Let’s talk ncaaFB week 11!!

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #141
    Originally posted by jtoler
    oregon st. was feeling fat and sassy after beating ucla on the road come back home and get walloped by utah I know wash defense isnt quite as good as utah but they are pretty good I can see this one getting out of hand early too 6 pts just one score I wouldnt feel so confident about that now oregon state is feeling fat and sassy again after beating cal and arizona on the road and gonna get bopped it may actually get closer near the end than the 1st half Im thinking def. play wash full game or 1st half now
    I don’t think you correct about beavers “feeling fat and sassy”, I think it just a situation in the difference between the muddled up middle of pac-12 and the top few teams. Utes play incredible d and beavers defense makes most offenses look good so it was just a awful matchup. Not sure this one much better, I do believe beavers will be able to put some points up but not sure they capable of getting any stops vs Eason and co?

    As I said tho, I love this beaver team (prob just cause I was all over their improvement and have cashed bunch of dog mls with them!) but I can’t take them here. Imo if anyone thinks they can keep it inside the number they better off playing the over. Udub should hang 40+ (any their wrs coming back? I see a lot of ?’s), feel like beavers should hit mid 20s.
    Comment
    • Tanko
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-19-09
      • 5140

      #142
      Good discussion on both games tonight.
      Think I'm going to pass on them... To many good points for/against either side.

      Good luck.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #143
        Originally posted by Tanko
        Good discussion on both games tonight.
        Think I'm going to pass on them... To many good points for/against either side.

        Good luck.
        Think I’m passing on pac-12 unless the old lady boring me and I go degen w the over.

        Already played Tulsa +17.

        Good looking ncaa hoops card tonight.
        Comment
        • mikmik
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-13-12
          • 5457

          #144
          What are we playing tonight?
          Comment
          • U2.5
            SBR MVP
            • 02-21-14
            • 1953

            #145
            I am going to lay low pregame and look for an opportunity to live bet ucf. Hopefully they have a slow 1h because their 2h scoring has been incredible lately.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #146
              Originally posted by mikmik
              What are we playing tonight?
              Tulsa +17
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #147
                Hey my Miami guys. You know how much I like ville with this coach and ya’ll tend to suck the week after FSU!! Ville a super live doggy again this week imo.
                Comment
                • U2.5
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-21-14
                  • 1953

                  #148
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  Hey my Miami guys. You know how much I like ville with this coach and ya’ll tend to suck the week after FSU!! Ville a super live doggy again this week imo.
                  I totally agree. I've like ville since day 1. Just not sure about the health of their qb. Anyone know if hes good to go?
                  Comment
                  • JayDr3am
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-06-14
                    • 18260

                    #149
                    ville is looking pretty juicy. definitely one of my leans
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #150
                      Originally posted by U2.5
                      I totally agree. I've like ville since day 1. Just not sure about the health of their qb. Anyone know if hes good to go?
                      No freaking clue, didn’t even know it was a issue. I’ve had a busy week. Lol. I’m not too worried tho, really like the way Saterfield runs the offense.
                      Comment
                      • U2.5
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-21-14
                        • 1953

                        #151
                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                        No freaking clue, didn’t even know it was a issue. I’ve had a busy week. Lol. I’m not too worried tho, really like the way Saterfield runs the offense.
                        I dont know if it's an issue I just know they are already on their 2nd stringer. I dont like to bet on third stringer college QBs haha.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #152
                          Not quite sure why that ville line going up but I don’t care, maybe it is the qb? I’ll happily take a +7 there!!

                          Baylor prob square as it gets but I jumped on them at -2.5 as it going to -3 at some books. Ya’ll know Ive been big on them mosh the year, tcu has qb issues and just don’t see them beating the bears who have been better on the road in big-12 play than at home. I think their garbage effort last week bodes well for them here:, maybe little motivation angle for coach being able to tell his undefeated squad how they being disrespected in rankings. Don’t get me wrong I’m not that high on them to think they deserve a top 10 ranking but they can certainly feel that way!! lol
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #153
                            Originally posted by U2.5
                            I dont know if it's an issue I just know they are already on their 2nd stringer. I dont like to bet on third stringer college QBs haha.
                            Def fair. I have to think you might be right cause I dunno why the hell else that line would be going up?
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #154
                              Originally posted by U2.5
                              I totally agree. I've like ville since day 1. Just not sure about the health of their qb. Anyone know if hes good to go?
                              I don’t see him on injury report tho?
                              Comment
                              • U2.5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-21-14
                                • 1953

                                #155
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                Def fair. I have to think you might be right cause I dunno why the hell else that line would be going up?
                                That's what I'm thinking. Something is up. Ville should be closer to evens than a td dog all things equal. Something is amiss on that line that I dont know about.
                                Comment
                                • U2.5
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-21-14
                                  • 1953

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  I don’t see him on injury report tho?
                                  I am just trying to figure out why that line is so high. I dont know what the issue is.
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by U2.5
                                    I am just trying to figure out why that line is so high. I dont know what the issue is.
                                    I admit while I pretend I don’t much care/try to read into lines obviously I pass on some games cause a line or movement scares me off. Lol. That said there are times where I just don’t give a shit cause I believe enough in my capping to go against what I consider odd movement.
                                    Comment
                                    • U2.5
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-21-14
                                      • 1953

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      I admit while I pretend I don’t much care/try to read into lines obviously I pass on some games cause a line or movement scares me off. Lol. That said there are times where I just don’t give a shit cause I believe enough in my capping to go against what I consider odd movement.
                                      I dont look at line movement just because of bets. I do worry about key injuries. Only way I am scared off.that game is if ville has 3rd stringer in
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65241

                                        #159
                                        Over 68.5 CFU/Tulsa

                                        I’d write it up but my dinner is ready.
                                        Comment
                                        • JayDr3am
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-06-14
                                          • 18260

                                          #160
                                          and ive been seeing more and more of teams not giving the full report about injuries. i guess it throws off the other team on how they prepare but it also penetrates the market
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #161
                                            I suppose one could look at both playing fsu with ville losing noles and canes handling them but if you recall ville had noles by the balls w a 4 point lead and in red zone to put game away before throwing a pick that turned the whole game.

                                            They both beat uva but I thought ville looked better uva made that late push to make score closer than game really was.

                                            Ultimately it comes down to canes rush defense that been incredible no doubt vs a ville team who’s clever rushing attack has had success rushing vs plenty of strong rush defenses.

                                            There another factor I think is significant, ville pretty solid on 4th downs and top 20ish in red zone, canes defense does not rate well in either situation (115th and 117th respectively). On other hand canes rank 121st in country only scoring tds 66.67% of the time. Catching 6-7 points in a game with significant red zone edge seems like way to go to me!!

                                            Then of course the basis in 1st place that canes don’t typically play well In this game following fsu. All adds up to me loving the points and also sprinkling money line.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by JayDr3am
                                              and ive been seeing more and more of teams not giving the full report about injuries. i guess it throws off the other team on how they prepare but it also penetrates the market
                                              Ncaa always been a pain in the ass when it comes to injuries. It why I often am surprised when ya’ll bring one up! Lol
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by U2.5
                                                I dont look at line movement just because of bets. I do worry about key injuries. Only way I am scared off.that game is if ville has 3rd stringer in
                                                The only time it effects me is when I have some doubts about things already. In this case I don’t care I absolutely think ville the right side. You would think if the qb iffy he would be on damn injury report!! Ville is off a bye week too right? I feel like he ok?? But then again why the move up?? Lol. Hell if I know. Only thing I’m confident in is I prob won’t know anymore in morning than I do now and I have plans 2marro so I’ll be around early but by time games start I won’t be back home till the evening.
                                                Comment
                                                • POTVINSUX
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-14-08
                                                  • 2423

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  Tulsa +17
                                                  Tulsa back down to +16. Canes cover here!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • POTVINSUX
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-14-08
                                                    • 2423

                                                    #165
                                                    Washington -10
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fecgp40
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-01-11
                                                      • 5750

                                                      #166
                                                      Just waking up after a long night at work Bank... played Tulsa +17. You said you're passing on Oregon St?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Eddy Munny
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 15750

                                                        #167
                                                        Comment
                                                        • swordsandtequila
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-23-12
                                                          • 9758

                                                          #168
                                                          Laying the points with UCF (-16.5) and Washington (-10.5)

                                                          Good luck boys
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by POTVINSUX
                                                            Tulsa back down to +16. Canes cover here!
                                                            Why canes? I’m all good with disagreeing but you gotta tell is little something why!! Lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #170
                                                              Tulsa jumps out to the lead!! Love this team!! I’d be so happy for them if they could finally pull one these upsets!! Plus I have a friend w their season win total over and he needs this bad (think he can still hit it, believe it was 4.5, kinda a bummer he isn’t 1 away at this point. At worst. Lol).,
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                                Just waking up after a long night at work Bank... played Tulsa +17. You said you're passing on Oregon St?
                                                                Yea. Think maybe half unit on over makes sense to me. If beavers compete should hit. Even if they get housed could hit.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • swordsandtequila
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-23-12
                                                                  • 9758

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                  Yea. Think maybe half unit on over makes sense to me. If beavers compete should hit. Even if they get housed could hit.
                                                                  Hope they do, have the over in a teaser. So long as Wash covers

                                                                  Wanted to add add UCF/Tulsa total to same teaser, couldn't get it in on time. Maybe something live, see how it goes.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                                                    Hope they do, have the over in a teaser. So long as Wash covers

                                                                    Wanted to add add UCF/Tulsa total to same teaser, couldn't get it in on time. Maybe something live, see how it goes.
                                                                    I’m not talking to you, going against my Tulsa play!!! Lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • swordsandtequila
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-23-12
                                                                      • 9758

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Realized after I posted, wouldn't have otherwise. Was rushing to get the play in, only skimmed the last few pages of the thread, didn't notice your play. Honest! A few ratings I like all pointed to UCF. Either way, lots of games to come so let's make "bank"
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • U2.5
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-21-14
                                                                        • 1953

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Looks like this game is going over the total
                                                                        Comment
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