Week 4 College Football Picks

[thomorino]

11-10

Michigan State -9.5 - Thorson is gone and Northwestern's run defense isn't as strong as in previous years. MSU will be focused off loss and their run defense is strong.

Utah -4 - USC looked strong against Stanford's defense but Utah has an elite defensive line and USC has struggled against power running games.

Wisconsin -3.5 - Michigan's offensive line has struggled and Wisconsin's defense is much better this year, at home Wisconsin's offensive line should be stronger.

[firedawg]

Nice picks


But Utah D line isn't elite
Good yes

[thomorino]

Nice picks


But Utah D line isn't elite
Good yes

Utah has multiple NFL players on their defensive line - its elite.

[firedawg]

Utah has multiple NFL players on their defensive line - its elite.

Elite

Bama
Mich st
Clemson

[2daBank]

I think utes is right up there this year actually.

[thomorino]

Elite

Bama
Mich st
Clemson

Utah defensive line is clearly better than Michigan State.

[firedawg]

I think utes is right up there this year actually.

PAC 12 shit show

[2daBank]

Wisconsin feels so so square. We have all seen how god awful Michigan “new” offense has looked. We have all seen Wisconsin rolling ppl. And they open it -3? Every lame I know has told me what free money wiscy is this weekend. Not sayin they never win but not that often!! I’m staying away.

[2daBank]

PAC 12 shit show

Well yea that is true. Utes do have a big time defensive front this year tho.

[2daBank]

Utah defensive line is clearly better than Michigan State.

Why clearly? Sparty d line didn’t lose them that game. Although got was pretty shocking to see the d give it up when it mattered most.

[thomorino]

Wisconsin feels so so square. We have all seen how god awful Michigan “new” offense has looked. We have all seen Wisconsin rolling ppl. And they open it -3? Every lame I know has told me what free money wiscy is this weekend. Not sayin they never win but not that often!! I’m staying away.

Michigan has an offensive coordinator who has never called plays and their offense looks like trash, I don't give a shit what is square or sharp, I'm looking for value and to win. No one respects the Wisconsin QB Coan, he's nothing special, but Wisconsin is very well coached offensively and they have very good receivers. As a Wisconsin alum, this might be the best defense we've had in nearly 10 years. Michigan's play calling and offensive line is garbage.

[firedawg]

Utah up front isn't in the same zip code as the teams I mentioned


End of story

[thomorino]

Why clearly? Sparty d line didn’t lose them that game. Although got was pretty shocking to see the d give it up when it mattered most.

If you look at the talent, watching games and looking at who projects to be in the NFL, Utah has more talent on the defensive line than MSU. MSU's defensive line is solid though obviously.

[thomorino]

Utah has very good depth on the defensive line too.

[2daBank]

Michigan has an offensive coordinator who has never called plays and their offense looks like trash, I don't give a shit what is square or sharp, I'm looking for value and to win. No one respects the Wisconsin QB Coan, he's nothing special, but Wisconsin is very well coached offensively and they have very good receivers. As a Wisconsin alum, this might be the best defense we've had in nearly 10 years. Michigan's play calling and offensive line is garbage.

You don’t have to tell me bout mi-shit-gan problems. I know they have looked like a train wreck, the oline was getting whipped by middle Tennessee pass rushers for Christ sakes. Just saying when it looks this easy it rarely is.

Everyone respects wiscy at this point. The line has moved a great deal from the look ahead numbers so don’t understand where the value is? Right now Michigan perception at a huge low. Rarely get value when betting the team who perception is down vs the one who is high.

Total stay away for me cause I ain’t got the balls to back Michigan the way they have looked and I’m allergic to sides everyone thinks are easy. Gl

[thomorino]

You don’t have to tell me bout mi-shit-gan problems. I know they have looked like a train wreck, the oline was getting whipped by middle Tennessee pass rushers for Christ sakes. Just saying when it looks this easy it rarely is.

Everyone respects wiscy at this point. The line has moved a great deal from the look ahead numbers so don’t understand where the value is? Right now Michigan perception at a huge low. Rarely get value when betting the team who perception is down vs the one who is high.

Total stay away for me cause I ain’t got the balls to back Michigan the way they have looked and I’m allergic to sides everyone thinks are easy. Gl

You're confusing the public with professional bettors. The public thinks Michigan sucks but a lot of professional bettors still believe in Michigan, I've listened to them all week. The line is short because Wisconsin hasn't played anyone yet and a lot of professionals still believe in Michigan, this isn't the NFL, the public doesn't have anywhere near as big of an impact on line move.

As for look ahead lines - I don't really care about that, I just want value when I bet, as to what the line was 2 months ago - interesting but to me not that relevant.

[firedawg]

I'm on wisky as well
I agree with banker though
Something smells fishy

I loved Tulane at -3.5 on the opener
Not sure if it's at 4 still or not

[thomorino]

I heard the same thing about line movement when I bet Ohio State at 16 despite the line opening at 14, just because a line moves doesn't mean the value is gone.

[firedawg]

UGA at 13.5 as well
I don't think Irish can handle the physical play of the Dawgs

[2daBank]

I'm on wisky as well
I agree with banker though
Something smells fishy

I loved Tulane at -3.5 on the opener
Not sure if it's at 4 still or not

It stinks to high hell but I certainly can’t blame anyone for betting wiscy, when I saw -3 I loved it too, that what gave me pause. I know how the ones I love right away turn out usually. Lol. Hell I was saying how I couldn’t wait to pound wiscy this Game 2 weeks ago!! Lol. Maybe I’m overthinking it but sometimes better safe than sorry.

[firedawg]

Michigan has looked horrible all year
The question is when will they start to click
Or will they ?

[2daBank]

I heard the same thing about line movement when I bet Ohio State at 16 despite the line opening at 14, just because a line moves doesn't mean the value is gone.

Didn’t hear it from me., that game didn’t give me nearly the uneasy feeling this one does.,

[2daBank]

UGA at 13.5 as well
I don't think Irish can handle the physical play of the Dawgs

Yea I know lot of guys I respect think that one gonna be ugly.

I did hear a interesting point of view as to why Irish been getting gashed rushing that kinda supports they might be better here but not sure I’m buying it. Lol

[2daBank]

Michigan has looked horrible all year
The question is when will they start to click
Or will they ?

Now or never, maybe the bye was good for them but who knows., I’m sure they can clean some things up but if they can’t block on edges won’t matter much.,

[firedawg]

UGA will be hard to handle by end of year

Young receivers but they will be beasts with some game time

[2daBank]

UGA will be hard to handle by end of year

Young receivers but they will be beasts with some game time

I think most everyone agrees w that, they have a pretty cake walk to the sec championship game too don’t they?

[shocka1212]

I'm taking Northwestern... Mich st is about as square as it gets. Ol Sparty aint shit. 1-6 in their last 7 ATS and they even have trouble covering on grass (100 points to anyone who gets the joke here)

[firedawg]

I think most everyone agrees w that, they have a pretty cake walk to the sec championship game too don’t they?

FLA probably only challenge and I think we blow them out

IMO LSU is top team in the SEC in week 3

[2daBank]

FLA probably only challenge and I think we blow them out

IMO LSU is top team in the SEC in week 3

1st time I recall them actually having a offense. Gotta be little concerning for them how easily Texas moved the ball tho, if horns didn’t piss away those goal line chances in 1st half of that game they probably win.

Gators the only one you guys gotta play huh? No LSU or auburn even? Dawgs will kick the shit out of gators for sure, the way uk moved the ball so easy was damning.

[firedawg]

Auburn is down IMO

[shocka1212]

FLA probably only challenge and I think we blow them out

IMO LSU is top team in the SEC in week 3

Who you got this week, Florida or Tennessee ATS?

and yes, LSU finally got a QB

[thomorino]

I'm taking Northwestern... Mich st is about as square as it gets. Ol Sparty aint shit. 1-6 in their last 7 ATS and they even have trouble covering on grass (100 points to anyone who gets the joke here)

Nice try little guy. There's nothing square about laying 9 with a team that just lost at home to Arizona State. The public will be on Northwestern at the current line - doesn't mean it won't cash, but the public side will be Northwestern - they'll just look at the dog's record in this series.

[thomorino]

Georgia probably has the best offensive line in the country, and Notre Dame is very young at linebacker, which was an issue in the Louisville game. I'd lean Georgia but I think ND will be a public dog, I'm hoping the line drops to around 12.

[thomorino]

Georgia's receivers are fine, the issue is if the run defense is good enough. Vanderbilt had success running against them at times and ND has a very good offensive line.

[firedawg]

Georgia's receivers are fine, the issue is if the run defense is good enough. Vanderbilt had success running against them at times and ND has a very good offensive line.

They are young
Not being a dikk here but don't tell me about UGA football