Who Wins NFC North?

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  • jts1207
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-15-16
    • 8011

    #36
    Packers 3rd at best
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #37
      Originally posted by MinnesotaFats

      Vikes only team in division with an absolute home field advantage. Pencil in 7-1 / 6-2 at home this year. Play .500 on road win division.
      Originally posted by 2daBank

      I’m gonna have to look that up cause I call bs. Playing at gb or chi not easy. And bro I missed it in your other post, did you seriously call cousins a HOF type qb? Are you on crack?
      Originally posted by lakerboy

      He is drunk


      Hardly any true home edge in the NFL anymore except a select few spots. Minnesota isn't one of them.
      As far as winning home games and the win/loss record at home over the last 11 years or so, both MIN and GB are in the top handful of teams.

      Here they are in order, whether or not you include the playoffs in addition to the regular season...

      1 NE
      2 GB
      3 BAL
      4 SEA
      5 PIT
      6 NO
      7 MIN
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #38
        Originally posted by thomorino
        Not true Lakerboy Minnesota has been very strong at home the last 5 years
        Two different stadiums
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #39
          Here are the home records over the last 5 years, just the regular season...

          1 NE 34-6
          2 KC 30-9
          3 PIT 29-11
          SEA 29-11
          4 GB 28-11-1
          5 MIN 28-12
          6 CAR 27-13
          PHI 27-13

          Here it is over the last 5 years when you include the playoffs...

          1 NE 42-6
          2 SEA 32-11
          3 GB 30-11-1
          4 KC 31-12
          5 CAR 30-13
          PIT 30-13
          7 MIN 29-13
          PHI 29-13
          Remember, these are just the win loss records over this time, and including playoffs.

          But just being the team with the most wins at home doesn't exactly constitute HFA.

          There has to be an advantage over the league or opponent, or even over the road record.

          So calculating an advantage will take more than those records, as the opponent will have a road strength as well.

          We're not talking spreads here, so it isn't as involved to work out, usually.

          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #40
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Two different stadiums
            Home is home.

            Holmes.



            Although it might not be, exactly, for this Minnesota case, so you may be right.
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #41
              Here's how the NFC North teams have done against each other over the last 5 years, while playing at home...

              MIN 9-6 -0.5
              DET 9-6 -1.5
              GB 8-6-1 -3.5
              CHI 6-9 -3
              These are the home records vs the division over the last 5 years and if a bettor had bet the same unit to win on each game, they would be down what's listed.

              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94379

                #42
                Originally posted by KVB
                Home is home.

                Holmes.



                Although it might not be, exactly, for this Minnesota case, so you may be right.
                Minnesota has regressed as a team imo. Zimmer's teams peaked and I don't think they have a great squad like they did for the majority of that 5 year stretch. Besides the division games they have

                Falcons
                Eagles
                Raiders
                Redskins
                Broncos

                At home. 5-3 at best at home. They will need to win 5 road games to win this division and that is not happening.
                Comment
                • MUHerd37
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 12816

                  #43
                  Vikings.
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #44
                    Originally posted by KVB
                    As far as winning home games and the win/loss record at home over the last 11 years or so, both MIN and GB are in the top handful of teams.

                    Here they are in order, whether or not you include the playoffs in addition to the regular season...

                    1 NE
                    2 GB
                    3 BAL
                    4 SEA
                    5 PIT
                    6 NO
                    7 MIN
                    Right, I didn’t doubt minny was good at home, just that the other north teams didn’t have same edge. Bears not being up there speaks to how bad they sucked before they brought in the new regime, not to soldier field not being a tough place to play. Fats just being a typical homer which fine but a shame, if guys could just be objective and reasonable about their teams they would actually have a lot to offer us! (Aka me w the cardinals! ). Can’t stand “fans” who think being honest and objective about theri team is somehow blasphemy!! Lol
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #45
                      Plus those type fans give others a bad name!! I couldn’t convince Mfers I wasn’t being a homer when I was telling them blues were gonna win the cup!! As if I hadn’t faded them for over a decade in playoffs before that run!’ Lol
                      Comment
                      • MinnesotaFats
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-18-10
                        • 14758

                        #46
                        Vikes 19-7 at home in US Bank Stadium

                        Best home record in NFL behind Saints and Eagles last 3 years

                        GB has a QB that can't finish a season, and no RBs

                        Chi is the team to regress. Yes, their D is very good, but Turbinsky extended more drives with 3rd down runs and the Bears got more 3rd down penalties than any other team in the NFC last year, that's not going to repeat itself

                        Vikes schedule is mediocre with Washington, Oakland, Dallas, Seattle, SD. Vikes will be favored or pick in 3 of those games especially with the RB situations in Dal and SD. Only Philly will have a chance to be favored in MN and only if Wentz is healthy. In division the home teams usually favored but MN will be favored in both Det games I believe.

                        10-6
                        Comment
                        • MinnesotaFats
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-18-10
                          • 14758

                          #47
                          ....and yes, they're still the San Diego Chargers to me. Fukk the NFL.
                          Comment
                          • Grits n' Gravy
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 13024

                            #48
                            As said by many already, Minny has had a solid home field advantage su and ats (Both over 60%)last several years. They close this season with pack and bears at home.

                            North will be a close division this year imo. It will come down to final few weeks when they all play each other. I lean to pack or vikes.

                            Minny is in must win mode. Zimmer has to be feeling heat. Same for Cousins. I think he has been a trash qb his entire career but will have a decent upcoming regular season. Defense can only be strong if offense can give them time to rest.

                            Gb’s defense has the potential to be very good. Tons of speed and size. Rogers really needs to trust his young receivers and take more shots downfield like pre 16.

                            I dont think trubisky will ever improve enough to take bears to next level. Good team otherwise.

                            Lions have some good players but coach is awful. When that brutal line gets Stafford hurt they will be playing for #1 pick.
                            Comment
                            • mrpapageorgio
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-07-17
                              • 2974

                              #49
                              I don't have confidence in Minnesota closing it out until I see Kirk not wilting away like he did last season in big games. This is the same team that was 16 point favorites and lost to Buffalo at home last year.
                              Comment
                              • DOM_Toretto
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-28-13
                                • 9035

                                #50
                                Packers worst team in The North
                                Comment
                                • MinnesotaFats
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-18-10
                                  • 14758

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  I’m gonna have to look that up cause I call bs. Playing at gb or chi not easy. And bro I missed it in your other post, did you seriously call cousins a HOF type qb? Are you on crack?
                                  Yes Cousins is going to be a HOF qb

                                  He is on pace to surpass 65,000 passing yards by age 40

                                  That's 5th all time, with a higher comp % than all of the rest of the top 10. He is best QB in football on a straight numbers argument (not intangibles- I get it, he hasn't won anything and doesnt create tds)

                                  If Rivers is a HOF the Cousins will be HOF
                                  Comment
                                  • USCPHILLYGUY
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-15-12
                                    • 21746

                                    #52
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                      Yes Cousins is going to be a HOF qb

                                      He is on pace to surpass 65,000 passing yards by age 40

                                      That's 5th all time, with a higher comp % than all of the rest of the top 10. He is best QB in football on a straight numbers argument (not intangibles- I get it, he hasn't won anything and doesnt create tds)

                                      If Rivers is a HOF the Cousins will be HOF
                                      Jfc man, don’t you realize the standard for numbers will continue to get way higher as they becoming easy to put up? Cousins putting up numbers proves anybody can do it. There no fukkin chance in hell cousins will be in the HOF, just stop you giving Vikings fans a bad name.
                                      Comment
                                      • MinnesotaFats
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-18-10
                                        • 14758

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by mrpapageorgio
                                        I don't have confidence in Minnesota closing it out until I see Kirk not wilting away like he did last season in big games. This is the same team that was 16 point favorites and lost to Buffalo at home last year.
                                        That Buffalo game was day after our DLineman went crazy and pulled a gun on half the Vikes team....needless to say it messed them

                                        DiFilipo gone, MN spent on average 5 minutes more per game on D last year because his offense was so up tempo and pass oriented

                                        Look for 2019 Vikes to be top 10 in league rushing, top 8 in TOP (love the new zone blocking Oline- huge screen game potential) and top 5 in total D and #1 on getting off field on 3rd down

                                        Vikes 10-6 maybe 11-5
                                        Comment
                                        • MinnesotaFats
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-18-10
                                          • 14758

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          Jfc man, don’t you realize the standard for numbers will continue to get way higher as they becoming easy to put up? Cousins putting up numbers proves anybody can do it. There no fukkin chance in hell cousins will be in the HOF, just stop you giving Vikings fans a bad name.
                                          It doesn't matter- if the guy retires top 10 in total passing yards he's going into the HOF. He's going to retire with at least 65,000 which is easily safe top 5, ge might pass a few others if he throws for 4500 per year instead of 4200 average. I understand the passing numbers are watered down, but the longevity and consistently gets rewarded too in HOF

                                          It's like saying Jim Thome isn't a HOFer because everyone hits home runs. Jim Thome is a HOFer just like Babe Ruth is.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Hman
                                            5Dimes


                                            NFC North Division - Winner
                                            Sun 12/29 25361 Chicago Bears win NFC North +190
                                            1:00PM 25362 Field wins NFC North -230
                                            Sun 12/29 25363 Minnesota Vikings win NFC North +220
                                            1:00PM 25364 Field wins NFC North -260
                                            Sun 12/29 25365 Green Bay Packers win NFC North +220
                                            1:00PM 25366 Field wins NFC North -260
                                            Sun 12/29 25367 Detroit Lions win NFC North +800
                                            1:00PM 25368 Field wins NFC North -1250
                                            Bears or Vikings
                                            Comment
                                            • mrpapageorgio
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-07-17
                                              • 2974

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                              That Buffalo game was day after our DLineman went crazy and pulled a gun on half the Vikes team....needless to say it messed them

                                              DiFilipo gone, MN spent on average 5 minutes more per game on D last year because his offense was so up tempo and pass oriented

                                              Look for 2019 Vikes to be top 10 in league rushing, top 8 in TOP (love the new zone blocking Oline- huge screen game potential) and top 5 in total D and #1 on getting off field on 3rd down

                                              Vikes 10-6 maybe 11-5
                                              D only gets you so far if you can't score. They have the same problem the Bears have. Kirk hasn't shown to be clutch on this team.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kentucky Lucky
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-14-19
                                                • 3

                                                #58
                                                I have to roll with the Vikings this year. Zimmer + Year 2 Kirk, they have to get it done considering the landscape.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                                  It doesn't matter- if the guy retires top 10 in total passing yards he's going into the HOF. He's going to retire with at least 65,000 which is easily safe top 5, ge might pass a few others if he throws for 4500 per year instead of 4200 average. I understand the passing numbers are watered down, but the longevity and consistently gets rewarded too in HOF

                                                  It's like saying Jim Thome isn't a HOFer because everyone hits home runs. Jim Thome is a HOFer just like Babe Ruth is.
                                                  Some scrub who never been considered even the 10th best qb at time he playing aint going to the HOF, fukkin book that shit cause it will never happen!! Insane how big a homer you are.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MinnesotaFats
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-18-10
                                                    • 14758

                                                    #60
                                                    I'm not a homer, far from it

                                                    I've like Kirk gor a long time

                                                    Thought Wash was better than Philly 2 years ago w him

                                                    He's going to the HOF. Long list of mediocre QBs going to HOF based on yardage alone...

                                                    Bledsoe, Testaverde, Palmer, Manning 2, Rivers, Ryan, Collins, Roethlisberger

                                                    I bet 5 of these guys get in alone
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MinnesotaFats
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-18-10
                                                      • 14758

                                                      #61
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigdaddyQH
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-13-09
                                                        • 19530

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                                        I'm not a homer, far from it

                                                        I've like Kirk gor a long time

                                                        Thought Wash was better than Philly 2 years ago w him

                                                        He's going to the HOF. Long list of mediocre QBs going to HOF based on yardage alone...

                                                        Bledsoe, Testaverde, Palmer, Manning 2, Rivers, Ryan, Collins, Roethlisberger

                                                        I bet 5 of these guys get in alone
                                                        You are nothing more than a homer. Period! Cousins is nothing more than a talented choke artist. That has been proven throughout his career. Minny will suffer big time on the road. 2-6 is certainly possible and that knocks them out of the Division race. They also open with Atlanta and host Philly. The NFC North is going nowhere after the regular season. The NFC South is certainly more talented and the Eagles are much better than anyone the NFC North has to offer. The Rams and Seattle can also compete with any NFC North team.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jts1207
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-15-16
                                                          • 8011

                                                          #63
                                                          2 team race with Bears and Vikes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SmokingKing
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-14-19
                                                            • 1234

                                                            #64
                                                            too close to call. if Packers get it together as a team then they win the division. i'll still take Aaron Rodgers over Kirk Cousins anytime when game is on the line. i think it'll come down to Vikings vs Packers for division crown
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jts1207
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-15-16
                                                              • 8011

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by SmokingKing
                                                              too close to call. if Packers get it together as a team then they win the division. i'll still take Aaron Rodgers over Kirk Cousins anytime when game is on the line. i think it'll come down to Vikings vs Packers for division crown
                                                              Packers wont be close.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MinnesotaFats
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-18-10
                                                                • 14758

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by jts1207
                                                                Packers wont be close.
                                                                This

                                                                Green Bay is so far beyond competitive it's a joke

                                                                It'll take everything Rodgers has to make them 8-8 and he's just so fragile lately....

                                                                The coaching change is going to be a disaster
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GUMMO77
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-23-10
                                                                  • 9294

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Skol!

                                                                  Fade da Bears this season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MinnesotaFats
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-18-10
                                                                    • 14758

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Skol!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MinnesotaFats
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-18-10
                                                                      • 14758

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                                      You are nothing more than a homer. Period! Cousins is nothing more than a talented choke artist. That has been proven throughout his career. Minny will suffer big time on the road. 2-6 is certainly possible and that knocks them out of the Division race. They also open with Atlanta and host Philly. The NFC North is going nowhere after the regular season. The NFC South is certainly more talented and the Eagles are much better than anyone the NFC North has to offer. The Rams and Seattle can also compete with any NFC North team.
                                                                      Learn the game man

                                                                      You're gonna lose your bankroll betting ATL week 1
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • WillyBoy
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 06-19-18
                                                                        • 1988

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Chicago’s offense would need to slip badly before losing the North, and there’s really no reason to think Trubisky regresses. Similarly, what makes anyone think that last season’s best scoring defense is suddenly going to fold? Packers and Vikes appear to be on roster treadmill – going nowhere fast – and the Lions are - the Lions. The Bears may not go 12-4 again, but should cruise to another division title.
                                                                        Comment
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