just got to flip a coin and hope for a lucky break
the sooner you realize this the sooner you will find inner peace
He who has conquered fear and doubt has conquered failure
Comment
2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#37
Only question for me is ok to be greedy and play the run line or just take the ml? Not a huge fan of laying the 1.5 at home but this bandbox one of the places I will consider it more often, the total steaming up lends itself to laying it as well. Don’t think yanks leaving this up to a 1run game late!!
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388208
#38
Thanks you men
Banker always with great analysis
Comment
pickle_texas
SBR Wise Guy
10-26-16
750
#39
Originally posted by 2daBank
Only question for me is ok to be greedy and play the run line or just take the ml? Not a huge fan of laying the 1.5 at home but this bandbox one of the places I will consider it more often, the total steaming up lends itself to laying it as well. Don’t think yanks leaving this up to a 1run game late!!
If greinke can allow 2-3 runs max, astros might have a chance to win this game.
Comment
2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#40
Originally posted by pickle_texas
If greinke can allow 2-3 runs max, astros might have a chance to win this game.
Id be foolish to say they can’t win, they are the best team in baseball after all. Just like bombers chances here. I don’t think they gonna fall down 3-1 with jv and Cole looking them in the face. I’ll take Tanaka-son over Greinke all day, then bombers obviously have the pen advantage, although Stros pen been good.,
Comment
albinoshark
SBR High Roller
10-16-13
124
#41
KC does have a beatable Defense! And then there is Mr cool Joe... Flacco has passed for 6 TD's and 5 interceptions & his rating is 87.4. Broncos now avg 336 yards/game. Also Sanders is out this week and that could be problematic on a short week.
Comment
2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#42
Originally posted by albinoshark
KC does have a beatable Defense! And then there is Mr cool Joe... Flacco has passed for 6 TD's and 5 interceptions & his rating is 87.4. Broncos now avg 336 yards/game. Also Sanders is out this week and that could be problematic on a short week.
Gonna be all about the donks run game if they gonna get the W.
I really feel like “squares” take one here but a case can certainly be made for donks. You could argue donks very close to being 4-2 honestly. Got hosed in the bears game. Gave away the jags game. They have the run game to do what teams been doing to kc and dominate top. End of day tho I think kc gets back on track. I’ve heard mahomes ankle is getting better., they still banged up but having hill and Kelce prob enough here.
Comment
pickle_texas
SBR Wise Guy
10-26-16
750
#43
Originally posted by 2daBank
Id be foolish to say they can’t win, they are the best team in baseball after all. Just like bombers chances here. I don’t think they gonna fall down 3-1 with jv and Cole looking them in the face. I’ll take Tanaka-son over Greinke all day, then bombers obviously have the pen advantage, although Stros pen been good.,
Yeah, man, stros pen right now is very rested and ready to roll. It's gonna come down to Greinke's performance because Tanaka is strong at home.
Comment
2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#44
Originally posted by pickle_texas
Yeah, man, stros pen right now is very rested and ready to roll. It's gonna come down to Greinke's performance because Tanaka is strong at home.
I just can’t see this being a easy series and if Stros win tonight it be exactly that. Bombers have a tough enough road as it is when Stros have 2 in hand and jv plus Cole looming. They lose tonight it over before it started. Just don’t see that happening.
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27023
#45
just bet broncos kc under
has den played an over yet?
Comment
alon7777777
SBR MVP
05-11-10
1864
#46
over 49 is the play after struggling on offence last week both teams will score and I can feel a chiefs blowout
Comment
pickle_texas
SBR Wise Guy
10-26-16
750
#47
Originally posted by 2daBank
I just can’t see this being a easy series and if Stros win tonight it be exactly that. Bombers have a tough enough road as it is when Stros have 2 in hand and jv plus Cole looming. They lose tonight it over before it started. Just don’t see that happening.
Well, anything can happen. Sometimes, it looks predicable about a certain team winning and then all of a sudden, we get surprised with the end result. Good luck today on your picks. I'm rolling with denver and arkansas state as well. And a sprinkle on over 49 points
Comment
2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#48
Originally posted by alon7777777
over 49 is the play after struggling on offence last week both teams will score and I can feel a chiefs blowout
There has to be a incredible case for me to play Thursday night over (think packers/eagles). I naturally lean under in this game and it takes a lot for me to go over,, I just don’t see it here, donks gonna try to play keep away., I’m not touching total tho so gl. Think you be better off playing kc if you feel that way. 27-17 type game imo.
Comment
2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#49
Originally posted by pickle_texas
Well, anything can happen. Sometimes, it looks predicable about a certain team winning and then all of a sudden, we get surprised with the end result. Good luck today on your picks. I'm rolling with denver and arkansas state as well. And a sprinkle on over 49 points
Never says it couldn’t. Just that I don’t see it, lol. I got bombers and kc so one of us gonna be bumming. Lol
Comment
pickle_texas
SBR Wise Guy
10-26-16
750
#50
Originally posted by 2daBank
Never says it couldn’t. Just that I don’t see it, lol. I got bombers and kc so one of us gonna be bumming. Lol
One of us is eating $1 burgers after tonight.
Comment
JIBBBY
SBR Aristocracy
12-10-09
83476
#51
Originally posted by dawg58kahn
I know I like the chiefs now....Trolling you as always lmao
Fixed.. Get a life son.. Good luck Malibu Most Wanted with the fade..
Comment
QuantumLeap
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-08
6900
#52
This game is a perfect example of why 95% of bettors lose. Books don't reverse a line on big games like this with a huge amount of public on the other side.
Public slaughter tonight both on KC and on Stanford.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388208
#53
Look at nhl also
Could be a sleeper
Working on something now
Comment
Unrivaled
SBR Hall of Famer
10-24-11
6685
#54
Just because it's the "Sharp Play" doesn't mean it's the right play. Just saying.
Comment
Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#55
Sharps do lose
Comment
Buckandadime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-21-15
8874
#56
Originally posted by jjgold
Look at nhl also
Could be a sleeper
Working on something now
NYR/NJ Under 6.5
NYI +115
Buff +105
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shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#57
Originally posted by QuantumLeap
This game is a perfect example of why 95% of bettors lose. Books don't reverse a line on big games like this with a huge amount of public on the other side.
Public slaughter tonight both on KC and on Stanford.
Me likey the under in that Stanford game
Comment
shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#58
Originally posted by jjgold
Look at nhl also
Could be a sleeper
Working on something now
gimme a winner baldy
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27023
#59
Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
just bet broncos kc under
has den played an over yet?
so has Denver played an over yet?
Comment
JayDr3am
SBR Posting Legend
05-06-14
18260
#60
Originally posted by pickle_texas
If greinke can allow 2-3 runs max, astros might have a chance to win this game.
big brain
Comment
JIBBBY
SBR Aristocracy
12-10-09
83476
#61
Sharps lost tonight.. Yankees are done.. Broncos got smoked..
Damn I need to invest in a new crystal ball..
Anyone got one for sale I'll pay big for one my shiit broke?
Comment
shocka1212
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-12
16788
#62
Originally posted by shocka1212
Yankees ML
Arkansas St +6.5
Ouch
Comment
dj_destroyer
SBR MVP
07-28-10
3856
#63
Originally posted by Unrivaled
Just because it's the "Sharp Play" doesn't mean it's the right play. Just saying.
This is actually so wrong, it's palpable. If it's the sharp play then 100% it's the right play. On the contrary, just because you won a wager doesn't mean it was the right play. The sooner you realize this, the sooner you'll start winning longterm. No one has a crystal ball and can correctly predict the future but if you treat sports betting as what it is, a market, you learn that you just need to find value, not winners.
For example, if someone is giving you -110/-110 odds on a coin flip and you guess right ten flips in a row, you still didn't make a sharp wager. If someone offered +110/+110 odds and you got ten wrong in a row, you're still sharp for betting. Being right or wrong is inconsequential if your edge is true.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#64
Originally posted by JIBBBY
Sharps lost tonight.. Yankees are done.. Broncos got smoked..
Damn I need to invest in a new crystal ball..
Anyone got one for sale I'll pay big for one my shiit broke?
Bombers fukked me w no lube, kicking myself for not at least getting some back w over.
pretty confident kc was the right side. Even without mahomes they whipped them.
My theory on lines like the kc/donks is long as I understand why it seemingly short like that I can go against it if I disagree. It those sketchy lines I don’t understand that scare me away cause obviously I’m missing something.
Comment
Unrivaled
SBR Hall of Famer
10-24-11
6685
#65
Originally posted by dj_destroyer
This is actually so wrong, it's palpable. If it's the sharp play then 100% it's the right play. On the contrary, just because you won a wager doesn't mean it was the right play. The sooner you realize this, the sooner you'll start winning longterm. No one has a crystal ball and can correctly predict the future but if you treat sports betting as what it is, a market, you learn that you just need to find value, not winners.
For example, if someone is giving you -110/-110 odds on a coin flip and you guess right ten flips in a row, you still didn't make a sharp wager. If someone offered +110/+110 odds and you got ten wrong in a row, you're still sharp for betting. Being right or wrong is inconsequential if your edge is true.
All I care about is winning. I'll take the "sharp" side if I agree with the pick and I'll take the public side if I strongly agree with the pick.
If the sharps are going to bet on Flacco and that dreadful oline in prime time, against an angry Chiefs team then I hope they're patting themselves on the back for being on the "right play".
Comment
Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#66
Originally posted by Sam Odom
Sharps do lose
Comment
STANDARD BET
SBR High Roller
05-10-19
224
#67
Anyone who bet the Broncos is the opposite of a sharp.