NLDS GAME 1 Tampa Bay Rays (T Glasnow) at Houston Astros (J Verlander) +225/-235

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65639

    #1
    NLDS GAME 1 Tampa Bay Rays (T Glasnow) at Houston Astros (J Verlander) +225/-235
    GAME 1

    Fri 10/4 Tampa Bay Rays T Glasnow +1½ -105 +225 o7½ +105
    2:05PM Houston Astros J Verlander -1½ -105 -235 u7½ -115
    SERIES
    Fri 10/4 Tampa Bay Rays (Series) +260
    2:05PM Houston Astros (Series) -290
    First thing that sticks out. What's up with the run line?
    I won't bet home teams on a run line, if I did I would think Verlander at home -1.5 at 'pick em is very affordable. Too affordable, conversely I would want more than 'pick em if I were to take Tampa Bay at +1.5

    Tyler Glasnow (RHP) starts for Tampa Bay.

    Glasnow was off to a solid start before he went down with a forearm injury in May.
    He came back after 90 days on the IL on Sept 8 made four September starts was babied by the coaching staff in all of the starts with a strict pitch count. Glasnow was excellent in all four starts however never seeing the fifth inning.
    The team was 4-0 when he pitched those September game, Glasnow was 0-0 with four no decision wins.
    Struck out 21 in 12 2/3 innings which is eye popping, had an ERA of 1.42 and a WH/IP ratio of 0.78, but those numbers are on short innings,

    For the season Glasnow was 6-1 (the same before he went down) in 12 starts.
    ERA of 1.78 WH/IP ratio of 0.89. He struck out 76 in only 60 2/3 innings which works out to an outstanding rate of 11.3 per nine innings.

    Here's the thing I have to point out before coming over to the Rays in a trade from Pittsburg Glasnow was terrible as a starter, butt ugly, Glasnow and Austin Meadow came over too in that deal for Chris Archer.
    Many thought that was highway robbery for Pittsburg as Archer was the team ace and Glasnow was a gas can.
    Meadows this year hit 33 HR, hit .291 and stole 12 bases too.

    Those two were very instrumental in the Rays playoff push (who knew?)

    Now for the bad news if your'e a Rays fan, you get to play the Astros today, and face future Hall of Fame pitcher Justin Verlander to boot.

    I'm not going to write up either Houston or Verlander (he's 42-15 since coming over from Detroit), as neither have very few flaws, and you know their stories anyway.

    I'm not going to bet either side, if you want to take a small shot on the Rays at +225 OK as long as it's small.
    Here's a couple of angles for you if you do take the Rays.

    1) Glasnow was undefeated on the road this year in 6 away starts.
    He was 4-0 as a road warrior in those six starts, pitched 33 innings and struck out 43 which is almost 12 K's per nine innings, only gave up 1 HR, gave up only two earned runs which is an ERA of 0.55 and a WH/IP of 0.67.
    And he was death versus left handed batters.
    Unhittable (but a short sample size)2) Tampa has a lot of momentum going for them with that road wild card victory over Oakland.

    I can't fade either Verlander nor Houston.
    What I can do is bet the under here here in this spot (7.5 runs -115)
    I can't see eight total runs this afternoon in Houston.

    My play:
    Under 7.5 (-115) for 1* -115 for your pal Nasher

    Postseason to date.+ 1.4*
    Wagers are 2-1 (hit my Cards play yesterday at +120) and my selections are 3-1.
  • GzaTheGenius
    SBR MVP
    • 02-12-13
    • 4181

    #2
    Got Houston to close an open parlay

    Gonna be real mad if they blow it
    Comment
    • Bostongambler
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-01-08
      • 35581

      #3
      Good write up Nash. I see Houston winning series and moving on. I know I know I’m not going out on a limb here.
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        Reverse run line Tampa Bay -1.5
        Comment
        • Mike Huntertz
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-19-09
          • 11207

          #5
          Originally posted by Big Bear
          Reverse run line Tampa Bay -1.5
          This one always has a sweet payout!
          GL
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65639

            #6
            Verlander just got bailed out with that DP in the first.
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83686

              #7
              Let's go Stros!!! Good 1st inning for Verlander already!!
              Comment
              • slayer14
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-12-13
                • 22022

                #8
                Verlander seems juiced today
                Comment
                • krk1030
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-08
                  • 17610

                  #9
                  Originally posted by stevenash
                  Verlander just got bailed out with that DP in the first.
                  Made a good pitch and got a weak ground ball....how's that bailed out lol
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                    Let's go Stros!!! Good 1st inning for Verlander already!!
                    Jibbers loves the juice!
                    Comment
                    • slayer14
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-12-13
                      • 22022

                      #11
                      Is kate Upton in the crowd at the stadium today
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83686

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                        Jibbers loves the juice!
                        -1.5 juice.. I think the Stros come on late and win by a couple runs in the end.. We'll see?.. I don't like playing juice but I do like winning when I do play the juice..

                        This tall dude is throwing some heat early here.. He'll start to wear down..
                        Comment
                        • krk1030
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-08
                          • 17610

                          #13
                          Astros getting all these BS weak hits.
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65639

                            #14
                            Glasnow is pitching is gut out.
                            (and his heart)

                            Scoreless game, top of 4.
                            Comment
                            • krk1030
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-13-08
                              • 17610

                              #15
                              Glasnow probably done after 4.

                              Verlabder may go 9.
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                -1.5 juice.. I think the Stros come on late and win by a couple runs in the end.. We'll see?.. I don't like playing juice but I do like winning when I do play the juice..

                                This tall dude is throwing some heat early here.. He'll start to wear down..
                                He only at 62 pitches and has a very good pen backing him up. Kid a bad ass, just had to get away from shitsberg butt pirates like many other great pitchers featured in this series!!
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65639

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by krk1030
                                  Made a good pitch and got a weak ground ball....how's that bailed out lol
                                  He was behind in thc count, that pitched looked out of the zone, and TB had a leadoff man on first via walk.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    typical Tampa game

                                    nobody scores
                                    Comment
                                    • krk1030
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-13-08
                                      • 17610

                                      #19
                                      Here comes the 4 run inning for Houston.
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by krk1030
                                        Here comes the 4 run inning for Houston.
                                        Not gonna happen. But If it does let’s hold off till the FF under cashes!
                                        Comment
                                        • krk1030
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-08
                                          • 17610

                                          #21
                                          Leadoff 4 pitch walk.

                                          First step to the incoming grand slam.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Glasnow done. Don’t let him dig this hole too big, get him out of there.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by krk1030
                                              Leadoff 4 pitch walk.

                                              First step to the incoming grand slam.
                                              Pen will clean it up. Just can’t leave him out there.
                                              Comment
                                              • krk1030
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-13-08
                                                • 17610

                                                #24
                                                Wow nice bounce back. Springer dead on 3 straight pitches.
                                                Comment
                                                • krk1030
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-13-08
                                                  • 17610

                                                  #25
                                                  Never easy.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bostongambler
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-01-08
                                                    • 35581

                                                    #26
                                                    Boom!!!!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • stevenash
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 65639

                                                      #27
                                                      No doubt moonshot by Altuve.
                                                      The kid reached his limit, pitched great!

                                                      Just keep this game under 7.5 runs and I'm golden.

                                                      2-0 Houston.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • krk1030
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-08
                                                        • 17610

                                                        #28
                                                        McKay sucks. This could get ugly.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                                          No doubt moonshot by Altuve.
                                                          The kid reached his limit, pitched great!

                                                          Just keep this game under 7.5 runs and I'm golden.

                                                          2-0 Houston.
                                                          I split w FF under so need to get out this inning!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • krk1030
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-13-08
                                                            • 17610

                                                            #30
                                                            Bergman dinger. No doubt about it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • krk1030
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-08
                                                              • 17610

                                                              #31
                                                              FF under dead. Rays giving game away with McKay here.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by krk1030
                                                                Bergman dinger. No doubt about it.
                                                                You pissing me off pal!! Lol.

                                                                They have so many good pen options, why the hell we gong mccay???
                                                                Comment
                                                                • krk1030
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-13-08
                                                                  • 17610

                                                                  #33
                                                                  penetrate Kevin cash what a clown.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • krk1030
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-08
                                                                    • 17610

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Such a gross way to start the day.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by krk1030
                                                                      Such a gross way to start the day.
                                                                      We caught huge break there. Can still survive the FF!! Cmon baby, one time!!
                                                                      Comment
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