequila
          No, post in the bowl thread I linked, say your half of a team with me. You can see where others have given points, some duplicates (solo and team). I'll post soon as Triple loans me. I'm only 700 shy so if you're in I'm in.
          Yea tanko gonna let me borrow some here in a second so I’ll post them up.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #110
            Originally posted by Husker36
            I guess we will see how the Nebraska/Iowa game plays out. But I don't think Nebraska is "playing with a big head". Nebraska is playing like they are in the playoffs. If they lose the season is over. This is a HUGE game for Nebraska. 2 VERY different teams here. Iowa wants to win this game 17-10. Nebraska wants to win this game 42-35. If Nebraska can score then they will win. Nebraska finally was able to play their QB of the future last week and things went well. He was all over the field.... rushing, passing and receiving as well. McCaffrey (I'm sure you know his brother) will play in this game as well. Nebraska will open up the playbook with the dual QB threat. Nebraska is at home... and the fans will do their part. Nebraska came up just short last year in Iowa City. I think they get the win on Friday.
            Don’t take this the wrong way bro cause always appreciate your post but you little too much a homer for my taste. I prefer your opinion on other games more than corn!! Lol
            Comment
            • swordsandtequila
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-12
              • 9757

              #111
              Originally posted by 2daBank
              Yea tanko gonna let me borrow some here in a second so I’ll post them up.
              Sweet. I'll settle with Triple, post up soon as he hits me. Thanks Banker, should be fun
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #112
                Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                Sweet. I'll settle with Triple, post up soon as he hits me. Thanks Banker, should be fun
                Yea for sure! Just know I’m the boss!! lol. Actually hoping this will be great, like maybe you have good feel for some the ones I’ll inevitably be clueless bout!! Let’s win this Mfer!!
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #113
                  Just read all the rules. Should be cool, we gonna crush it bro!! I sent my half.
                  Comment
                  • swordsandtequila
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-23-12
                    • 9757

                    #114
                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    Yea for sure! Just know I’m the boss!! lol. Actually hoping this will be great, like maybe you have good feel for some the ones I’ll inevitably be clueless bout!! Let’s win this Mfer!!
                    I'm easy, I go by numbers a lot, especially if I haven't seen the teams playing. I trust your judgement so I'm sure we can reach a consensus.

                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                    Just read all the rules. Should be cool, we gonna crush it bro!! I sent my half.
                    Great, soon as Triple responds I'll post up! Gotta work on my picks for this weekend, if I don't do it tonight don't know when I will.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #115
                      Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                      I'm easy, I go by numbers a lot, especially if I haven't seen the teams playing. I trust your judgement so I'm sure we can reach a consensus.



                      Great, soon as Triple responds I'll post up! Gotta work on my picks for this weekend, if I don't do it tonight don't know when I will.
                      You know I was just clowning. I think we will work well together!
                      Comment
                      • swordsandtequila
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-23-12
                        • 9757

                        #116
                        Posted! Now I got work to do

                        Thanks again Banker
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #117
                          Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                          Posted! Now I got work to do

                          Thanks again Banker
                          No. Thank you pal! I wouldn’t even had known bout it have you not brought up!

                          Im not sure if we gonna get the cash but we def gonna at least place in the points! I dunno bout you but I’d really like to split the 5k and get reimbursed for Xmas!! Lol.


                          I noticed we have to scale them w different unit sizes. Hopefully i can lean on you in this area cause even tho lately my “best bets” been cashing this has never been a strength of mine.

                          I’m very excited! Wish it started 2marro! Not only cause I’m pumped up but those 2-3 weeks these teams have off I think one the difficult aspects of capping bowl games.

                          Do you wanna just discuss over PM’s or wanna pm me your number and we can talk or text on phone?
                          Comment
                          • swordsandtequila
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-23-12
                            • 9757

                            #118
                            PM's are fine, they don't post the lines for 3 weeks so plenty of time. I'm on the computer often so no issues checking in. Plus we still have plenty of games outside the contest, I'm sure there'll be a thread or six
                            Comment
                            • Buckandadime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-21-15
                              • 8847

                              #119
                              It's Wednesday and I'm Jones'sin...
                              Where is my MAC fix??????
                              Comment
                              • fecgp40
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-01-11
                                • 5750

                                #120
                                Originally posted by asiagambler
                                This one could have lost too at the end. I was 90% sure Western Michigan gets a field goal at the end and sends it to overtime. Who knows what happens then, even if only 17-17. Thankfully got a turnover to kill the clock. I still don't get why number wasn't pounded down like usually is in these circumstances with bad weather in the forecast
                                Glad you cashed AG. Nothing ever seems to come easy in those. Do you have any leans on Va Tech/UVA and the Egg Bowl? I know Banker likes VT and Ole Miss.
                                Comment
                                • swordsandtequila
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-23-12
                                  • 9757

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                  Great, soon as Triple responds I'll post up! Gotta work on my picks for this weekend, if I don't do it tonight don't know when I will.
                                  Went brain dead, thinking I had to get my games in tonight. Only one college game tomorrow. Lost a day somewhere Still have some parsing to do, have way too many leans right now. Hope everyone has a good Thanksgiving. The back to work, finish this last weekend big!


                                  Back and forth on Ole Miss tomorrow, might be a layoff for me. Unless y'all talk me into it
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                    Went brain dead, thinking I had to get my games in tonight. Only one college game tomorrow. Lost a day somewhere Still have some parsing to do, have way too many leans right now. Hope everyone has a good Thanksgiving. The back to work, finish this last weekend big!


                                    Back and forth on Ole Miss tomorrow, might be a layoff for me. Unless y'all talk me into it
                                    I wrote why I liked ol piss on like 2nd or 3rd page., I do have one concern tho, with mizzou bowl ban (ncaa such a joke. Possible they wernt gonna win anyways) that leaves sec with only like 6 bowl eligible teams, little concerned they might have a rooting interest in Mississippi state winning that game to get another bowl. Being the money hungry fukks they are!!

                                    I don’t like to think in that manner but the thought does cross my mind. Still think from strictly players on the field ol piss prob shouldn’t be catching points. Go find it, im not writing again. Lol. I’d actually like to hear opposing view after you read if you like sip st. Nobody really commented on that game
                                    Comment
                                    • reigle9
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-25-07
                                      • 17879

                                      #123
                                      banker since you jerkoffs only care about write ups (i dont give a flying hillybilly penetrate about the shitty lines i got, they'll still beat beat the jerk 15 out of 16 weeks)

                                      i forget where i was going with this, probably wanted a good deal on coke
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by reigle9
                                        banker since you jerkoffs only care about write ups (i dont give a flying hillybilly penetrate about the shitty lines i got, they'll still beat beat the jerk 15 out of 16 weeks)

                                        i forget where i was going with this, probably wanted a good deal on coke
                                        Lmfao. I just like to see how ppl looking at a game. It not like I get all technical into numbers or ask for that.

                                        One my partners been texting me like crazy 2nite telling me he got the best blow that been seen round these parts in 4ever. Driving me nuts, I’d love to go try but I don’t wanna be out driving tonight and don’t wanna be doing 8ball all night and feeling like death 2marro when fam comes over.

                                        I’m so much more responsible these days!!!

                                        You didn’t have any luck at bar?
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #125
                                          Told that Mfer he better still have a half ounce or something on Friday tho!!
                                          Comment
                                          • reigle9
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-25-07
                                            • 17879

                                            #126
                                            no, never, it's like i have 3 heads

                                            bitches just go to the bar with their bf friend group, dont get me wrong, i yell \*\*\*\*\*\* at their table and the old lady bartender tells me to stop, somehow that doesn't get them to suck my dick

                                            BUT LOL, there was a new waitrress, way too good looking to do coke in the alley...friend, see that girl, she's the one that took me home the night i was too drunk...oh that was nice of her...yeah, then we blew a few lines

                                            what!?

                                            every bartender under 65 does coke
                                            Comment
                                            • Art Vandelay
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-11-06
                                              • 6690

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              Turkey day special

                                              Ol piss +3

                                              I like the Rebs to ruin their in state rival chances to go bowling.,

                                              I think this a pretty easy handicap cause both teams live and die with the run game. Rebs do it better ranking top 10 nationally in ypr, attempts, and rushing ypg. Ol miss also sports the much better run stuffing defense holding opponents to 4 ypc and under 140 per game. On the other hand bulldogs allow 4.8 per carry and over 160 a game.

                                              Rebs also have the much more explosive and versatile rushing attack w the excellent running qb and a stable of talented backs with rich rod’s creative ways of getting them into space w extra blockers. Road team has dominated this series of late and I think the better team is catching points.
                                              Banker, found it for ya! Kind of sums it up - Rebs run it better & stop it better. Ole Miss + the FG for me.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by Art Vandelay
                                                Banker, found it for ya! Kind of sums it up - Rebs run it better & stop it better. Ole Miss + the FG for me.
                                                Thanks bro. Things tend to get lost in this thread! Lol.

                                                You think my concerns about the lack of bowl eligible teams in sec is valid? Someone I talk w off this site mentioned this to me well after i posted this and made the play. Kinda scared me a little even tho like I said I don’t like to buy into such things. I know ol piss would love to ruin bulldogs from getting a bowl! So that good.
                                                Comment
                                                • Art Vandelay
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-11-06
                                                  • 6690

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  Thanks bro. Things tend to get lost in this thread! Lol.

                                                  You think my concerns about the lack of bowl eligible teams in sec is valid? Someone I talk w off this site mentioned this to me well after i posted this and made the play. Kinda scared me a little even tho like I said I don’t like to buy into such things. I know ol piss would love to ruin bulldogs from getting a bowl! So that good.
                                                  SEC "rooting interest" can only go so far. If Rebs play their game, hopefully they have enough of a cushion to keep this on the up & up.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Art Vandelay
                                                    SEC "rooting interest" can only go so far. If Rebs play their game, hopefully they have enough of a cushion to keep this on the up & up.
                                                    No doubt. The reason it concerns me some is neither these teams have the offense to overcome some untimely holding penalties moving them behind the chains and of course they can call that pretty much whenever they feel like it! (That tripping call on cowboys comes to mind. lol)., I hate thinking that way as I don’t think games are “fixed” but I do worry a conf wanting more bowl money might be inclined to make things difficult! Lol .,

                                                    end of day I’m not letting it effect my decisions here or ever, guy I talk w was just so adamant this was so important to the conf to get the bowl games money he was pounding bulldogs and his confidence in this matter shook me a bit, Lol.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Art Vandelay
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-06
                                                      • 6690

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      No doubt. The reason it concerns me some is neither these teams have the offense to overcome some untimely holding penalties moving them behind the chains and of course they can call that pretty much whenever they feel like it! (That tripping call on cowboys comes to mind. lol)., I hate thinking that way as I don’t think games are “fixed” but I do worry a conf wanting more bowl money might be inclined to make things difficult! Lol .,

                                                      end of day I’m not letting it effect my decisions here or ever, guy I talk w was just so adamant this was so important to the conf to get the bowl games money he was pounding bulldogs and his confidence in this matter shook me a bit, Lol.
                                                      Interesting that the guy was pounding the Dogs based on that thought process. That said, I think we are on the right side here!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Art Vandelay
                                                        Interesting that the guy was pounding the Dogs based on that thought process. That said, I think we are on the right side here!
                                                        I don’t feel I’m anyone to knock how others go about this thing we do but I certainly don’t understand it. Lol. I agree. Capping it screams Rebs to me, if it loses so be it.

                                                        I’m against another hot espn guy and someone else I have great deal of respect for with vatech Friday morning but I freaking love Hokies in that game and am super pumped for it Friday morning!!

                                                        Happy thanksgiving buddy.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Art Vandelay
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-06
                                                          • 6690

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          I don’t feel I’m anyone to knock how others go about this thing we do but I certainly don’t understand it. Lol. I agree. Capping it screams Rebs to me, if it loses so be it.

                                                          I’m against another hot espn guy and someone else I have great deal of respect for with vatech Friday morning but I freaking love Hokies in that game and am super pumped for it Friday morning!!

                                                          Happy thanksgiving buddy.
                                                          Going back & forth on VT. Hard to believe they've won 15 straight vs UVA! Biggest game in years for the Cavs - Tough call. Happy Thanksgiving to you and the fam as well!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by 2daBank


                                                            Turkey day special

                                                            Ol piss +3

                                                            I like the Rebs to ruin their in state rival chances to go bowling.,

                                                            I think this a pretty easy handicap cause both teams live and die with the run game. Rebs do it better ranking top 10 nationally in ypr, attempts, and rushing ypg. Ol miss also sports the much better run stuffing defense holding opponents to 4 ypc and under 140 per game. On the other hand bulldogs allow 4.8 per carry and over 160 a game.

                                                            Rebs also have the much more explosive and versatile rushing attack w the excellent running qb and a stable of talented backs with rich rod’s creative ways of getting them into space w extra blockers. Road team has dominated this series of late and I think the better team is catching points.

                                                            ————————————— ———-
                                                            What a game we have in store for Friday morning in the acc. Vatech/Virginia should be a good one., big rivalry and playing to go to the acc championship game! want a good laugh look at the history of this series!! Hokies have absolutely dominated this matchup winning the last 15 in a row!!!

                                                            To cap this game imo you have to ignore the hokies numbers pre hooker at qb who wasn’t inserted as the starter until end of getting whipped by duke. Since then this team been on fire, the only game they lost was a nail biter to a Irish team that looks like world beaters now and booker didn’t play that game, had he I believe Hokies win that game easy. I think I could argue this a top 15 team the last 6-7 weeks!!! The offense struggled last week against a excellent Pitt defense in bad conditions but they still found enough ways to score and the defense pitched its second straight shutout. Bud fosters has those boys playing their tails off in his final season!

                                                            I was really hoping to get a few points or small plus money here but appears oddsmakers have caught up to what we been seeing w this team.

                                                            On the other hand uva defense has been in decline. They have allowed at least 28 in their last 4. Only liberty hasn’t averaged 4.5 or more per rush in those 4. A Gtech team the Hokies destroyed on the road gave uva everything they wanted: unc put up over 500 yards of offense vs them and Louisville ran for 227!! The offense has done enough to get the wins since losing to ville but I’m not sure they will here vs a Hokies defense playing on another level than those teams uva been able to outscore.

                                                            History. Current form, key stats all scream to me the Hokies are once again the play (I’m not real sure Clemson will have a easy time with them in the acc championship!). Not only do I think Hokies have more success moving the ball but they also top 10 in the country in red zone efficiency on offense and defense! I’m telling ya’ll this Hokies team is unquestionably a top 20 team imo, maybe better than that!

                                                            The play:

                                                            Hokies -2.5

                                                            So these the 2 I played so far along with Oregon st in 1st post of thread. looks like I’m getting worst of that number which hadn’t happened in awhile, really don’t understand that thing trending toward 20??? Don’t care either, rather I waited but don’t like the play and less.,

                                                            I wish jerky would get back in here and respond to my thoughts on AF/wyo cause I’m really close to pulling trigger on wyo+10.5 unless he can sell me on why I’m wrong?

                                                            Other than that,

                                                            I lean gophers as dogs, not sure I agree with that,

                                                            Long as weather decent I really like the over in Purdue/indy even tho I missed crossing key number, i just rather do that than bet into a over this time of year and have it nosedive when we find out there a monsoon coming!! Lol. I still think plenty of room at 57 if weather good.

                                                            I agree with jerky on navy. Shoulda grabbed at -7.5 cause it -8.5 now, I think this a ass kicking so not too worried. Anything under -10 I think navy has value.

                                                            Still lean Michigan w the points. That only way I play that game but still little hesitant to trust them vs osu even tho think that the right side. Might get there w a push!

                                                            I’m still wanting to look at the ville/uk game just haven’t gotten to it.

                                                            Still agree with okie lite but dunno if make my card. Just don’t get why they keep putting Sooners as such big favs? Is it overvaluing them or undervaluing rest of big 12? Are they gonna ever cover one these? Even w a backup I think gundy will have his boys ready. Hurts keeps Everyone in the game, his team and the opponent! Lol

                                                            Army/Hawaii another one I could see having a play (when don’t we play Hawaii game when it on the island late nite!!! Lol).


                                                            Right now I think that pretty much everything I’ve played or I’m looking to possibly play. That bout all the steam I have for tonight. I’m
                                                            Gonna listen to some podcast and get some sleep!


                                                            Happy thanksgiving everyone!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tanko
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-19-09
                                                              • 5143

                                                              #135
                                                              UVA/Virg
                                                              I could not make up my mind on UVA/Hokies game. My baseline review says UVA but since it does not take into account momentum, and Hokies are on fire, that pushed it off my card.

                                                              Minn/Wisc
                                                              I've committed to the Gophers. I don't see it as a "great" bet but there is enough value to warrant a play. Its gameday weekend there (1st one ever for Minn) so it should pump them up and their fans even more than usual. Weather looks like some light rain and 12 mph winds. Both run the ball well. Minn has those "pro" wide-receivers and may be a little more dependent on the pass than Wisc but getting points at home helped push me this way. It should be close but Minn at home + pts .

                                                              Ind/Purd
                                                              I agree with the Indiana pick. Since Plummer went out, Purdue has not played well, only beating NW by 2 (a bad team) and getting killed by a Wisc team that I don't think is as good as prior teams. Indiana meanwhile is coming off Penn St. (1 TD loss) and Michigan (a masscre). But the Penn St. game was respectable for Ind. The Mich game I think just plays to the fact Mich is has improved significantly since early season (especially offensively). Light rain 12 mph. If weather is going to impact one team more than the other, I would expect it to hurt Purdue more. Their run game is bad and are more dependent on pass game (& without Plummer). I took this game early in the week so I got a favorable line 6.5. It's up to 7. I don't think that would change my mind on this game though.

                                                              Army/Haw
                                                              I like Army in this game. We've lost a little edge since it's down to +2.5 but if you look at Hawaii's last 5 games and exclude the absolute worst CFB teams (New Mex and UNLV) they've won two by only 2 & 3 points (SJ St. & SD St. both @ Hawaii), and lost by 3, 30, & 22 (2 of these at home as well). At home they either win by 2-3 points (best case) or lose outright. Hawaii throws well but Army Pass-D is pretty good (top 20%). Finally, I think this is Army's last shot at a bowl. They need 1 more win and a win next week vs Navy is not likely to happen. This should inspire the Black Knights to cover if not win.

                                                              Couple of other games I like w/ a few notes:
                                                              Illnois -8 (I'd take it to -8.5) over NW. NW is not a good team. The only game they've been in in the last month and half is Purdue and that was the first game that Plummer could not play for Purdue, so I look at that as a one off. Meanwhile Illinois has shown a little bit of life the last few weeks since beating Wisky. They did lose to Iowa but that was on the road against a very good team.

                                                              Miami -9 vs Duke. But only if Dallas (RB) is playing. I've not got an update on his status today. The issue is this line has climbed quickly so value is going away fast.

                                                              UNC Char over Old Dom -9.5 if LeMay (RB) is playing. I've lost some value on this line waiting to hear about Lemay but Old Dom is bad. They've lost to some very bad teams by large margins (Midd Tenn, Fla Int, UAB). Close losses have only been to exceptionally bad teams (UTSA). UNC Char win over Marshall (by 11) last week and over N. Texas (by 1) a few of weeks ago, impressed me albeit they won at home.


                                                              That's my brain dump for the games this weekend. Looking at a couple of these yet (Miami, UNC Char).
                                                              Sorry about the length. Only 1 CFB today so thought you guys would have time to read and soak on it.
                                                              Happy Turkey day guys.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • reigle9
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-25-07
                                                                • 17879

                                                                #136
                                                                a month ago it was looking like fuente was going to look for hs jobs, i dont see it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Tanko
                                                                  UVA/Virg
                                                                  I could not make up my mind on UVA/Hokies game. My baseline review says UVA but since it does not take into account momentum, and Hokies are on fire, that pushed it off my card.

                                                                  Minn/Wisc
                                                                  I've committed to the Gophers. I don't see it as a "great" bet but there is enough value to warrant a play. Its gameday weekend there (1st one ever for Minn) so it should pump them up and their fans even more than usual. Weather looks like some light rain and 12 mph winds. Both run the ball well. Minn has those "pro" wide-receivers and may be a little more dependent on the pass than Wisc but getting points at home helped push me this way. It should be close but Minn at home + pts .

                                                                  Ind/Purd
                                                                  I agree with the Indiana pick. Since Plummer went out, Purdue has not played well, only beating NW by 2 (a bad team) and getting killed by a Wisc team that I don't think is as good as prior teams. Indiana meanwhile is coming off Penn St. (1 TD loss) and Michigan (a masscre). But the Penn St. game was respectable for Ind. The Mich game I think just plays to the fact Mich is has improved significantly since early season (especially offensively). Light rain 12 mph. If weather is going to impact one team more than the other, I would expect it to hurt Purdue more. Their run game is bad and are more dependent on pass game (& without Plummer). I took this game early in the week so I got a favorable line 6.5. It's up to 7. I don't think that would change my mind on this game though.

                                                                  Army/Haw
                                                                  I like Army in this game. We've lost a little edge since it's down to +2.5 but if you look at Hawaii's last 5 games and exclude the absolute worst CFB teams (New Mex and UNLV) they've won two by only 2 & 3 points (SJ St. & SD St. both @ Hawaii), and lost by 3, 30, & 22 (2 of these at home as well). At home they either win by 2-3 points (best case) or lose outright. Hawaii throws well but Army Pass-D is pretty good (top 20%). Finally, I think this is Army's last shot at a bowl. They need 1 more win and a win next week vs Navy is not likely to happen. This should inspire the Black Knights to cover if not win.

                                                                  Couple of other games I like w/ a few notes:
                                                                  Illnois -8 (I'd take it to -8.5) over NW. NW is not a good team. The only game they've been in in the last month and half is Purdue and that was the first game that Plummer could not play for Purdue, so I look at that as a one off. Meanwhile Illinois has shown a little bit of life the last few weeks since beating Wisky. They did lose to Iowa but that was on the road against a very good team.

                                                                  Miami -9 vs Duke. But only if Dallas (RB) is playing. I've not got an update on his status today. The issue is this line has climbed quickly so value is going away fast.

                                                                  UNC Char over Old Dom -9.5 if LeMay (RB) is playing. I've lost some value on this line waiting to hear about Lemay but Old Dom is bad. They've lost to some very bad teams by large margins (Midd Tenn, Fla Int, UAB). Close losses have only been to exceptionally bad teams (UTSA). UNC Char win over Marshall (by 11) last week and over N. Texas (by 1) a few of weeks ago, impressed me albeit they won at home.


                                                                  That's my brain dump for the games this weekend. Looking at a couple of these yet (Miami, UNC Char).
                                                                  Sorry about the length. Only 1 CFB today so thought you guys would have time to read and soak on it.
                                                                  Happy Turkey day guys.
                                                                  I love gophers as dogs cause I think that line dead freaking wrong but I don’t like there supposed to be some serious weather in that game which I think hurts gophers way more than wiscy. Wiscy perfectly happy in a Game they only throw 10x. Not sure minny can win that way so I’m just waiting to see what weather like there.

                                                                  Happy thanksgiving bro
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tanko
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-19-09
                                                                    • 5143

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Just read Dee Jay Dallas (RB) Miami Hurricans is out for the season.
                                                                    That pushes that game off my card. Camron Harris will take his place and is capable but I am a little more concerned with this spread now.

                                                                    What many would’ve imagined after seeing Miami Hurricanes junior running back DeeJay Dallas’ gruesome elbow injury in Saturday’s loss to FIU has turned out to be the case. Dallas …
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • fecgp40
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-01-11
                                                                      • 5750

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Thanks for posting your thoughts Tanko. How is your mom doing? I remember you said she was in the hospital.

                                                                      Originally posted by Tanko
                                                                      UVA/Virg
                                                                      I could not make up my mind on UVA/Hokies game. My baseline review says UVA but since it does not take into account momentum, and Hokies are on fire, that pushed it off my card.

                                                                      Minn/Wisc
                                                                      I've committed to the Gophers. I don't see it as a "great" bet but there is enough value to warrant a play. Its gameday weekend there (1st one ever for Minn) so it should pump them up and their fans even more than usual. Weather looks like some light rain and 12 mph winds. Both run the ball well. Minn has those "pro" wide-receivers and may be a little more dependent on the pass than Wisc but getting points at home helped push me this way. It should be close but Minn at home + pts .

                                                                      Ind/Purd
                                                                      I agree with the Indiana pick. Since Plummer went out, Purdue has not played well, only beating NW by 2 (a bad team) and getting killed by a Wisc team that I don't think is as good as prior teams. Indiana meanwhile is coming off Penn St. (1 TD loss) and Michigan (a masscre). But the Penn St. game was respectable for Ind. The Mich game I think just plays to the fact Mich is has improved significantly since early season (especially offensively). Light rain 12 mph. If weather is going to impact one team more than the other, I would expect it to hurt Purdue more. Their run game is bad and are more dependent on pass game (& without Plummer). I took this game early in the week so I got a favorable line 6.5. It's up to 7. I don't think that would change my mind on this game though.

                                                                      Army/Haw
                                                                      I like Army in this game. We've lost a little edge since it's down to +2.5 but if you look at Hawaii's last 5 games and exclude the absolute worst CFB teams (New Mex and UNLV) they've won two by only 2 & 3 points (SJ St. & SD St. both @ Hawaii), and lost by 3, 30, & 22 (2 of these at home as well). At home they either win by 2-3 points (best case) or lose outright. Hawaii throws well but Army Pass-D is pretty good (top 20%). Finally, I think this is Army's last shot at a bowl. They need 1 more win and a win next week vs Navy is not likely to happen. This should inspire the Black Knights to cover if not win.

                                                                      Couple of other games I like w/ a few notes:
                                                                      Illnois -8 (I'd take it to -8.5) over NW. NW is not a good team. The only game they've been in in the last month and half is Purdue and that was the first game that Plummer could not play for Purdue, so I look at that as a one off. Meanwhile Illinois has shown a little bit of life the last few weeks since beating Wisky. They did lose to Iowa but that was on the road against a very good team.

                                                                      Miami -9 vs Duke. But only if Dallas (RB) is playing. I've not got an update on his status today. The issue is this line has climbed quickly so value is going away fast.

                                                                      UNC Char over Old Dom -9.5 if LeMay (RB) is playing. I've lost some value on this line waiting to hear about Lemay but Old Dom is bad. They've lost to some very bad teams by large margins (Midd Tenn, Fla Int, UAB). Close losses have only been to exceptionally bad teams (UTSA). UNC Char win over Marshall (by 11) last week and over N. Texas (by 1) a few of weeks ago, impressed me albeit they won at home.


                                                                      That's my brain dump for the games this weekend. Looking at a couple of these yet (Miami, UNC Char).
                                                                      Sorry about the length. Only 1 CFB today so thought you guys would have time to read and soak on it.
                                                                      Happy Turkey day guys.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 2daBank
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                                        • 88966

                                                                        #140
                                                                        I lean army too, wasn’t in hurry for that game since it last game late sat night but plus anything on them seems like right play to me.
                                                                        Comment
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