Let’s talk week 6 NFL

[stevenash]

Rivers a nervous rat when o line not play well

Which QB isn’t?

[2daBank]

I got little ahead of myself drinking and was passed out by halftime of the afternoon games,, lol. Didn’t wake up till Sunday night and the mlb game were half way over. Lol.

Glad I got to catch yanks/Stros from bout the 5th on. What a game. That gonna be a heck is a series!!

Didn’t watch a snap of the sunday night shit fest, when do they have ability to start flexing that game? I know the 1st month of so are locked in but thought they could flex by now and woulda damn sure thought they flex that crap out? Maybe they didn’t simply cause the mlb playoffs?

Jfc my sides pretty much stunk but hit every total minus the degen play on London game. Freaking crushed totals over the weekend, sides not so much.

[stevenash]

I got little ahead of myself drinking and was passed out by halftime of the afternoon games,, lol. Didn’t wake up till Sunday night and the mlb game were half way over. Lol.

Do you know how many times I've been there?
I can so relate brother.

I quit though, few reasons, I need a second operation, this one on the femur and no surgeon these days will put you under if you have just a trace of nicotine or alchol in your system. Of course I miss the rails and the shots and the cigs, but it's what I need to do.
Have to admit though, now sober 100 percent of the time I can remember every minor detail of every game I watched the night before, in the past I couldn't do that.

Pushed on my F5 wager in the Yankee game, would up winning 7.8 * this weekend, that does not happen often I don't care how good a handicapper one is. It's 10x harder to win 7.8* in a weekend than lose 7.8 in a weekend.

[2daBank]

Thoughts on Monday night??

Should be a good game. I lean under but pack have gotten off to such strong starts thinking it might be better to take live or 2ns half?

If pack jump out to a lead will lions be stupid like Dallas and turn pass happy? I don’t think so, actually think fat Matt P is a better coach than Garrett!!! Gotta believe lions gonna stuck to the run game here with the extra week to prepare surely they will figure out pounding ball on pack is the way to go!

Ultimately I think we talking a low 20s type game, 23-20 or somewhere along those lines. Gonna do little more looking into it when I have time. Lions:under tease might make lot of sense (although I think total could get teased either way and most likely cash).

[stevenash]

^
Under and the Lions have been impressive at times this year.
I don't like the Lions as a team, I kinda like them as a betting option tonight.
I got all day to break it down.
Must win for the Cards, that's the way to go tonight.

[Tanko]

Leaning GB -3.

Passing - Overall passing advantage Detroit (thanks to Adams out and Detroit passing D is good).

Why? I see a GB w/ slight QB advantage but the good Detroit passing D (#4 - held Mahomes to his lowest QB rating of the season 2 weeks ago) and GB's middle/lower of the pack passing defense (#20) shuld offset what I see as a Rogers advantage. Stafford did do well against KC 2 weeks ago (Rating: 118) and has been decent most of the early season games. Detroit WR core is better than GB with Adams out. Detroit does have a couple of guys dinged up in the secondary but w/ Devante Adams out its back to Detroit advantage on WRs.

Rushing - Advantage Green Bay (they should be able to utilize Jones to open up short passing game for GB).

Will Aaron Jones be able to light it up for 100+ yards like last week against Dallas or will he fall back to the 20-40 yard version the prior two weeks? It seems clear that with Adams out, GB is dependent on Jones to have a good night and will feed him regularly to open it up for Rodgers to pass to TE and RBs out of backfield just like against Dallas (19 of 31 targets to RBs/TEs and 18 of 22 receptions). For Detroit Johnson is the rushing workhorse. Stellar game against KC, but flat prior to that. I think we'll see a flat Johnson again tonight. Both teams have pretty good rushing defenses w/ GB edging out Detroit.

Intangibles - I don't like considering these but Rodgers. The guy is a magician at times.

Latest line is -3 -125 at BM.

JJ was leaning Detroit so GB has got to be a lock.

Talk me out of it....

[2daBank]

Give me about a hour bud and I’ll do my best, assuming i want to! Lol.

[johnnyvegas13]

This is the same line as packers vs eagles in prime time

Not saying I think lie downs win but just something to consider

[2daBank]

This is the same line as packers vs eagles in prime time

Not saying I think lie downs win but just something to consider

Why do you think that relevant Johnny?

Feel like if i was gonna play lions shoulda did it already. +4 was a much better number imo. Took them at that number in few contest but not for money.

[Tanko]

This is the same line as packers vs eagles in prime time

Not saying I think lie downs win but just something to consider

I remember that but also in that game once Philly scored to go ahead in the 4th, GB drove to the 1 yard line and failed. The next time they got the ball they drove to the 3 yard line and threw INT. GB had a lot of very good chances to win it in the end.

[2daBank]

I remember that but also in that game once Philly scored to go ahead in the 4th, GB drove to the 1 yard line and failed. The next time they got the ball they drove to the 3 yard line and threw INT. GB had a lot of very good chances to win it in the end.

Gotta give lafluer some credit, the following week in Dallas they pounded the rock in red zone!!

Losers line Jason Garrett havnt made adjustments in 10 years! Lol

[johnnyvegas13]

Why do you think that relevant Johnny?

Feel like if i was gonna play lions shoulda did it already. +4 was a much better number imo. Took them at that number in few contest but not for money.

Well just saying it could b another trap

[2daBank]

Well just saying it could b another trap

There no traps Johnny, just lines set based off super computers and perception!

What makes you think it a trap? I think these teams pretty close on a neutral field.

[johnnyvegas13]

There no traps Johnny, just lines set based off super computers and perception!

What makes you think it a trap? I think these teams pretty close on a neutral field.

Well u know Rodgers and the new and improved packers at home is gonna get the public money on a short line

[shocka1212]

Over 45.5 looks like the best option

[Tanko]

Over 45.5 looks like the best option

I really liked the over too but I don't trust Stafford to give me enough points.

[2daBank]

Well u know Rodgers and the new and improved packers at home is gonna get the public money on a short line

Probably so but still no trap lines. We trap ourselves!

[2daBank]

I really liked the over too but I don't trust Stafford to give me enough points.

You guys gotta consider we should see more rushing attempts than passes! Clock should keep moving!!

I gotta look at red zone numbers for both offenses/defenses still tho.

[shocka1212]

You guys gotta consider we should see more rushing attempts than passes! Clock should keep moving!!

I gotta look at red zone numbers for both offenses/defenses still tho.

both teams playing defense, no Devante Adams... they're begging us to bet the under

[shocka1212]

Lions and over/Under teaser probably the move. just laying off here

[2daBank]

Nlcs 1st 5 under 3.5 should be money again. Unless you think cards all a sudden score runs vs stras?? Only Cole has been a better pitcher than flaherty in the second half, expect more dominance from this kid!!

Whether you bet cards or not up to you, I always take jack at plus money but I’m certainly not here to say you can trust the bats or Carlos not to blow it. Hoping they can scrape 2-3 runs together And Carlos doesn’t go all Carlos and blow it!

[shocka1212]

Nlcs 1st 5 under 3.5 should be money again. Unless you think cards all a sudden score runs vs stras?? Only Cole has been a better pitcher than flaherty in the second half, expect more dominance from this kid!!

Whether you bet cards or not up to you, I always take jack at plus money but I’m certainly not here to say you can trust the bats or Carlos not to blow it. Hoping they can scrape 2-3 runs together And Carlos doesn’t go all Carlos and blow it!

last time we said we couldn't trust the Cards bats they hung 11 on the braves in the top of the 1st.....

[Tanko]

Maybe we can trust that the Cards bats will be a little more silent during 1st 5 this time w/ Straus on mound. I mean it was Mike Foltynewicz, right?

[2daBank]

last time we said we couldn't trust the Cards bats they hung 11 on the braves in the top of the 1st.....

Umm. I say that most games so wasn’t last time. Braves choked . Folty was all over place and Freddy botched a ground ball that shoulda ended inning w 1 run!!!

If cards offense plays well they scrape a few. Not gonna worry about 1 anomaly to change my bets moving forward.

[shocka1212]

Umm. I say that most games so wasn’t last time. Braves choked . Folty was all over place and Freddy botched a ground ball that shoulda ended inning w 1 run!!!

If cards offense plays well they scrape a few. Not gonna worry about 1 anomaly to change my bets moving forward.

I also like the Cards -1.5 +210 for a smaller play

[2daBank]

I also like the Cards -1.5 +210 for a smaller play

Too greedy for me bro. Why risk giving back a ml win in what sure to be another low scoring affair??? If cards were laying juice I’d understand. No sense when they plus money imo.

[2daBank]

Maybe we can trust that the Cards bats will be a little more silent during 1st 5 this time w/ Straus on mound. I mean it was Mike Foltynewicz, right?

Yep. I’m assuming it too late if you didn’t play it yet?? I got u3.5 -105 last night. I just saw game total down to 6.5 tho so FF has to be juiced to shit or down to 3??

[Tanko]

Yep. I’m assuming it too late if you didn’t play it yet?? I got u3.5 -105 last night. I just saw game total down to 6.5 tho so FF has to be juiced to shit or down to 3??

3 -120 at BM. You did great getting in early.

[2daBank]

2 team 7 point tease -130

Lions +10.5/u53.5

I thought it was worth the juice to make a full 7., wasn’t gonna do 6 and leave at 9.5, didn’t wanna leave on 10/53 for chance of push. Makes most sense to pay the extra on this one,, 10-20 bucks well worth it imo.

This game should be opposite of the atl/zona game. Instead of expecting 80ish pass attempts we should see 40-50 tops imo.

Both gonna have success on the ground, drives should be long clock chewers. If we get a few 6-7-8 minute drives that end in Fgs should be in good shape. Both outta have 23+rushes. Both have been fast starters which a concern, that why I’m not playing under straight to start. Good chance I jump on under live or at halftime. Think this will be played in low 20s. 23-20 type of game. Teaser protects against 24 all and ending 27-24! Love that!!

[2daBank]

3 -120 at BM. You did great getting in early.

Oh man. Honestly think I would pass at that number.

[Tanko]

Good Luck. sounds solid.

[2daBank]

Good Luck. sounds solid.

Thanks bro. They always do before kick! Lol.

What you end up playing?

[Tanko]

Stuck to my pick.
GB -3 -125 at BM...

[Tanko]

I did take 1H Cards ML +114.

I hope it pans out.

[stevenash]

I'm on Lions tonight, +3.5